Tag Archives: NFC South

2016 Week 3 NFL Picks

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Is Trevor Siemian ready for his first road test as the starting quarterback of the Denver Broncos?

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2016 Week 1 NFL Picks

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Is Quarterback Robert Griffin III ready to make the most of his opportunity with Cleveland Browns?

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2016 NFC South Projections

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X-Carolina Panthers 11-5

Last year saw the Carolina Panthers join an elite club as they became just the eighth team in National Football League history to win at least 15 games regular season games. But success in the regular season doesn’t always translate to the playoffs as the Panthers lost Super Bowl 50 to the Denver Broncos. And in the process the Panthers showed how hard that it is to keep it going in the postseason as only the 1984 San Francisco 49ers and 1985 Chicago Bears are the only teams in NFL history to win at least 15 regular season games that were able to see it materialize into a Super Bowl Championship. The Panthers had their way in 2015 as their stout defense and powerful running game simply bullied opponents. However in 2016, teams will be gunning for the Panthers in spite of the fact that they were unable to win it all, and it will be interesting to see how they’ll respond.

Cam Newton

Cam Newton will enter the 2016 National Football League season as the reigning MVP of the league. At the age of 27, Newton has put it all together as he now has the pocket presence that is needed to compliment his supreme athleticism. But Newton cannot do it all by himself as he needs help in the passing game.

As a rookie in 2014, wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin became a very dependable pass catcher for Newton. Benjamin had 73 receptions for 1,008 yards and 9 touchdowns, but on the first day of Panthers training camp in 2015, Benjamin suffered an ACL injury. The Panthers were able to make it to the Super Bowl without Benjamin, but they missed his presence in the Super Bowl where the Broncos took away their power rushing attack.

Greg Olsen

The Panthers still have tight end Greg Olsen who gained 1,104 receiving last year which was a career high. And although that Olsen is entering his tenth National Football League season, he is still an effective option for Newton in the passing game.

The Panthers were second in the National Football League last season in rushing, but surprisingly they didn’t have one player gain at least 1,000 yards on the ground. Panthers running back Jonathan Stewart is coming off of a career high in carries with 242 and after eight years in the NFL, you have to wonder if he can still take the pounding.

Carolina has one of the better centers in football in Ryan Kalil who will anchor an offensive line that has the cohesion necessary to keep Newton clean in the pocket.

Last year the Panthers were sixth in the National Football League in total defense as they were a very stingy group. Eight Carolina opponents were held under 20 points, while their defense feasted off of turnovers as they were plus-20 in the turnover category.

Middle linebacker Luke Kuechly is arguably the best middle linebacker in the NFL as he has tremendous lateral movement, while he also has the ability to tackle anything that moves. Led by defensive end Kawann Short and defensive tackle Star Lotulelei, the Panthers have a defensive line that will get after opponents as this front seven is relentless.

Carolina could have some issues in the secondary as they released cornerback Josh Norman after a contract dispute, while also parting ways with veteran strong safety Roman Harper. And more than ever the Panthers secondary will rely on the front seven of the defense to carry them.

Ron Rivera

For Panthers head coach Ron Rivera, he has a team that is very capable of making it back to the Super Bowl, but every team in the NFC will be gunning for them; especially with the brash bravado of Newton.

Atlanta Falcons 10-6

As the 2016 National Football League season is getting set to start, the term “finish” will be thrown around in regards to the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons began 2015 with a record of 6-1 as they appeared to be a lock to make the postseason. But unfortunately for the Falcons, the wheels fell off as they would lose their next six games. The Falcons were able to recover to finish 8-8, however for head coach Dan Quinn, he is seeking to get Atlanta back to the playoffs for the first time since 2012 in this their final year at the Georgia Dome.

Matt Ryan

In eight years as the starting quarterback of the Falcons, Matt Ryan has quietly gone about his job. Ryan has a career record of 74-52, while he is also the Falcons all-time leader in passing yards (32,757) and touchdowns (202). But with a playoff record of 1-4 with two of those losses coming at home when Atlanta had home-field advantage, Ryan has been pushed aside as fairly or unfairly, quarterbacks in the National Football League are firstly judged by playoff wins and championships.

However Ryan can still get the job done at the age of 31 as he is one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football. Ryan also has the luxury of throwing the football to one of the most dynamic wide receivers in the National Football League in Julio Jones. Last year saw Jones lead the NFL in receptions (136), and receiving yards (1,871). At 6’4″, 220 lbs., Jones can make it look very easy at times due to his size, strength, and freakish speed which will keep in the conversation in regards to being an All-Pro.

After being a role player for the last four years with the Cincinnati Bengals, wide receiver Mohammed Sanu signed with the Falcons this off-season as a free agent. Sanu is not a Pro Bowl caliber wide receiver, but what he possesses is enough ability to keep opposing defenses honest in regards to their coverage on Jones.

Devonta Freeman

The Falcons also enjoy balance on offense due to the contributions of running Devonta Freeman. Last year Freeman gained 1,061 on the ground, while also doing a solid job in pass protection and catching passes out of the backfield for Ryan. Freeman made the Pro Bowl last year and he could be ready to become one of the best all-purpose backs in the National Football League.

 

The Falcons have a veteran offensive line that should be improved with the addition of center Alex Mack. Mack spent the first seven years of his National Football League career with the Cleveland Browns where he was a three-time Pro Bowl selection. But now Mack is looking to be a part of a winner and he has a shot to make the playoffs for the first time in his career with the Falcons.

2015 was a disappointing rookie campaign for outside linebacker Vic Beasley who was Atlanta’s first-round pick, but the additions of outside linebackers Brooks Reed and Courtney Upshaw should take some of the pressure off of him as Atlanta looks to move up in the defensive rankings after being 16th in the National Football League last year in total defense.

The NFC South Championship should come down to the Falcons and Carolina Panthers who are the defending champs. And the Week 4 and Week 16 showdowns between these two clubs will go a very long way in deciding who’ll win the division here in 2016.

New Orleans Saints 8-8

Three of the last four National Football League seasons have seen the New Orleans Saints fall short of making the postseason as this is an organization that is attempting to hold on. The Saints issues began when they gave quarterback Drew Brees a five-year deal that was worth $100 million in 2012 which has hamstrung the front office as they’ve been unable to put quality players around him. But the Saints could be ready for a breakthrough here in 2016.

Drew Brees

At the age of 37, Brees is still one of the best quarterbacks in the National Football League and the Saints indoor home of the Mercedes-Benz Superdome is perfect for him. Brees has four, 5000-yard passing seasons to his credit as when the Saints offense is clicking, it it the equivalent for fast break basketball.

Speed is the name of the game with the Saints wide receivers in Brandon Cooks and Wille Snead. But the biggest issue that has held the New Orleans offense back in recent years has been their lack of a consistent running game. The Saints were 24th in the National Football League last season in rushing and you have to go all the way back to 2006 to find the last time that a New Orleans running back gained 1,000 yards on the ground.

As Dennis Allen is set to begin his first full year as the Saints defensive coordinator after he took over for fired Rob Ryan midway through last season, there is only one direction to go which is up. Last year the Saints were 31st in the National Football League in total defense as they allowed 413.8 yards against them per game which also saw four New Orleans opponents tally at least 39 points on them.

Cameron Jordan

But as much as the Saints struggled on defense, they do have play makers in defensive end Cameron Jordan, middle linebacker Stephone Anthony, and cornerback Delvin Breaux. However New Orleans must find a way to get off of the field on third down as they were 22nd in the National Football League in opponents third down conversions last season.

For Saints head coach Sean Payton, his team’s first four opponents failed to make the postseason last year and they will need a hot start in 2016 as they look to make the playoffs for the first time since 2013.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5-11

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into the 2016 National Football League in a very familiar spot as they are once again starting over. The Buccaneers were making strides last year under head coach Lovie Smith. But after Smith declined to make changes to his staff, Bucs general manager Jason Licht decided to make him walk the plank. Smith was replaced by Dirk Koetter who served on his staff last year as the Buccaneers offensive coordinator. The hire of Koetter as the Buccaneers head coach marks the fourth different head coach in the last six years, and it is no wonder why this organization has not made the postseason since 2007. But the reason why Licht decided to go with Koetter is due to his relationship with quarterback Jameis Winston.

Dirk Koetter, Jameis Winston

With Koetter as Winston’s offensive coordinator last year, he was named as the National Football League’s Rookie of the Year as he passed for 4,042 yards while throwing 22 touchdowns. Winston has the talent to be a superstar in the NFL, and it will be interesting to see how much that he’ll grow in this his sophomore campaign under Koetter.

Last year the Bucs were fifth in the National Football League in total offense, but there were six games in which they scored less than 20 points which comes down to their execution in the red zone. The Buccaneers have big wide receivers in Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson that should be able to win most jump ball situations in the red zone. Running back Doug Martin gained more than 1,400 yards on the ground, but like the passing attack in Tampa, he struggled in the red zone as he only managed to get 6 rushing touchdowns.

Like the offense in Tampa Bay in 2015, the defense was also a top ten unit, but what hurt them the most was that they were minus-5 in the turnover category. The Buccaneers do have play makers in defensive tackle Gerald McCoy and linebacker Lavonte David, but somebody must step up and become a consistent under first year defensive coordinator Mike Smith.

The schedule makers didn’t do the Bucs any favors here in 2016 as they will be running the gauntlet out of the chute with road games against the Atlanta Falcons and Arizona Cardinals, along with games against the Carolina Panthers and Denver Broncos who were the two participants in the Super Bowl this past January.

X-Division Winner

Source: Pro-football-reference.com

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2016 NFC South Draft Grades

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Carolina Panthers

Grade: C-

First Round Pick: Vernon Butler-Defensive Tackle-Louisiana Tech

Best Pick: Round Five-Zack Sanchez-Cornerback-Oklahoma

Even though that the Carolina Panthers went 15-1 in 2015 en route to winning the NFC Championship, they were a flawed team. The Panthers relied on their running game and a strong defense, but it wasn’t enough for them to win the Super Bowl. And after losing Super Bowl 50 to the Denver Broncos, it was clear that the Panthers had issues on the offensive line and in the passing game. But at the 2016 National Football League Draft, Panthers general manager Dave Gettleman missed an opportunity to remedy that.

Vernon Butler

Instead Gettleman opted to use the Panthers first-round choice on Louisiana Tech Bulldogs defensive tackle Vernon Butler. The Panthers had a stout defensive line last season and Butler will be a welcome sight to their rotation as head coach Ron Rivera would like to have a wave of fresh bodies that can collapse the pocket, but they missed the boat on addressing their issues at both wide receiver and offensive tackle.

After releasing Pro Bowl cornerback Josh Norman, the Panthers went heavy in the defensive back category at the draft where they selected three cornerbacks with the most intriguing one being Oklahoma Sooners cornerback Zack Sanchez in the fifth round. And like Norman, Sanchez has an eye for the football as it should not take him that long to become a household name in Charlotte.

Atlanta Falcons

Grade: C-

First Round Pick: Keanu Neal-Safety-Florida

Best Pick: Keanu Neal

After Dan Quinn went 8-8 in his first season as the head coach of the Atlanta Falcons in 2015, he is looking to build off of that and get this team back to the postseason for the first time since 2012. And that process began at the National Football League Draft.

Keanu Neal

The Falcons needed to concentrate on their defense which needs more play makers. The Falcons had the 17th overall pick which they used on Florida Gators safety Keanu Neal who has solid range in the secondary. Atlanta needs a player like Neal due to the fact that the NFC South is home to some quality quarterbacks that can put pressure on opposing defenses as the Falcons need a strong general in their secondary.

But unfortunately for the Falcons and their fan base, the highlight of the 2016 National Football League Draft was selecting Neal as they were unable to bring in other quality players that can have an immediate impact which puts a dark cloud over the upcoming NFL season in Atlanta.

New Orleans Saints

Grade: C+

First Round Pick: Sheldon Rankins-Defensive Tackle-Louisville

Best Pick: Round Two- Michael Thomas-Wide Receiver-Ohio State

The New Orleans entered the National Football League Draft not owning that many picks, but they attempted to make the most with their selections. Last year the Saints defense was torched as they were 31st in the National Football League in total defense. And for Saints general manager Mickey Loomis, he couldn’t go wrong by adding bodies at any level of the defense.

Sheldon Rankins

In the first round the Saints decided on Louisville Cardinals defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins who has solid speed for a player his size which will be important as he looks to penetrate gaps on the offensive line. The Saints also used a second round pick on Ohio State Buckeyes safety Vonn Bell as they are hoping that he can bringing some swagger to the Bayou after winning a national championship in college. The Saints would also select Bell’s college teammate in the second round in wide receiver Michael Thomas. At 6’3″, 212 lbs., Thomas has some size at the wide receiver position that the Saints need while it shouldn’t take him that long to get on the same page with quarterback Drew Brees who knows how to keep all of his receivers involved in the offense.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Grade: B-

First Round Pick: Vernon Hargreaves-Cornerback III-Cornerback-Florida

Best Pick: Vernon Hargreaves

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers already have their franchise quarterback in Jameis Winston, and now they are looking to sure things up on the defensive side of the ball. The 2016 National Football League Draft saw the Buccaneers concentrate heavy on defense as they are looking to become a playoff contender.

Vernon Hargeaves

The Bucs used their first-round choice on Florida Gators cornerback Vernon Hargreaves III. At 5’10”, Hargreaves will be looking up to the majority of the wide receivers that he’ll be covering, but he will make up for it with the solid coverage skills that he possesses. The second round saw the Buccaneers select Eastern Kentucky Colonels defensive end Noah Spence. At 6’2″, 251 lbs., Spence could be a hybrid player at both defensive end and outside linebacker which gives defensive coordinator Mike Smith options as far as using his skill set.

But I was surprised with Tampa Bay selecting Florida State Seminoles kicker Roberto Aguayo in the second round. Aguayo does possess a big leg, however that early in the draft isn’t typically reserved to see a specialty player chosen. And that is something that could come back to haunt the Buccaneers in the long run.

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2016 Week 17 NFL Picks

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Win and you’re in. It is that simple for the New York Jets.

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2015 Week 16 NFL Picks

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A victory by the New England Patriots will give them home-field advantage throughout the AFC Playoffs.

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The Wheels Have Fallen Off

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Through the first five games of the 2015 National Football League season, the Atlanta Falcons had the look of a team that was ready to contend for the Super Bowl Title. The Falcons were 5-0 and they had four comeback victories under their belts. But over the past two months, things have changed drastically for the Falcons as they have lost six of their last seven games. The Falcons are now 6-7 and they find themselves on the outside looking in as far as the playoff picture in the NFC after they once appeared to be a lock for a trip to the postseason.

After spending the last two years as the defensive coordinator of the Seattle Seahawks, Dan Quinn was hired to be the head coach of the Falcons. Quinn brought with him some of that “Seahawks energy” to the Falcons as they were on a roll in September and early October, but like B.B. King once famously sang, the thrill is gone in Atlanta.

The Falcons have gotten away from what was working for them at the start of the National Football League season which was the ability to finish games along with a sense of urgency. Over the last nine weeks, the Falcons have lost five games against teams that had losing records entering the game. And in two of the last three weeks, the Falcons have squandered leads in the second half of their games.

Devonta Freeman

The Falcons issues begins with their offense which has sputtered in recent weeks. Through the Falcons first seven games this year, running back Devonta Freeman had gained at least 100 rushing yards four times. But the Falcons inability to run the ball recently along with a concussion have limited Freeman recently. Wide receiver Julio Jones is leading the National Football League in receptions (109), and receiving yards (1,426), but Atlanta has failed in having another receiver step up and take some of the work load off of him as the closest player on the team to him in receiving yards this season is tight end Jacob Tamme with 567. Wide receiver Roddy White is the Falcons all-time leader in receiving yards, but at 34-years of age he doesn’t have the same burst and explosion that he did when he was younger as Quinn appears to be attempting to phase him out in Atlanta. Since tight end Tony Gonzalez retired in 2013, the Falcons have lacked a consistent go-to-guy at the position which is showing up in the inconsistency of quarterback Matt Ryan in Atlanta who depended on Gonzalez to bail him out.

On the season, Ryan has thrown 17 touchdown passes while being intercepted 14 times with 7 of those picks coming in the last four games. Ryan has been forcing the football into tight spots while he doesn’t appear to be the calm field general that he was earlier in the year. Ryan was the third overall pick of the Falcons in 2008 and as the franchise’s all-time leader in passing yards, he has seen his fair share of ups and downs in Atlanta.

Matt Ryan

In 2012, Ryan led the National Football League in completion percentage (68.6) while he is only the third quarterback in Falcons franchise history to help the organization reach the NFC Championship Game. But a 1-4 playoff record along with his inconsistent play have helped to put a damper on his legacy in Atlanta as the turnovers this year by him are hurting the team.

In less than one year in Atlanta, Quinn has improved the Falcons defense. Last year the Falcons were ranked last in the National Football League in yards allowed while they entered Week 14 ranked 14th this season. The Falcons defense has forced 20 turnovers this season, but their offense has given it away 22 times which has made things counter productive for them.

In the early stages of this National Football League season, it appeared that the Falcons and Carolina Panthers were going to be battling it out for the top spot in the NFC South. But whereas the Panthers have kept their foot on the throttle as the last undefeated team in the NFL this year, Atlanta has sputtered. And as the Panthers have taken care of their business against lesser opponents on their schedule to wrap up the NFC South Title, the Falcons have struggled. Now over the final four games of the regular season, the Falcons and Panthers meet twice which could all but end Atlanta’s fading playoff hopes: especially when you factor in that Carolina has a very opportunistic defense that forces turnovers while Atlanta’s Ryan has not done a solid job recently of protecting the football. That was further illustrated today when the Panthers defeated the Falcons 38-0 as Atlanta was dominated from the opening kickoff.

When things were great for the Falcons, they were really great. But now as the weeks go by, a situation that was once bad for the Falcons has simply gotten worse.

Source: Pro-football-reference.com

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2015 Week 14 NFL Picks

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Mike Tomlin and the Pittsburgh Steelers are gearing up for the stretch run in the National Football League.

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2015 Week 13 NFL Picks

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Week 8 NFL Picks

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Jim Caldwell is hopeful that the moves that he recently made to the Detroit Lions coaching staff will light a fire under his team.

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