Tag Archives: Philadelphia Phillies

2017 National League East Projections

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X-Washington Nationals 90-72

Since 2012, the Washington Nationals have had one of the most talented teams in Major League Baseball, but they have struggled to live up to their potential. The Nationals have three National League East Titles to their credit since 2012, but they’ve also failed to win a playoff series. And dating back to their time as the Montreal Expos, the Nats have only won one postseason series in their 49-year history. Washington will head into the 2017 MLB season looking to buck the trend as after winning the N.L. East, they tend to really underachieve in the following season and you have to wonder if things will be any different for them now?

Dusty Baker

Dusty Baker is set to begin his second season as the Nationals skipper and he is indeed a man that knows how to get results. In Baker’s managerial career, he has now led the San Francisco Giants, Chicago Cubs, Cincinnati Reds, and Nationals to the postseason. Baker gets the most out of his teams, but the biggest shock in 2016 was how he got Washington to the playoffs.

The Nationals were able to win the National League East in 2016 in spite of the fact the outfielder Bryce Harper had a down year. After Harper won the N.L. MVP Award in 2015, he only managed to hit .243 with 24 home runs and 86 runs batted in last year. Harper still gave maximum effort for the Nats, but his timing at the plate simply wasn’t there. However, Harper is the kind of player that knows how to bounce back, and for the Nationals to do some damage this year, he will need to recapture his MVP form.

Bryce Harper

But as Harper was unable to live up to the lofty expectations that were placed on him, Nationals second baseman Daniel Murphy picked up the slack. In Murphy’s first season in Washington, he finished second in the National League MVP voting as he batted a career-high .347 with 25 home runs and 104 runs batted in. Murphy was a motivated man in 2016 after he was spurned by his former team in the New York Mets which led to his signing with the Nats. However you have to wonder if Murphy and the Nationals will be able to go the well with that once more in 2017?

But aside from Harper and Murphy, the Nats are really high on shortstop Trea Turner. In 73 games with the Nationals in 2016, Turner batted .342 with 13 home runs, 40 home runs, and 33 stolen bases. Turner is only 23-years of age and his potential led Washington to trading infielder Danny Espinosa to the Los Angeles Angels over the off-season. Turner can be a lead-off hitter for the Nats and his getting on base in front of Harper and Murphy will be important.

Third baseman Anthony Rendon has been consistent for Washington at the hot corner, while they have a veteran presence in their clubhouse in first baseman Ryan Zimmerman and outfielder Jayson Werth. But two acquisitions that flew under the radar during the off-season by National general manager Mike Rizzo were when he acquired utility man Adam Eaton and catcher Derek Norris in separate trades.

The Nationals acquisition of Eaton got some attention due to the fact that three pitchers were sent to the Chicago White Sox in exchange for him, but he could be well worth it. Two of the last three years saw Eaton lead the American League in triples as along with Turner, he could be a valuable table setter in D.C. In five Major League Baseball seasons, Eaton is a career .284 hitter, while he also brings a scrappy element to each team in which he has played for.

Last September saw catcher Wilson Ramos suffer a torn ACL which hurt the Nats chances in the playoffs. Ramos has subsequently joined the Tampa Bay Rays, but his injury paved the way for Rizzo to acquire Norris from the San Diego Padres. Norris gives the Nats another veteran back stop along with Jose Lobaton to work with this pitching staff as they look to repeat as National League Eastern Division Champions.

The Nationals team earned run average of 3.51 was second in the National League and there is potential once for this staff to be one of the best in the business.

Max Scherzer

Starting pitcher Max Scherzer became the first Nats pitcher since Gio Gonzalez in 2012 to win 20 games en route to winning the National League’s Cy Young Award, and he should once again be a force. Scherzer is one of the better power pitchers currently in baseball which is evident by him striking out at least 200 batters in each of the last five years. Scherzer knows how to dictate the pace on the mound as he tends to get ahead of hitters in the count which paves the way for his electric fastball.

After spending 2015 between the starting rotation and the bullpen, Tanner Roark got his opportunity to pitch every fifth day for the Nationals and he rewarded the team by winning a career-high 16 starts. However 2016 was the first time in Roark’s career that he threw more than 200 innings in a season and you have to wonder if there will be any carry over to 2017?

After the strong start by Gonzalez upon joining the Nats in 2012, he’s been an up and down pitcher that needs to recreate himself. Gonzalez’s velocity has dipped slightly on his pitches as it time for him to become more of a junk pitcher that locates.

Each time that starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg appears ready to turn the corner in order to become the ace in which the Nats envisioned upon drafting him first overall in 2009, he cannot overcome the injury bug. Like Scherzer, Strasburg has the potential to win 20 games, but he is still a guy that Washington must approach with the kid gloves in order to maximize his effectiveness.

All signs point to relief pitcher Blake Treinen being the Nationals closer as neither Jonathan Papelbon or Mark Melancon returned to the Nats after they combined to save 36 games last year. Treinen has only saved one game during his three-year Major League Baseball career and it will be baptism by fire to begin the 2017 campaign.

2017 will more than likely shape up as a two-team race for the National League East Crown between the Nationals and Mets. And another strong start by Washington could be just what the doctor ordered for them to win the division in consecutive years for the first time in franchise history.

Y-New York Mets 89-73

The New York Mets will enter the 2017 Major League Baseball season seeking to do something that they’ve never done before which is to make the postseason in three consecutive years. After winning the National League Pennant in 2015, the Mets were expected to once again reach the World Series Title last year. However injuries plagued the Mets in 2016, but somehow they were able to secure a playoff berth. And now the Mets are hopeful to be healthy in order to make another World Series push.

Pitching was the name of the game for the Mets in 2015 for their National League Pennant, and in order for them to get back to the postseason this fall, they’ll once again have to rely on their arms. The Mets allowed veteran starting pitcher Bartolo Colon to leave in free agency as he joined the Atlanta Braves being that they have plenty of young studs in their starting rotation.

Noah Syndergaard

With injuries in 2016 to starting pitchers Jacob deGrom, Matt Harvey, and Steven Matz, the Mets relied on another young stud in starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard. In 30 starts last season for the Mets, Synderggard went 14-9 with a 2.60 earned run average while striking out 218 batters. Syndergaard further solidified his reputation as a big game pitcher when he struck out 10 batters, but got a no-decision against the San Francisco Giants in the National League Wild Card Game. Fans in the Big Apple have gravitated to Syndergaard due to the fact that he is fearless on the mound which is something that they can relate to.

For the second time since 2013, Harvey missed significant time due injury, and after he had shoulder surgery to relieve thoracic outlet syndrome, the man who the fans in New York City refer to as “The Dark Knight” is looking to bounce back. deGrom falls into that category of looking to bounce backas after expecting to be just stop gap starter in 2014, he would go on to win the National League’s Rookie of the Year Award. deGrom was a big part of the Mets rotation in 2015, but an elbow injury cut his season short last year. Injuries delayed starting pitcher Steven Matz’s route to the show, but he did display his potential coming down the stretch in 2015 and the early stages of 2016 for the Mets. However the same injury bug that slowed Matz down in the minors got the best of him last year as he succumb to a shoulder injury.

But the Mets are anticipating that Harvey, deGrom, and Matz will be healthy this year to rejoin Syndergaard in the starting rotation that helped to propel New York to the National League Pennant in 2015. But the Mets do have depth in their pitching staff with Seth Lugo and Robert Gsellman. And if there’s another injury, both Lugo and Gsellman can contribute in the starting rotation while also providing long relief out of the bullpen.

Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler was supposed to be another one of the big arms in the Mets rotation, but Tommy John surgery has kept him out of action for the last two years. The Mets are looking to ease Wheeler back into the mix, and he could be valuable for them this year out of the bullpen.

The Mets will more than likely begin the upcoming Major League Baseball season without the services of relief pitcher Jeurys Familia. Familia set a Mets single-season record in 2016 with 51 saves, but he was arrested during the off-season for domestic violence. The chargers against Familia were subsequently dropped, however this does not mean that MLB commissioner Rob Manfred won’t reprimand him for the incident.

And if Familia isn’t available to begin the season for the Mets, they do have fall back options for the ninth inning which could be Wheeler or relief pitcher Addison Reed. Prior to joining the Mets in 2015, Reed had a past life being a closer as he combined to save 104 games for the Chicago White Sox and Arizona Diamondbacks.

But as good as the Mets pitching is which was evident by their 3.58 earned run average that was third in the National League last year, their lineup must become better at the plate in order for this team to be a legit World Series contender.

Last year the Mets were second in the National League in home runs as they hit 218. But New York was 12th in batting average (.246) and on-base percentage (.316), while they were tied for 11th in runs scored (671). Like the pitching staff, the Mets lineup was hit hard by the injury bug which included three infielders ending the year on the disabled list.

Mets third baseman and team captain David Wright was only able to appear in 37 games last year due to spinal stenosis. The Mets are hopeful that Wright will be available more this year, but the odds are against him. Wright has only appeared in 75 regular season games over the last two years and at the age of 34, a bad back is tough to overcome in order to be an everyday player. Wright’s injury also makes it harder for him to do the little things such as make a routine throw from third base to first base, and if the Mets are able to get 100 games out of him at the hot corner, I would be shocked.

After first baseman Lucas Duda belted 27 home runs for the Mets in 2015, he only appeared in 47 games last year after he suffered a stress fracture in his back. But Duda is scheduled to become at the free agent at the end of the season, and thus I expect him to bounce back in a very big way for the Metropolitans.

Last year second baseman Neil Walker tried to make the folks in Queens forget about the departed Daniel Murphy as he belted 23 home runs which tied a career high. But like Wright and Duda, Walker’s season was cut short after he underwent a lumbar microdiscectomy. Walker passed up the option to become a free agent and instead he returned to the Mets after accepting the team’s qualifying offer for $17.2 million. And if Walker is able to stay healthy in 2017, along with providing the Mets will solid defense and a good bat again, it’ll be a win-win situation for everyone involved.

But in case that the Mets are once again hit with the injury bug, they have depth in their infield. Fans were sad to see shortstop Jose Reyes leave in 2011 as he and Wright were the left side of the Mets infield. Reyes was never the same player when he left the Mets as he has spent time with the Miami Marlins, Toronto Blue Jays, and Colorado Rockies.

Jose Reyes

Reyes dealt with domestic violence issues following the end of the 2015 Major League Baseball season. Reyes would subsequently be suspended by MLB for Colorado’s first 51 games before they designated him for assignment. Reyes would return to the Mets as they were desperate for infield help, and he gave the team some of the flashes that made him a fan favorite during his first stint in Queens.

Reyes is no longer a .300 hitter, but he still possesses some speed, while he is hungry to once again have the chance to play as he has once again won over the fans in the Big Apple. However Reyes is no longer a shortstop, but he should once again be vital for the Mets at third base with questions about Wright’s health.

T.J. Rivera could be the future for the Mets at second base and I expect him to push the switch hitting Walker for time there, while Matt Reynolds could be valuable for the team as a utility infielder; even though he probably be on the shuttle back and forth to the minors.

But the biggest move that the Mets made this off-season was to re-sign outfielder Yoenis Cespedes. Cespedes joined the Mets just prior to the trade deadline in 2015, and his impact in the lineup was immediate as he helped to propel the offense which led to New York winning the National League East. In 132 games for the Mets last year, Cespedes batted .280 with 31 home runs and 86 runs batted in. Cespedes opted out of his contract, but he and the Mets would agree on a new four-year deal that is worth $110 million.

Yoenis Cespedes

Cespedes provides the Mets with a legit power bat in their lineup that they have lacked for some time as he has that rare ability to put a lineup on his back. But the downside is that Cespedes has been known to go into funks at times as well. Cespedes coming back to the Mets is a “high risk, high reward” scenario, however if it means that New York will be playing baseball in October for a third consecutive year it will be well worth it.

Last year there was speculation that the Mets would lose Cespedes in free agency which led to team general manager Sandy Alderson acquiring outfielder Jay Bruce from the Cincinnati Reds. At first Bruce struggled with the Mets as he was pressing, but he did managed to hit 8 home runs for the Metropolitans in 50 games. However when Cespedes re-signed, it created a logjam in the Mets outfield.

Cespedes is locked in as the Mets everyday left fielder, but you’ll have Bruce, Curtis Granderson, Michael Conforto, and Juan Lagares all vying for time at the other two positions. Lagares and Conforto will compete in center. But it’s Lagares who has the better glove, and Conforto who has the better bat. Granderson and Bruce are both veteran players who’ll each become free agents after this season. However Granderson has provided the Mets with a veteran presence in the clubhouse due to his work ethic and it would be hard for Alderson to part with him.

The Mets still have questions behind the plate with their three-headed monster in catchers Rene Rivera, Travis d’Arnaud, and Kevin Plawecki. The Mets have given d’Arnaud and Plawecki chances to prove themselves. Each player knows how to call a game behind the plate, but the Mets need more production from them with a bat in their hands as both d’Arnaud and Plawecki batted south of .250 last year.

Terry Collins

This could be the final year for Mets manager Terry Collins as there’s the possibility that he could retire. But if the Mets are able start strong and take care of their business, Collins could finish off his managerial career in style with a third straight trip to the postseason.

 

 

Miami Marlins 79-83

To call the 2016 Major League Baseball season a difficult one for the Miami Marlins would be an understatement. The Marlins were in contention for a wild card spot in the National League until they ran out of gas over the final two months. There was still optimism for the Marlins to finish with some momentum for 2017 until the morning of September 25 when starting pitcher Jose Fernandez was killed in a boating accident off of the coast of Miami. Fernandez’s death impacted the baseball world as well as his native Cuba. Fernandez was one of the game’s rising stars and he was rapidly becoming a legend in Miami. Marlins manager Don Mattingly had to piece things together after Fernandez died, but there was no way to hide the raw emotion of losing a person like Fernandez.

The Marlins have now had several months to digest the loss of Fernandez and move on. And as the 2017 Major League Baseball season is set to begin, the Marlins are hoping that they can get their first winning campaign since 2009.

Fernandez’s death leaves a gaping hole in the Marlins starting rotation as he put fear into every lineup in the National League East. Fernandez was 16-8 last year with an earned run average of 2.86. But no other Marlins starting pitcher won more than 9 games with an earned run average that was below 3.85. And as the Marlins don’t have another stud in their starting rotation, things will be pieced together with spit and glue. However if the Marlins starting pitching staff is able to take a lead into the late innings, they do have a quality closer to give the baseball to.

In the last two years, relief pitcher A.J. Ramos has saved 72 games for the Marlins. Ramos is a fire baller that Mattingly can rely on to close out contests. But if the Marlins do fall out of playoff contention early on, expect Ramos to become a hot commodity on the trade front.

For the Marlins to have a realistic shot at making the postseason this year, they are going to have to rely heavily on their lineup which will require everyone staying healthy and living up to their potential. The Marlins have several players in their lineup that have the potential to hit at least 25 homers, but shockinginly as a team they were only 14th in the National League last season with 128 long balls.

Giancarlo Stanton

Marlins outfielder Giancarlo Stanton is one of Major League Baseball’s best power hitters. In seven years with the Marlins, Stanton is already the franchise’s all-time leader in WAR (wins above replacement) at 27, and home runs (208). But as much stress that Stanton can put into opposing pitchers, he also puts that same fear into the Marlins front office. Only once during Stanton’s career has he been able to appear in at least 150 games. As most power hitters are prone to strikeout often, Stanton falls into that category as he could flirt with striking out 150 times this year. But one of the biggest issues with Stanton is that his batting average continues to dip as it is boom or bust with him. Last year Stanton only batted .240 as his propensity to swing at pitches out of the strike zone makes it very enticing for pitchers to get ahead of him in the count in order to make him chase pitches out of the zone.

Outfielder Marcel Ozuna is fresh off of his first All-Star Game appearance as he was one the Marlins most consistent hitters last season. Outfielder Christian Yelich is developing into one of the better contact hitters in the National League. Yelich batted .298 last season while hitting a career-high in homers with 21. Yelich should be in running to be an All-Star this season, while if he concentrates on hitting into the gaps at the cavernous Marlins Park, he could also flirt with getting at least 10 triples this year. Yelich also has one Gold Glove Award to his credit, and with his range in the outfield, he could once again have in name in the conversation as far taking home some more hardware.

After first baseman Justin Bour finished fifth in the National League’s Rookie of the Year voting in 2015, the expectation level was high for him last year. Bour hit 23 homers in 2015, but injuries limited him to just 90 games in 2016. And like Stanton, if Bour is able to remain healthy in 2017, it will provide some extra pop to Miami’s lineup.

Dee Gordon

After second baseman Dee Gordon led the National League batting in 2015 at .333, he was once again expected to be a catalyst last year. But it didn’t play out that way for Gordon has he failed a drug test which saw him miss 80 games. And now as Gordon is seeking to rebuild his reputation, he must once again reassert himself as the Marlins table setter if this teams expects to have a legitimate shot at the postseason.

It won’t be easy for the Marlins to begin the season as they’ll be on the road to face the Washington Nationals and New York Mets respectively as these are the two favorites to win the National League East. It will be tough for the Marlins to overtake either team, and I am not sure if this organization has still gotten over the untimely death of Fernandez.

Philadelphia Phillies 77-85

When Andy MacPhail became the Philadelphia Phillies president of baseball operations in 2015, he knew that he had a rebuilding job ahead of him. The Phillies lost 99 games in 2015 as they were a far cry from the team that made the postseason in five consecutive years from 2007-2011 which included winning the World Series in 2008. The Phillies roster got old and MacPhail knew that he would need to revamp it while also finding a new field general.

Pete Mackanin

2016 was Pete Mackanin’s first full year as the manager of the Phillies and it wasn’t as bad as most people expected. The Phillies had a winning record through the first two months of the Major League Baseball season before they began to fade. The Phils would lose 91 games, but they remained competitive throughout. And although that the Phillies will be fighting an uphill battle in the National League East in 2017, their effort and hard work will make them a team that you’ll be unable to forget about.

But in order for the Phillies to realistically compete, they are going to need improvement in each phase of the game. Last year Philadelphia’s team earned run average of 4.63 was 12th in the National League. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson was a pleasant surprise in his first season in Philadelphia as he led the pitching staff in wins with 12.

Jered Eickhoff

Starting pitcher Jerad Eickhoff has plenty of potential for the Phillies. Eickhoff was one of the key prospects that Philadelphia received when they shipped starting pitcher Cole Hamels to the Texas Rangers in 2015. The 26-year old Eickhoff was able to make 33 starts for the Phillies last season as he posted a record of 11-14 while his earned run average was 3.65. Eickhoff also had 20 quality starts as he recorded 167 strikeouts. Eickhoff fell just short of the 200-innings plateau, but could flirt with winning 15 games for Philadelphia this year.

Starting pitcher Aaron Nola is one of the keys in the Phillies rebuilding process, but his 2016 Major League Baseball season was cut short due to an injury. Nola was shut down after just 15 starts last year due to an injured elbow. Nola visited Dr. James Andrews who has been known to perform his fair share of Tommy John surgeries, but he instead prescribed a platelet-rich plasma injection and rest. However it will be interesting to see if Nola’s elbow is fully healed and ready to take on the riggers of making 30-35 starts over the course of an 162-game season.

The Phillies do have a solid bullpen which features relief pitchers Hector Neris and Jeanmar Gomez. Neris was able to strike out 102 batters in 80.1 innings in 2016 which paved the way for his 37 holds. The Phillies are Gomez’s third Major League Baseball team. And after Gomez spent six years trying to figure out his role, he now appears to be someone that Philadelphia can count on in the ninth inning. But if the Phillies were to fall out of contention, I would expect MacPhail to definitely dangle Gomez out there on the trade market to see if a contender would want his services. But this Phillies pitching staff will have its hands full as they’ll once again be asked to mask the issues of the team’s offense.

Last year the Phillies were last in the National League in runs scored (610), while they were 14th in both batting average (.240), and on-base percentage (.301). Philadelphia did acquire veteran utility man Howie Kendrick from the Los Angeles Dodgers, but his presence in Philadelphia is more about working with some of the team’s young players. The Phillies do have some young potential in their lineup; especially in the infield which could once again lead this franchise to glory.

Maikel Franco

Third baseman Maikel Franco led the Phillies in home runs last year with 25, and the age of 24, he is just beginning to scratch the surface of his potential. Like Franco, shortstop Freddy Galvis is coming off of a career year as he belted 20 homers. Second baseman Cesar Hernandez doesn’t possess the power of Franco or Galvis, but he’s rounding into being a solid contact hitter as he batted .294 in 2016 to go along with an on-base percentage of .371. However this trio must improve their defense as they combined to commit 33 errors last season.

Outfielder Odubel Herrera is coming off of his first All-Star Game appearance, and in a few years he has the potential to be one of the best outfielders in the National League. Herrera is a solid contact hitter who knows how to get on base which is evident by his .361 on-base percentage from last year. Herrera also stole 25 bases for the Phils in 2016 and his ability to get on base will be important for Philadelphia to hang around in the playoff race.

The Phillies will continue to be a scrappy team, but they still have some improvement ahead of them as they’re still a year or two away from becoming a legitimate contender.

Atlanta Braves 73-89

The rebuilding process of the Atlanta Braves has been a tough one as they have not had a winning season since 2013. The Braves have seen the parade in the National League East pass them by as the Washington Nationals and New York Mets are the two best teams in the division, while the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies are inching closer to contention. The Braves have lost at least 90 games in consecutive seasons for the first time since 1990, and as they are set to begin life at SunTrust Park in Cobb County, Georgia, the last thing that they can afford to do is to remain an afterthought.

Brian Snitker

Brian Snitker is set to begin his first full season as the manager of the Braves. Snitker replaced Fredi Gonzalez as the Braves manager last year when he was fired after the team’s 9-28 start. Atlanta would go 59-65 the rest of the way under Snitker which was enough for Braves president of baseball operations John Hart to give him the job on a full-time basis.

Even with the Braves rebuilding process, they can still lean on one of the best first baseman in Major League Baseball in Freddie Freeman to be a center piece in their lineup. After a down 2015, Freeman bounced back in 2016 to hit a career high in home runs 34, while also batting .304. The Braves have remained steadfast in not trading Freeman in spite of interest from other teams. And if the Braves are going to shock most people in order to make the playoffs, Freeman will be a big part of it.

Outfielder Matt Kemp is not the all-around player that he was when he finished second in the National League MVP voting in 2011 as a member of the Los Angeles Dodgers, but he is a still a quality player. Kemp split 2016 with the Braves and San Diego Padres as he hit 35 home runs. Kemp is one of those players that is streaky, and the Braves would love to see a long hot streak from him in 2017.

Dansby Swanson

Shortstop Dansby Swanson was the first overall pick of the 2015 Major League Baseball Draft by the Arizona Diamondbacks. But the Diamondbacks quickly soured on Swanson as they felt that he would not be the player that they initially projected him to be. However the Braves were more than happy to acquire Swanson from Arizona as in 38 games with Atlanta last season, he batted .302 with an on-base percentage of .361. The Braves hope that Swanson is not a flash in the pan as they need a lead-off hitter who’ll be able to consistently get on base in front of Freeman and Kemp.

The Braves team earned run average of 4.51 was 11th in the National League last season. Like Freeman, the Braves scoffed at offers for starting pitcher Julio Teheran who was only 7-10, but he possessed an earned run average of 3.21. Teheran would have had a better record if he played on a better team. And as there have been some upgrades to the Braves for 2017, Teheran could flirt with winning 15 games.

Behind Teheran, the Braves will be relying on some veteran arms in their starting rotation. Starting pitcher Bartolo Colon is set to begin his 20th Major League Baseball season and he has become a cult hero. Colon will be 44-years of age in May, and last year he led the Mets in wins with 15. Colon is not a hard thrower, but his rubber arm can eat up innings, while also giving the Braves a valuable veteran in their rotation whom the youngsters can lean on for advice. The Braves also signed a 42-year old starting pitcher in R.A. Dickey whose knuckleball can be very difficult to deal with when he’s on. Dickey spent the last four years of his MLB career with the Toronto Blue Jays, but he was unable to recapture the success that he had in 2012 when he won the National League’s Cy Young Award as a member of the Mets.

Relief pitcher Jim Johnson is not the player that he was when he led the National League in saves in 2012 and 2013, but he could still be valuable for the Braves in spite of the fact that he more than likely will not have as many opportunities to close out games this summer in Atlanta.

The Braves will begin the upcoming season facing an uphill battle as their first eight games will be on the road, while it will also be interesting to see how many fans will make the trek from Atlanta to Cobb County in order to watch them play.

Source: Baseball-reference.com

 

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The End Is Rarely Sweet

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Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard had his hand in the success of the franchise during the 2000’s and early 2010’s. In 2005, Howard hit 22 home runs with 63 runs batted in as he became the first Phillies player since Scott Rolen in 1997 to be named as the National League’s Rookie of the Year. In 2006, Howard set a single-season season franchise record by hitting 58 home runs which led to him being named as the MVP of the N.L. In 2007, Howard went yard 47 times in helping the Phillies win their first N.L. East Title since 1993. And in 2008, Howard hit 48 homers as the Phillies won their first World Series Championship since 1980. The Phillies would continue to be a World Series contender which resulted in former team general manager Ruben Amaro given Howard a five-year extension that was worth $125 million in 2010. This contract was added on to Howard’s previous contract which has kept him in Philadelphia through this year with a team option of $23 million for next season. But Howard’s numbers at the plate are no longer keeping up with his enormous salary which is the main issue.

Ever since Howard suffered a ruptured Achilles tendon in Game 5 of the 2011 National League Divisional Series, his power numbers have dipped mightily. Howard has never hit more than 23 home runs in a year since then while he has become a liability for the Phillies. This year Howard is only batting .151 with 11 home runs and 25 runs batted in, while also striking out 65 times. Howard has been reduced to a part-time player as he is splitting time with Tommy Joseph at first base and his struggles have also brought out the boo birds in Philadelphia.

The low light for Howard came during the Phillies 6-3 loss on June 4 to the Milwaukee Brewers. Howard was used as a pinch-hitter in the ninth inning, but he would end up making the last out of the game. And as Howard walked back to the Phillies dugout, a fan threw a bottle in his direction that landed near him on the field. However as Howard has struggled at the plate, he nor does any other professional athlete deserve that kind of treatment from fans.

You can’t blame Howard for his contract as that falls into the lap of Amaro as when the Phillies re-signed Howard, they were rolling. But Amaro never took into consideration that Howard would become an aging player. And when the Phillies began to slip from being a contending team in 2012, Amaro missed multiple opportunities to trade Howard to an American League team which would have allowed him to shed his salary, while the slugger could have found a new life as a designated hitter.

Now the Phillies are under new management with Andy MacPhail serving as the team’s president of baseball operations and Matt Klentak serving as the general manager. The Phillies have not had a winning record since 2011, while each of the last two years have seen them finish in the basement of the National League East. And with that MacPhail and Klentak are looking to get the Phillies younger and back into contention for a postseason spot which means that Howard is not a top priority for them.

The Phillies do have a $10 million buyout option if they decide to balk at bringing Howard back for 2017 at the rate of $23 million. And by the looks of things, Howard’s time with the Phillies appears to be coming to an end, while the same thing can be said about his Major League Baseball career overall.

Howard should be remembered as one of the best power hitters in Phillies franchise history as his 368 career home runs are second on the franchise’s all-time list, while he was a vital member of only the second World Series Champion for the club. It’s unfortunate that we live in a “what have you done for me lately” society, but the folks in Philadelphia must remember what the Phillies were before players such as Howard came up through their system in the mid-2000’s, while not focusing on his struggles in the twilight of his career.

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2016 MLB Quarter Pole

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There have been several surprises in the 2016 Major League Baseball season with the Philadelphia Phillies being one of them.

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The Pride Of Philadelphia

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From 2003-2012, the Philadelphia Phillies enjoyed one of the best 10-year runs in franchise history. The Phillies never had a losing season over that stretch as they won five National League Eastern Division Titles en route to winning the World Series in 2008. That era of Phillies baseball saw them led by a core of players that included starting pitcher Cole Hamels, first baseman Ryan Howard, second baseman Chase Utley, and shortstop Jimmy Rollins. But just like all good things, the Phillies run would come to an end in 2013 when they went 73-89 to finish in fourth place in the NL East. By 2014, the Phillies would finish in the basement of the division for the first time since 2000, and last year saw them lose 99 games for the first time since 1969. Entering 2016, the Phillies were expected to flirt with losing 100 games, but they are not sticking to the script.

Odubel Herrera

Roughly six weeks into the 2016 Major League Baseball season, the Phils find themselves in third place in the National League East, but their record of 22-15 finds them just one game behind the Washington Nationals for first place in the division while they are also the first wild card team in the NL as they are way ahead of schedule as far as turning things around and once again becoming a contender.

Andy MacPhail

The shift for the Phillies began last June when Andy MacPhail was brought in to be the team’s new president of baseball operations. MacPhail has a history of turning franchises around as he was the former general manager of both the Minnesota Twins and Chicago Cubs, while also being the former president of baseball operations of the Baltimore Orioles. And under MacPhail, the Twins won their only two World Series Titles in franchise history.

Macphail’s arrival in Philadelphia signaled the end of the tenure of Ruben Amaro Jr., as the Phillies general manager. Amaro took over a contending Phillies team for the retiring Pat Gillick in 2009 who was the team’s architect that led Philadelphia to a World Series Title in 2008. And whereas the Phillies were still a playoff team under Amaro, he had a propensity of giving players that were over the hill long-term extensions, along with failing to pull the plug on their tenures with the team. 74 games into the 2015 Major League Baseball season, Ryne Sanberg was fired as the manager of the Phillies as he was replaced by Pete Mackanin, while Amaro would be replaced by Matt Klentak. And the new Phillies brain trust began to revamp the team’s roster.

Whereas Amaro was reluctant to trade his aging veterans, things changed last year as Hamels was traded to the Texas Rangers, while Utley and Rollins were sent to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Phillies would go 37-51 under Mackanin, but they were still able to somewhat salvage 2015 after they began 2015 with a record of 26-48 under Sandberg.

And just like the Phillies went all the way with a core of home grown players in 2008, we are beginning to see that philosophy take its course once more.

Aaron Nola

In 2014, the Phillies drafted starting pitcher Aaron Nola in the first round of the Major League Baseball Draft, and by 2015, he was set to make it debut with the big club. In 13 starts with the Phillies last year, Nola went 6-2 with an earned run average of 3.59 in 77.2 innings pitched. This season Nola is 3-2 with an earned run average of 2.89. But in just seven starts, Nola’s 58 strikeouts have him well ahead of his pace of the 68 the he recored in 2015. This past December, MacPhail pulled off quite a haul when he sent relief pitcher Ken Giles to the Houston Astros in a seven-player deal that included Philadelphia receiving the first overall pick of the 2013 MLB Draft in starting pitcher Mark Appel, and starting pitcher Vincente Velasquez. Appel is currently pitching for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate in the Lehigh Valley Iron Pigs, but for Velasquez, he has been a pleasant surprise in Philadelphia as he is leading the club in victories with 4 and in earned run average (2.70). And once you factor in that the Phillies acquired veteran starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson over the winter from the Arizona Diamondbacks, they have the fifth lowest team earned run average of 3.74 in the National League, while they are sixth in quality starts with 20. The Phillies starting pitching staff has been been a pleasant surprise, and when Mackanin needs someone to close out games for his team, he can rely on relief pitcher Jeanmar Gomez who’s 14 saves currently lead MLB.

This Phillies pitching staff has carried this team as their offense is near the bottom of most statistical categories in the National League with outfielder Odubel Herrera being the only everyday player that is currently sporting a batting average north of .300. Howard is only batting .179, but his 8 home runs lead the club, while he is able to provide a wealth of leadership to the youngsters; especially since he is a former National League MVP.

What we’re seeing from the Phillies in 2016 isn’t a fluke as they are 4-2 against the Nationals, and 3-3 against the New York Mets as these are the two teams that alone were expected to duke it out for supremacy in the National League East this year. Whereas the Phillies still have Howard (due to his large contract which falls into the lap of Amaro), they are beginning to develop their youngsters which gives them plenty of promise for the future. And it isn’t hurting the Phillies that they are collecting some wins along the way.

There is still plenty of baseball to be played between now and when the postseason rolls around in October, but the Phillies have to be one of the more pleasant surprises here in 2016.

Source: Baseball-reference.com

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2016 National League East Projections

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X-New York Mets 95-67 (2)

After six consecutive losing seasons, the New York Mets awoke from a deep slumber to take the Big Apple and the baseball world by storm. Riding a dominant pitching staff, the Mets won the National League East for the first time since 2006, en route to their first NL Pennant since 2000. But the fairytale season for the Mets came to abrupt halt in the World Series where the experience of the Kansas City Royals was on center stage as New York fell three wins shy of their of their first title since 1986. The odds will be stacked against the Mets in 2016 as they will be out to win the NL East in consecutive years for the first time in franchise history and they are also seeking that elusive World Series Championship that they’ve been unable to win since 1986.

At first it looked like this was going to be a tough off-season for the Mets when their longtime second baseman Daniel Murphy was allowed to leave as a free agent to sign with the rival Washington Nationals. Murphy was selected by the Mets in the 13th round of the 2006 Major League Baseball Draft and he’s been a lifer for them. During his time with the Mets, Murphy scrapped, clawed, and did whatever it took to win; which included him putting New York on his back in the first two rounds of the postseason last October as he set an MLB record with a home run in six consecutive playoff games. But Mets general manager Sandy Alderson is a big sabermetrics guy and he wasn’t a fan of Murphy’s defense or his overall talent which led to him being allowed to leave. However the Mets will miss his leadership and hustle in their lineup.

Yoenis Cespedes

Last July, the Mets acquired outfielder Yoenis Cespedes from the Detroit Tigers and he was able to ignite their offense. In 57 games with the Mets, Cespedes batted .287 with 17 home runs and 44 runs batted in as he lifted New York from being one of the worst offenses in the National League to one of the best. At first it appeared that Cespedes was going to be a rental in New York as he was a pending free agent. But Cespedes and the Mets came to an agreement on a three-year deal that is worth $75 million to keep the slugger in Queens which undeniably changes the look of their lineup.

To replace Murhpy’s presence at second base, the Mets acquired Neil Walker from the Pittsburgh Pirates. Murphy and Walker have put up similar numbers at second base with Walker being the better defender which is something that the Mets are looking to solidify. Along with Walker, the Mets signed shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera as they look to sure up their defense.

Michael Conforto

Offensively, the Mets are a team that is full of streaky hitters up and down their lineup, but they are very high on outfielder Michael Conforto. Conforto was the Mets first-round pick in 2014, and in 56 games last year for New York, he batted .270 with 9 home runs and 26 runs batted in. Conforto is expected to be the starting left fielder for the Mets and it would not surprise me to see him get some strong recognition as far as making the All-Star team.

Led by outfielder Curtis Granderson and third baseman David Wright, the Mets have veteran leadership in their lineup. But being that Wright is dealing with spinal stenosis in his back, you can’t expect him to play the hot corner everyday and I would forsee manager Terry Collins looking to give his captain a rest during day games that immediately follow night games.

(l-r) Bartolo Colon, Matt Harvey, Noah Syndergaard, Jacob deGrom, Steven Matz, Zack Wheeler

Last season the Mets pitching staff’s team earned run average of 3.43 was fourth best in the National League and they have the potential to be even better in 2016. After going back and forth with inning restrictions with the Mets front office, starting pitcher Matt Harvey appears ready to go and he’s proven that he is a guy that wants the ball. And along with Harvey, starting pitchers Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard, and Steven Matz all have the potential to win at least 15 games as this rotation will remind baseball fans in New York City who are old enough to remember the days of Tom Seaver, Jerry Koosman, and Nolan Ryan pitching for the Mets. The Mets also have a veteran presence in their pitching staff with starting pitcher Bartolo Colon, and along with Logan Verrett. Both pitchers have the ability to either be starters or middle relievers which makes a deep pitching staff that much deeper.

After being thrust into the role last year, relief pitcher Jeurys Familia fortified the ninth inning for the Mets, and is he’s able to save at least 35 games in 2016, it should symbolize a good season in Queens. But before the Mets give the ball to Familia, they have solid setup pitchers in Addison Reed, Hansel Robles, and Antonio Bastardo that know how to get out of tight situations.

The construction of the Mets under Alderson which began in 2011 appears to be finally taking shape. And barring any huge setbacks, the Mets should in contention to win the World Series.

Washington Nationals 87-75

Unfortunately for the Washington Nationals, they’ve been unable to string together consecutive solid seasons. After winning the National League East in 2014, the Nationals headed into the 2015 Major League Baseball season as one of the favorites to win the World Series. But when last October rolled around, the Nats found themselves watching the postseason from home as it was the New York Mets who won the division. The Nationals struggles in 2015 resulted in manager Matt Williams being fired which was a quick fall from grace as he was just named as the NL Manager of the Year in 2014. Williams would be replaced as the Nationals manager by a man that he played for during his time as a third baseman for the San Francisco Giants in Dusty Baker.

Dusty Baker

Baker has done it all in Major League Baseball. As a player, Baker broke in with the Atlanta Braves in 1968 and he’ll always be remembered as being in the on-deck circle when Hank Aaron hit his 715th career home run in 1974 which made him MLB’s all-time home run king. Baker was also a member of the Los Angeles Dodgers 1981 World Series Championship team. In 1993, Baker began his managerial career with the Giants. Baker has also managed the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds as he has guided each team to the postseason at least once. Some feel that the game may have passed Baker by, but he is joining the Nationals now to show that his old-school work ethic can still get it done in the modern game.

Baker comes to the Nationals knowing that he has the reigning National League MVP in the middle of his lineup in outfielder Bryce Harper. Harper is only 23-years of age, and in four seasons with the Nats, he has established himself as one of the finest players in Major League Baseball. Harper has and will continue to do this without that much helped around him in the lineup and it isn’t out of the realm of possibilities that 2016 could see him become the first player in franchise history to hit 50 home runs in a season.

The Nationals are hopeful that the new additions of outfielder Ben Revere, and second baseman Daniel Murphy can make them a playoff team. This off-season, the Nats acquired Revere from the Toronto Blue Jays in a deal that saw them send disgruntled relief pitcher Drew Storen to Canada. In six Major League Baseball seasons, Revere is averaging 39 steals per season and he could be just what the doctor ordered for the Nationals at the top of their lineup. Washington has finally had enough of being hurt by Murphy who left the Mets as a free agent to play in D.C. Murphy is a professional hitter who has a career batting average of .288. Murphy became a household name last October when he set an MLB record by hitting a home run in six consecutive postseason games for the Mets. But New York decided to move on from Murphy due to the fact that he is not a solid fielder which paved the way for him to go to Washington.

The Nationals scored the third most runs in the National League last season, but they weren’t consistent in doing so which hurt their pitching staff. Starting pitcher Max Scherzer was dominant in his first season in Washington as he recorded 276 strikeouts with an earned run average of 2.79. But Scherzer only won 14 games due to the fact he wasn’t getting run support. Scherzer has the potential to win the National League Cy Young Award this year; if he is able to get the support from his team.

Washington also lost a pair of veteran starting pitchers in free agency in Doug Fister and Jordan Zimmerman. Fister and Zimmerman combined to win 18 games last season and their departure will put more pressure on Gio Gonzalez and Stephen Strasburg to provide depth in the starting rotation behind Scherzer.

In a bit of surprise, the Nationals decided to bring back relief pitcher Jonathan Papelbon back for 2016. Last year the Nats acquired Papelbon from the Philadelphia Phillies, but all he did was help the team implode down the stretch of the regular season which included a dugout altercation with Harper. But when Papelbon is on, he is really on, and the same can be said when he is off of his game. However, if there is a manager in Major League Baseball that can get through to Papelbon, it is Baker.

The first month of the regular season should be a cakewalk for Washington as they’ll be facing bottom feeders which could give them the ammunition that they need to contend for a postseason spot.

Miami Marlins 79-83

It wouldn’t be the Miami Marlins if they didn’t begin a Major League Baseball season amid some turmoil. Last year the Marlins had aspirations of making the postseason, but after just 38 games, Mike Redmond was fired as the team’s manager. Redmond would be replaced by the Marlins general manager Dan Jennings as Miami lumbered through their sixth consecutive losing season. Jennings would also be fired and ultimately surface with the Washington Nationals as their new assistant general manager. Jennings’ departure paved the way for Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria to promote Michael Hill as the team’s new general manager. Hill and Loria made a splash this off-season when they brought in Don Mattingly to be the Marlins new skipper. Mattingly comes to the Marlins with a solid resume that includes him being a six-time All-Star first baseman for the New York Yankees along with his previous managerial experience with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Mattingly spent the last five years with the Dodgers where he led them to three National League West Titles and he never had a losing season. But getting to the postseason alone wasn’t enough for Mattingly to maintain his job in Hollywood. However, Mattingly has a sharp baseball mind, and it will be interesting to see if his laid back approach will be able to work with a young team in Miami.

The Marlins lineup does have potential to keep the pressure on opposing pitchers. In the last two seasons, second baseman Dee Gordon has stolen 122 bases which is by far tops in Major League Baseball. Gordon also led the National League in batting average last season at .333 and he appears to be rounding out as player. Gordon did this without having the services of outfielder Giancarlo Stanton behind him for the majority of the season. Stanton is one of the most feared power hitters in MLB, but a fracture in his hand limited him to just 74 games in 2015. And if the Marlins want to contend for a playoff spot this year, they will need Stanton to be healthy in the middle of their lineup.

Along with Stanton and Gordon, the Marlins have a plethora of young potential in their lineup with outfielder Christian Yelich and first baseman Justin Bour. But Miami must find a way to play as a unit due to the fact that they were near the bottom of most statistical categories in the National League last season and the arrival of Barry Bonds who is Major League Baseball’s all-time home run leader as the Marlins new hitting coach could help them.

Along with the youth movement, the Marlins do have a veteran presence in their lineup with outfielder Ichiro Suzuki along with infielders Chris Johnson and Martin Prado who Mattingly will lean on to provide leadership on the field.

Jose Fernandez

The Marlins are hopeful that starting pitcher Jose Fernandez will be able to remain healthy and be their ace, but at the same time the salty relationship that his agent Scott Boras has with Loria makes you wonder if his days in South Florida are numbered. This off-season the Marlins did sign starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen to a five-year deal that is worth $80 million. In four seasons with the Baltimore Orioles, Chen was 46-32 as a starting pitcher with an earned run average of 3.72 and Miami is hopeful that the move to the National League from the American League will see him become more dominant.

The Marlins schedule to begin the 2016 Major League Baseball season won’t be an easy one with series against the Detroit Tigers, Washington Nationals, and New York Mets right out of the chute. But even with a slow start, Mattingly will be preaching consistency and accountability to his young bunch of players as they’ll attempt to push for a postseason spot.

Philadelphia Phillies 65-97

Tough times have caught up to the Philadelphia Phillies as they are now in the midst of rebuilding. After nine consecutive winning seasons, the Phillies are coming off of their third straight losing season and they are looking to avoid finishing in the basement of the National League East for a third consecutive year.

The Ruben Amaro Jr., era as Phillies general manager is over as there is a new brain trust that is running things. Andy MacPhail was brought in last year to be the Phillies new president of baseball operations and he brings with him a wealth of baseball knowledge. Prior to joining the Phillies, MacPhail served as the general manager of Minnesota Twins, Chicago Cubs, and Baltimore Orioles. And in Minnesota, MacPhail helped the Twins win their only two World Series Championships in franchise history. Along with MacPhail, the Phillies have a new general manager in Matt Klentak. But Pete Mackanin will be returning to manage the Phils after taking over mid-season last year when Ryne Sandberg was fired.

Odubel Herrera

The Phillies were one of the worst teams in each aspect of the game last year, but they do appear to have themselves some building blocks in outfielder Odubel Herrera and starting pitcher Aaron Nola. Last year as a a rookie, Herrera batted .297 while he provided the Phillies with solid defense in center field, and he should only get better with his fielding and at the plate in 2016. Nola was the seventh overall pick of the 2014 Major League Baseball Draft by the Phiilies and he made his debut with the big club last year. In 13 starts with the Phils, Nola went 6-2 with a 3.59 earned run average as he has displayed the command of the strike zone that will see him develop into the ace in Philadelphia real soon.

The Phillies are on the hook to pay first baseman Ryan Howard $25 million this season as it is the final year of his deal. Howard is no longer an MVP-caliber player and if the Philadelphia is able to ship him out of town to an American League team where he could become a designated hitter, it would be a win-win for both parties.

As good as the 2000’s were the for the Phillies organization which was highlighted by winning the World Series in 2008, the 2010’s are just as bad. But all is not lost as MacPhail appears to be the right guy to get things turned around in Philadelphia.

Atlanta Braves 64-98

The Atlanta Braves are in the process of rebuilding as they look to once again be a player in the National League East. The Braves are coming off of consecutive losing seasons for the first time since 1990 and it is highly unlikely that things will get any better for them in 2016.

John Hart

John Hart is entering his second full season as the Braves president of baseball operations and he is attempting to build this franchise in his own image. Hart named John Coppolella as the Braves general manager and after gutting the roster in Atlanta, the only way for this organization to go is up.

In this rebuilding process by the Braves, they lack an identity in each faze of the game. Last season the Braves were 13th in the National League in team earned run average at 4.41 and they only had one starting pitcher in Julio Teheran win at least 10 games. And there doesn’t appear to be that much protection behind Teheran in the Braves starting rotation in 2016 either.

The Braves were near the bottom of most statistical categories in the National League last season, but they are hopeful that the return of a healthy Freddie Freeman at first base will provide them with a catalyst in their lineup. The Braves do have some veterans in their lineup as this off-season has seen them acquire shortstop Erick Aybar from the Los Angeles Angels while also signing former Chicago White Sox infielder Gordon Beckham. Aybar is a slick fielding infielder that should help the Braves improve defensively. Beckham is a seven-year Major League Baseball vet that is a native of the State of Georgia which is something that the Braves are hopeful will result in improved numbers for him.

After being one of the most prolific base stealers of the 2000’s ,injuries have begun to slow outfielder Michael Bourn down. After leaving Atlanta in 2012 as a free agent, Bourn was reacquired by the Braves from the Cleveland Indians. And at the age of 33, Hart and Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez are hopeful that he still has some burst left in the legs that have led the National League in steals on three separate occasions.

With a very difficult schedule to begin the 2016 Major League Baseball season, it is very conceivable that the Braves could use the first few months of the campaign to showcase some of their veteran players in the hopes that a contending team would be willing to pick them up while sending some prospects back to Atlanta. And unfortunately for the folks in Dixie, that is all that they have to look forward to this summer from their baseball team.

Sources: Baseball-reference.com

X-Division Winner

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The Clock Is Ticking For Amaro

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Ruben Amaro Jr.

The Philadelphia Phiilies are in the midst of an organizational shakeup. Ryne Sandberg surprised the Phillies last week when he resigned as the team’s manager which left Philadelphia scrambling to name Pete Mackanin as their interim manager. This week it was announced that Andy MacPhail would succeed Pat Gillick as the Phillies president of baseball operations next year. Gillick is the Phillies former general manager who oversaw the team’s World Series Championship in 2008. Gillick would step down in 2008 to become a senior advisor in the Phillies front office until he became the team’s president of baseball operations last year. Gillick would be replaced as the Phillies general manager in 2008 by his protege Ruben Amaro Jr.

At first the Phillies remained competitive under Amaro as they went back to the World Series in 2009 where they lost to the New York Yankees. Amaro made several moves to keep the Phillies as a contender by acquiring starting pitchers such as Roy Halladay and Roy Oswalt. But Amaro’s moves were “win-now” deals as he emptied out the Phillies farm system to acquire proven veterans. And once the Phillies were eliminated from the 2011 National League Divisional Series, this team got old an in a hurry.

The Phillies have not recorded a winning season 2011 and they’ve become the worst team in the National League East. Like I’ve stated before, Amaro has missed opportunities to trade veteran players and waive the white flag. But his stubborness as far as holding on to aging veteran players has put the Phillies behind the eight-ball as they are well on their way to losing 100 games this season for the first time since 1961. And with that Amaro could be running out of lives in Philadelphia.

Andy Macphail

Gillick was just keeping the seat warm as the Phillies president of baseball operations until the team found a successor to lead the team going forward and they feel that they’ve found their man in Macphail. Macphail has previously worked as the general manager of the Minnesota Twins, the president and CEO of the Chicago Cubs, and the president of baseball operations of the Baltimore Orioles. And at each stop along Macphail’s baseball journey he has had success which was highlighted by guiding the Twins to a pair of World Series Championships. Macphail also comes from a family that is rich in baseball history as his father Lee was the former American League president and his grandfather Larry was a former Major League Baseball general manager: most notably for the Cincinnati Reds and Brooklyn Dodgers.

Amaro wasn’t hired by Macphail who will want to bring in his own crew and do things his way. And it will be extremely difficult for Amaro to convince Macphail or anyone else within the Phillies organization why he should maintain his position if this team goes on to lose at least 100 games this season. The trades that Amaro has been reluctant to make wouldn’t be a bother for Macphail to execute because he will more than likely be looking to start over from scratch and rebuild the Phillies in his own image which is a process that should have been started already. The Phillies are at the point that their organzation should be gutted and completely rebuilt. The Phillies will more than likely have one of the first picks in next spring’s Major League Baseball Draft and they must put an emphasis on drafting players and developing them. It’s not like it wasn’t done before in Philadelphia before as current Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard, second baseman Chase Utley, and starting pitcher Cole Hamels, along with current Los Angeles Dodgers shortstop Jimmy Rollins were apart of Philadelphia’s core that led them to the World Series Title in 2008 and they were all developed through their system.

It might not happen right away, but with Macphail on board, there will be some big time shuffling coming down the pike for the Phillies.

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The Hamels Market

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With a record 22-39, the Philadelphia Phillies could be ready to throw in the towel on the 2015 Major League Baseball season real soon. The Phillies are in last place in the National League East and they are 10 games behind the first place Washington Nationals. For the past three years I’ve felt that the Phillies should be sellers as they are nowhere near being a contender. As a result of Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro Jr., holding onto aging players, he has let opportunities go by where he could have received value in return if he would have been willing to part with the likes of second baseman Chase Utley or first baseman Ryan Howard sooner rather than later. But one player that still has tremendous value for the Phillies if they were willing to part with him would be starting pitcher Cole Hamels.

Cole Hamels

Hamels is 5-5 this season with an earned run average on 3.19. And for Hamels’ career, he is 113-88 with an earned run average of 3.27. In six of the last seven seasons, Hamels has pitched at least 200 innings while striking out 200 batters in a season three times over that stretch. Hamels is 31-years old and he is under contract with the Phillies until 2019 as they owe him $90.5 million after this season. Hamels is also a left-handed pitcher which gives him even more value on the trade market.

In the past Amaro has listened to offers for Hamels, but nothing close to making him sign off on a deal. However with the Phillies appearing to be out of contention this early in the season, Amaro should think about listening to offers for Hamels’ services as teams will come calling.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays are the hottest MLB team right now as they’ve won their last eight games to get above the .500 mark and keep pace with the New York Yankees in the American League East. The Blue Jays have one of the better offenses in baseball, but they lack an ace at the top of their rotation to make them serious contenders. Blue Jays general manager Alex Anthopoulos doesn’t have the prospects in his minor-league system that Amaro wants and needs, but he would more than likely be willing to take a good chunk of Hamels’ remaining salary off of the Phillies hands as Toronto is desperate to get back to the playoffs for the first time since 1993.

Detroit Tigers

Last year the Detroit Tigers traded for starting pitcher David Price to be a buffer just in case they were unable to re-sign starting pitcher Max Scherzer. And when the Tigers did lose Scherzer in free agency to the Nationals, the loss wasn’t as bad as it could have been due to the fact that they still had Price. This year Tigers general manager Dave Dombrowski has to prepare for the fact that Price could leave Detroit after this season as a free agent, and they will need to stabilize their starting rotation if they are going to remain contenders in the AL. Like the Blue Jays, the Tigers might not have the prospects that Amaro is looking for, but they’d more than likely take on a good portion of Hamels’ remaining contract in order to obtain his services.

Los Angeles Angels

The Los Angeles Angels won 98 games last season, but that couldn’t prevent them from being swept in the American League Divisional Series by the Kansas City Royals. The bats of the Angels were quiet against the Royals, but they were still missing another quality starter in their rotation. Garrett Richards has returned to the Angels starting rotation this season to team with Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson, but you can never have enough arms. The Angels are currently 29-30, but they are only four games behind the Houston Astros for first place in the AL West and the acquisition of Hamels could be just what the doctor ordered for the Halos.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Like their crosstown rivals in the Angels, the Los Angeles Dodgers are in need of another starting pitcher. The Dodgers have the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner and MVP in starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw at the top of their starting rotation along with starting pitcher Zack Greinke, but they lack depth after the season-ending injury to starting pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu. The Dodgers have been long rumored to be a landing spot for Hamels as they have two things that the Phillies want and need which are prospects along with the ability to take on most of his remaining salary. And if Amaro wants to talk turkey, I am sure that the Dodgers would listen.

San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres have hovered around the .500 mark all season long, but the additional wild card spot has given them hope that they can make the postseason in 2015. And new Padres general manager A.J. Preller has shown no fear when it comes to making moves in order to turn San Diego into a contending team in the National League. Hamels is a native of San Diego and you can never rule out a return to the 6-1-9 for him.

Ruben Amaro Jr.

There are teams around the want and need Hamels in their starting rotation. And instead of Amaro holding onto Hamels like he is his last gold coin, it is time cash him in and get the prospects that he is seeking while getting his salary off of the books in Philadelphia. The Phillies don’t have the look of a team that will be contending anytime soon and if they are going to be a bad team, they might as well be an inexpensive bad team that is full of youngsters that can help them build towards the future.

Source: Baseball-almanac.com

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A Harsh Reality For Howard And The Phillies

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http://cdn.nextimpulsesports.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/howard.jpg

Ryan Howard

There was a time when Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard was one of the most feared power hitters in Major League Baseball. In 2005, Howard hit 22 home runs as he became the first Phillies player since Scott Rolen in 1997 to be named as the National League’s Rookie of the Year. Howard would follow this up in 2006 with a .313 batting average, 58 home runs, and 149 runs batted in. Howard’s 58 home runs would become a Phillies single-season franchise record as he would be named as the NL’s MVP. From 2006-2009, Howard would hit at least 45 home runs in each campaign and he was also a part of the Phillies core that helped them win the World Series in 2008. But since then things have changed drastically for Howard and the Phillies.

http://www1.pictures.zimbio.com/gi/Colorado+Rockies+v+Philadelphia+Phillies+Game+NQs9V7_N55Vm.jpg

Ruben Amaro Jr.

In 2010, Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro Jr., decided to give Howard a five-year contract extension worth $125 million. Amaro did this in spite of the fact that Howard was still under contract for three more years. Howard would go on to make the final out of the 2011 National League Divisional Series and in the process he would rupture his Achilles tendon. Howard’s injury would severely limit him in 2012 as he was only able to appear in 71 games that season and he only managed to hit 14 home runs.

This season Howard is coming off of a year in which he led the NL in strikeouts with 190 and he hasn’t been able to do that much better to begin the 2015 MLB season.

So far in 2015, Howard is coming off of a season in which he has already struck out 12 times and he is only batting .175 with a .214 on-base percentage, a pair of runs batted in and he has yet to hit a homer. Howard’s production has forced Phillies manager Ryne Sandberg to drop one of the most prolific power hitters in the franchise’s history to seventh in the batting order last week against the Washington Nationals. Howard has never been a player to rock the boat and he has taken the demotion with a grain of salt, but he, Sandberg, and Amaro need to figure something out.

Howard is owed $50 million from the Phillies over the next two seasons while the team has a $23 million option on him for 2017 which I doubt that they’ll pick up; but stranger things have happened with Amaro in charge. If the Phillies will decline to pick up Howard’s option for 2017, then they will still be on the hook to pay him $10 million.

At 35-years of age, Howard is no longer the player that he once was which is no fault of his as an Achilles injury is very difficult to come back from. And it also hurts Howard and the Phillies that they play in the National League as opposed to the American League which incorporates the designated hitter. Under Amaro, the Phillies may have waited one or two years to long to begin the rebuilding process as they would love to trade Howard, but no team would take his contract unless Philadelphia would be willing to eat a huge chunk of the remaining salary and it doesn’t help that Philadelphia has gotten off to a slow start this season as they are expected to finish in the basement of the NL East. The Phillies gave Howard his contract extension and he has become one of the poster boys in Major League Baseball as to why teams should tread with caution when they intend on giving a player who is at least 30-years of age a massive extension on his deal. We’re still in the infant stages of the 2015 MLB season, but with declining numbers, it doesn’t appear that it’ll get any better any time soon for Howard or the Phillies.

Source: Baseball-Reference.com

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2015 National League East Projections

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X-Washington Nationals 93-69

Over the past few seasons the Washington Nationals have emerged as the team to beat in the National League East, but it hasn’t amounted to any success in the month of October. The Nationals have won the NL East in two of the last three seasons, but have failed to win a playoff series and with parity and free agency reigning supreme in Major League Baseball, championship windows don’t remain open for a long time.

Matt Williams

For Nationals manager Matt Williams, he can rely on having one of the best offenses in the National League. Last season the Nats scored 686 runs which was third in the NL and you can expect more of the same in 2015. Injuries limited outfielder Bryce Harper to just 100 games last season, but Williams and the Nats are hopeful that the modern day “Charlie Hustle” is able to remain healthy as he has the potential to be one of the best five-tool players in the game. After leading the Nationals in home runs last season, it wasn’t a surprise that first baseman Adam LaRoche was allowed to leave as a free agent to join the Chicago White Sox as two is a crowd at first base. Ryan Zimmerman has been the face of the Nationals franchise for quite some time now, but a shoulder injury has hampered his play at third base. The Nats did use Zimmerman sparingly in the outfield last season, but he’ll have a new home this season at first base. Zimmerman is coming off of his worst season as a pro as injuries limited him to just 61 games. But the Nationals are hopeful that Zimmerman can return to being the player that has averaged hitting 25 home runs and 96 runs batted in for his MLB career. Zimmerman’s ineffectiveness at third base has seen the rise of Anthony Rendon at the hot corner for the Nats. Rendon was the Nationals first round selection in 2011 and after batting .287 with 21 home runs and 83 runs batted in last season, he should be in the running to be the NL MVP in 2015. The past few seasons have seen Nationals shortstop Ian Desmond emerge as not only one of the best ballplayers on the club, but also as the best shortstop in the division and he can do it with his bat as well as his glove. Led by outfielder Denard Span, the Nationals stole 101 bases last season. Span had a career-high in stolen bases with 31 in 2014 with a .355 on-base percentage. Span is the table setter for this potent Nationals lineup and he’ll once again be vital to their potential success in 2015.

Jordan Zimmermann

Make no mistake about the fact that the Nationals will once again be favored to win the NL East due to their overall team balance as they have one of the best starting rotations in baseball. The Nats led the National League in team earned run average last season at 3.03 while all five of their starting pitchers won at least 10 games. Nationals starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann has emerged as one of the best pitchers in the NL and he should once again be in line to win at least 15 games this season. Nationals starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg made 34 starts last season while striking out 242 batters and at 26-years of age, this could be the season that he puts it altogether and takes home the National League Cy Young Award for the first time in his brief career. But rich got richer this off-season when the Nats were able to add starting pitcher Max Scherzer to their stable of strong arms. Scherzer and the Nationals agreed on a seven-year, $210 million deal that caught some baseball observers by surprise, but Washington is hopeful that this will be the last link to their potential championship chain. Scherzer was the 2013 American League Cy Young Award winner as a member of the Detroit Tigers. In five seasons with the Tigers, Scherzer was 82-35 with 1,081 strikeouts and he should flourish in the National League East.

Mike Rizzo

Nationals general manager Mike Rizzo elected to allow relief pitcher Rafael Soriano walk in free agency and he traded relief pitcher Tyler Clippard to the Oakland Athletics. Soriano did lead the Nats in saves last season with 32, but he was erratic at times while Clippard was a solid pitcher in the eighth inning. Right now the ninth inning is Drew Storen’s job to lose for the Nationals. In five years Storen has saved 66 games for the Nats, but being a part-time closer and a full-time guy are two different animals.

It won’t take Rizzo or Williams that long to see what kind of team that they have as the Nationals will meet the Boston Red Sox, St. Louis Cardinals, and Miami Marlins in the first month of the season which will all be good tests for Washington.

Y-Miami Marlins 88-74

After losing 100 games in 2013, not much was expected of the Miami Marlins last season. But the Marlins showed signs of improvement as they avoided finishing in the cellar of the National League East for a fourth consecutive season. The Marlins won 77 games in their second year under manager Mike Redmond and they could flirt with making the postseason this year for the first time since 2003.

Giancarlo Stanton

Any success that the Marlins will have in 2015 starts and ends with outfielder Giancarlo Stanton. At 25-years of age, Stanton is already one of the most feared sluggers in Major League Baseball as he is one day destined to hit a home run out of Marlins Park and flush into the Atlantic Ocean. The Marlins locked Stanton up this off-season to a 13-year, $325 million contract which is the largest in North American sports history. Stanton tied a career-high in home runs last season with 37. Stanton finished second in the National League MVP balloting and he may have won the award had he not suffered several facial injuries after being hit by a pitch while facing the Milwaukee Brewers late in the regular season. Stanton led the NL home runs last season without the luxury of having a ton of talent around, but that will not be the case in 2015.

Dee Gordon

Marlins general manager Dan Jennings spent this off-season wheeling and dealing in the hopes to get this club back to the postseason. The Marlins acquired second baseman Dee Gordon and starting pitcher Dan Haren from the Los Angeles Dodgers as one man’s trash could be another’s fortune. The Dodgers front office gave up on Gordon who led the National League in stolen bases last season with 64. And as long as Gordon is able to get on base, Stanton’s offensive production should increase. In a five-player trade the Marlins also acquired utility man Martin Prado and starting pitcher David Phelps from the New York Yankees. Prado can play multiple positions, but the Marlins are expecting him to settle in a third base. After helping the San Francisco Giants win the World Series last season, utility man Mike Morse is coming home. Morse is a native of Fort Lauderdale, Florida and in his 10-year Major League Baseball career he has averaged 23 home runs and 77 runs batted in per season. Marlins outfielder Marcell Ozuna is only 24-years of age, but he is coming off of a season in which he hit 23 home runs and a 30-homer season could be in the cards for him in 2015.

Jose Fernandez

After undergoing Tommy John surgery last year, the Marlins are hopeful that starting pitcher Jose Fernandez could return at some point this season, but they still have a good blend of youth and veterans in their starting rotation. The Marlins acquired starting pitcher Mat Latos from the Cincinnati Reds this off-season. Latos grew up in Fort Lauderdale and the Marlins are hopeful that this will be the season that he is able to put it all together and win at least 17 games. Very quietly relief pitcher Steve Cishek saved 39 games last season for the Marlins and if he is able to save anywhere between 45-50 in 2015, it could point Miami in the direction of postseason baseball.

For the month of April, the Nationals are the only team that the Marlins face that had a winning record last season as they will look to get out of the gates with a fast start and produce some excitement for baseball in South Florida.

New York Mets 84-78

2008 was the last time that the New York Mets had a winning season. But heading into 2015 there is actually some optimism in Queens for the Mets. The past few seasons have seen the Mets live by the “destroy and rebuild” philosophy. Mets owners Fred and Jeff Wilpon have found themselves cash strapped over the past few years as they have tried to hang on to their fledgling franchise. But the adhesive in Flushing has been the Mets general manager Sandy Alderson. Alderson is entering his fifth season as the Mets general manger and he doesn’t have a winning record under his belt during his time there, but he has been able to rebuild the team’s minor league system through trades and drafting. The Mets primarily have a home grown team sprinkled in with some imports here and there.

Daniel Murphy

Second baseman Daniel Murphy was drafted by the Mets in 2006 and he debuted with the club in 2008. Murphy is the best contact hitter that the Mets have in spite of the reluctancy by Alderson to give him a long-term deal. First baseman Lucas Duda was drafted by the Mets in 2007 and he made his debut with the club in 2010. Duda is a first baseman by trade, but the Mets forced him to play right field. When the Mets brass gave up on Ike Davis last year they entrusted Duda to be their everyday first baseman. Duda didn’t disappoint as he hit 30 home runs and even garnered a few votes in the voting for the National League MVP Award. The Mets are hopeful that Duda’s big season in 2014 is a harbinger of things to come as they sorely need a consistent power hitter in the heart of their lineup. Mets third baseman David Wright has been the face of the franchise for quite some time now. Wright is coming off of his worst statistical season as a pro as injuries curtailed him in 2014. But Wright is healthy this season and he has more talent around him in the Mets lineup. And all Wright needs is to hit 23 home runs this season and he will become the Mets all-time leader within the category. After being demoted to Triple-A Las Vegas last season for a spell, catcher Travis d’Arnaud returned to the Mets and became a better hitter as he finished seventh in the NL Rookie of the Year voting. The Mets are hopeful that d’Arnaud continues to trend upwards at the plate. And the Mets pitching staff likes the way that d’Arnaud calls a game behind the plate which makes him a keeper. The Mets have all but given up on Ruben Tejada at shortstop and with Alderson failing to find a trade partner or sign a free agent, the job appears to be Wilmer Flores’ to lose. The Mets have used Flores at second base, third base, and at shortstop, but if he has going to stick around in Queens he’ll have to do it at shortstop. Last year Flores batted .251 with a .286 on-base percentage, 6 home runs, and 29 runs batted in. Flores did this in 274 plate appearances as Mets manager Terry Collins didn’t consistently allow him to play. But if Flores is given his opportunity, he should not disappoint.

Juan Lagares

Mets center fielder Juan Lagares can flash the leather in center field as he won a Gold Glove for his defensive prowess in 2014. Lagares’ biggest problem is staying healthy and if he can finally do that, he will continue to flourish while making the jobs of the pitchers and corner outfielders for the Mets that much easier. Alderson and Collins are going with a pair of veterans at the corner outfield positions. Outfielder Curtis Granderson is entering his second season with the Mets as they found out last season what the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees already knew; that he is a strikeout machine waiting to happen. Granderson is a good clubhouse guy, but the Mets need him to produce on the field. And apparently any friend of Wright is a friend of the Mets. The Mets signed Wright’s good friend Michael Cuddyer to play right field. Cuddyer appeared in only 49 games last season for the Colorado Rockies and this could be another one of those infamous bad free agent signings by the Mets.

Matt Harvey

The Mets team earned run average of 3.49 was sixth in the NL last season and it should once again be the backbone of this team. After missing all of 2014 as he was recovering from Tommy John surgery, starting pitcher Matt Harvey is returning which could be good for the Mets and bad for the other teams in the NL East as he is one of the few true aces in MLB. In 22 starts last season, starting pitcher Jacob deGrom went 9-6 with a 2.69 earned run average as he became the first Mets player since Dwight Gooden in 1984 to be the selected as National League’s top rookie. Along with Harvey and deGrom, the Mets have Jon Niese, Zach Wheeler, and Bartolo Colon in their starting rotation. And it would not shock me at some point this summer to see prized prospect Noah Syndergaard take the mound for the Mets in Queens.

The law firm of Jenrry Mejia and Jeryus Familia will make things interesting in the late innings, but Collins will trust them to close out games while the returning Bobby Parnell could also be a factor in the Mets bullpen.

The Mets first month of the season will see them concentrate on battling the NL East which could make or break their 2015 before it even starts.

Atlanta Braves 79-83

Last season the Atlanta Braves saw their first losing season since 2008 and with it came wholesale changes. Late last season Frank Wren was relieved of his duties as the Braves general manager. John Hart was brought in as the interim general manager and was offered the full-time job, but instead he opted to become the Braves president of baseball operations. And in the past few months Hart has been reshaping the Braves roster.

Outfielder Jason Heyward was traded to the St. Louis Cardinals along with relief pitcher Jordan Walden in exchange for starting pitcher Shelby Miller and minor-league pitcher Tyrell Jenkins. And not too long after Heyward was traded to the Cards, Hart traded outfielder Justin Upton to the San Diego Padres. Hart also traded utility man Evan Gattis to the Houston Astros. Appearing to now be thin in the outfield, Hart and the Braves signed former Baltimore Orioles outfielder Nick Markakis. In nine seasons with the Orioles, Markakis averaged 17 homers, 78 runs batted in and a .290 batting average. Markakis has tremendous range in the outfield as well as being a two-time American League Gold Glove Award winner.

Freddie Freeman

But the Braves offense starts and ends with first baseman Freddie Freeman. Freeman’s offensive numbers were down a little in 2014, but he is expected to bounce back as he is one of the best contact hitters in Major League Baseball.

Part of the Braves offensive woes last season were that they were 10th in the NL in on-base percentage at .305. A big part of those woes begin with outfielder B.J. Upton. Upton is entering his third year with the Braves after signing a five-year, $75 million contract and he now prefers to be called Melvin. Upon Upton’s arrival in Atlanta he was supposed to the Braves table setter, but since coming to Dixie he has only batted .179 with a .287 on-base percentage with 32 stolen bases. Upton’s lethargic play has led to Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez dropping him in the lineup and at some points benching him altogether. The Braves would love to trade Upton, but due to his lucrative salary they are on the hook for the next three years with an unproductive player and it will be darn near impossible to ship him out of town.

Julio Teheran

In 2014, the Braves had four starting pitchers win at least 11 games, but two of those pitchers in Ervin Santana and Aaron Harang are no longer with the team. The Braves are backing on 24-year old starting pitcher Julio Teheran being able to assert himself and become an ace of the pitching staff. Gonzalez and the Braves do have a stable of arms in their bullpen in Jason Grilli, James Russell, and Jim Johnson that will set things up for closer Craig Kimbrel who has saved 186 games over the last four seasons.

2015 will be a transitional period for the Braves and with their first 15 games of the upcoming season against improved teams in the Miami Marlins, New York Mets, and Toronto Blue Jays, the fans in Atlanta and the surrounding areas must show patience.

Philadelphia Phillies 74-88

The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off of consecutive losing seasons for the first time since 2000 and with one of the oldest teams in Major League Baseball, 2015 shouldn’t give the baseball fans in Philly that much hope. Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro traded longtime shortstop Jimmy Rollins to the Los Angeles Dodgers and he shouldn’t stop there as he is holding on to false hope with this team. There is a trade market for starting pitcher Cole Hamels, relief pitcher Jonathan Papelbon, and second baseman Chase Utley as Amaro must completely blow this thing up. And with that the outlook for the Phillies in the National League East for 2015 is bleak at best.

Ryne Sandberg

Ryne Sandberg is entering is second full season as the Phillies manager and he will have his hands full in trying to get things turned around in Philadelphia. Hamels is expected to be the Phillies ace this season, but there is uncertainty around that as he could be traded. Starting pitcher Cliff Lee is 36-years of age and an elbow injury limited him to just 13 starts last season which makes it tough for the Phillies to expect him to throw 200 innings this season. Like Lee, Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Harang is 36-years of age and he is a journeyman. 2015 will mark Harang’s third different NL East team in as many seasons as it was the Mets in 2013 and the Braves last year. But like Lee, the Phillies cannot put baited breath on Harang’s arm.

In three seasons with the Phillies, Papelbon has saved 106 games, but he has been a lightning rod for controversy as he has tried his hardest to get traded with his outbursts which have all failed. However if the Phillies fall out of contention early in the NL East, maybe Papelbon will finally get his wish.

Ryan Howard

Last season the Phillies offense was near the bottom of most of the statistical categories in the NL East while they were fourth in strikeouts with 1,306. Even in his prime Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard was never the most mobile and at the age of 35 this is not an aspect of his game that will improve. The Phillies tried to rid themselves of Howard last season as they’re on the hook for pay him more than $60 million over the next three seasons which means that they could attempt to trade him to an American League team where he would be better served as a designated hitter if he gets off to a fast start. Howard’s teammate on the Phillies right side the infield for nearly the past decade has been Utley who is 36-years of age and after a bounce back 2014, it will tough for Philadelphia to expect to play more than 150 games once more this season.

After five consecutive playoff appearances from 2007-2011, the Phillies need to be full on as far as rebuilding which means that this could be a long season in the City of Brotherly Love.

X-Division Champion

Y-Wild Card

Source: Baseball-Reference.com

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