Another year, and another disappointment in the playoffs for the Washington Nationals.
X-Washington Nationals 90-72
Since 2012, the Washington Nationals have had one of the most talented teams in Major League Baseball, but they have struggled to live up to their potential. The Nationals have three National League East Titles to their credit since 2012, but they’ve also failed to win a playoff series. And dating back to their time as the Montreal Expos, the Nats have only won one postseason series in their 49-year history. Washington will head into the 2017 MLB season looking to buck the trend as after winning the N.L. East, they tend to really underachieve in the following season and you have to wonder if things will be any different for them now?
Dusty Baker is set to begin his second season as the Nationals skipper and he is indeed a man that knows how to get results. In Baker’s managerial career, he has now led the San Francisco Giants, Chicago Cubs, Cincinnati Reds, and Nationals to the postseason. Baker gets the most out of his teams, but the biggest shock in 2016 was how he got Washington to the playoffs.
The Nationals were able to win the National League East in 2016 in spite of the fact the outfielder Bryce Harper had a down year. After Harper won the N.L. MVP Award in 2015, he only managed to hit .243 with 24 home runs and 86 runs batted in last year. Harper still gave maximum effort for the Nats, but his timing at the plate simply wasn’t there. However, Harper is the kind of player that knows how to bounce back, and for the Nationals to do some damage this year, he will need to recapture his MVP form.
But as Harper was unable to live up to the lofty expectations that were placed on him, Nationals second baseman Daniel Murphy picked up the slack. In Murphy’s first season in Washington, he finished second in the National League MVP voting as he batted a career-high .347 with 25 home runs and 104 runs batted in. Murphy was a motivated man in 2016 after he was spurned by his former team in the New York Mets which led to his signing with the Nats. However you have to wonder if Murphy and the Nationals will be able to go the well with that once more in 2017?
But aside from Harper and Murphy, the Nats are really high on shortstop Trea Turner. In 73 games with the Nationals in 2016, Turner batted .342 with 13 home runs, 40 home runs, and 33 stolen bases. Turner is only 23-years of age and his potential led Washington to trading infielder Danny Espinosa to the Los Angeles Angels over the off-season. Turner can be a lead-off hitter for the Nats and his getting on base in front of Harper and Murphy will be important.
Third baseman Anthony Rendon has been consistent for Washington at the hot corner, while they have a veteran presence in their clubhouse in first baseman Ryan Zimmerman and outfielder Jayson Werth. But two acquisitions that flew under the radar during the off-season by National general manager Mike Rizzo were when he acquired utility man Adam Eaton and catcher Derek Norris in separate trades.
The Nationals acquisition of Eaton got some attention due to the fact that three pitchers were sent to the Chicago White Sox in exchange for him, but he could be well worth it. Two of the last three years saw Eaton lead the American League in triples as along with Turner, he could be a valuable table setter in D.C. In five Major League Baseball seasons, Eaton is a career .284 hitter, while he also brings a scrappy element to each team in which he has played for.
Last September saw catcher Wilson Ramos suffer a torn ACL which hurt the Nats chances in the playoffs. Ramos has subsequently joined the Tampa Bay Rays, but his injury paved the way for Rizzo to acquire Norris from the San Diego Padres. Norris gives the Nats another veteran back stop along with Jose Lobaton to work with this pitching staff as they look to repeat as National League Eastern Division Champions.
The Nationals team earned run average of 3.51 was second in the National League and there is potential once for this staff to be one of the best in the business.
Starting pitcher Max Scherzer became the first Nats pitcher since Gio Gonzalez in 2012 to win 20 games en route to winning the National League’s Cy Young Award, and he should once again be a force. Scherzer is one of the better power pitchers currently in baseball which is evident by him striking out at least 200 batters in each of the last five years. Scherzer knows how to dictate the pace on the mound as he tends to get ahead of hitters in the count which paves the way for his electric fastball.
After spending 2015 between the starting rotation and the bullpen, Tanner Roark got his opportunity to pitch every fifth day for the Nationals and he rewarded the team by winning a career-high 16 starts. However 2016 was the first time in Roark’s career that he threw more than 200 innings in a season and you have to wonder if there will be any carry over to 2017?
After the strong start by Gonzalez upon joining the Nats in 2012, he’s been an up and down pitcher that needs to recreate himself. Gonzalez’s velocity has dipped slightly on his pitches as it time for him to become more of a junk pitcher that locates.
Each time that starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg appears ready to turn the corner in order to become the ace in which the Nats envisioned upon drafting him first overall in 2009, he cannot overcome the injury bug. Like Scherzer, Strasburg has the potential to win 20 games, but he is still a guy that Washington must approach with the kid gloves in order to maximize his effectiveness.
All signs point to relief pitcher Blake Treinen being the Nationals closer as neither Jonathan Papelbon or Mark Melancon returned to the Nats after they combined to save 36 games last year. Treinen has only saved one game during his three-year Major League Baseball career and it will be baptism by fire to begin the 2017 campaign.
2017 will more than likely shape up as a two-team race for the National League East Crown between the Nationals and Mets. And another strong start by Washington could be just what the doctor ordered for them to win the division in consecutive years for the first time in franchise history.
Y-New York Mets 89-73
The New York Mets will enter the 2017 Major League Baseball season seeking to do something that they’ve never done before which is to make the postseason in three consecutive years. After winning the National League Pennant in 2015, the Mets were expected to once again reach the World Series Title last year. However injuries plagued the Mets in 2016, but somehow they were able to secure a playoff berth. And now the Mets are hopeful to be healthy in order to make another World Series push.
Pitching was the name of the game for the Mets in 2015 for their National League Pennant, and in order for them to get back to the postseason this fall, they’ll once again have to rely on their arms. The Mets allowed veteran starting pitcher Bartolo Colon to leave in free agency as he joined the Atlanta Braves being that they have plenty of young studs in their starting rotation.
With injuries in 2016 to starting pitchers Jacob deGrom, Matt Harvey, and Steven Matz, the Mets relied on another young stud in starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard. In 30 starts last season for the Mets, Synderggard went 14-9 with a 2.60 earned run average while striking out 218 batters. Syndergaard further solidified his reputation as a big game pitcher when he struck out 10 batters, but got a no-decision against the San Francisco Giants in the National League Wild Card Game. Fans in the Big Apple have gravitated to Syndergaard due to the fact that he is fearless on the mound which is something that they can relate to.
For the second time since 2013, Harvey missed significant time due injury, and after he had shoulder surgery to relieve thoracic outlet syndrome, the man who the fans in New York City refer to as “The Dark Knight” is looking to bounce back. deGrom falls into that category of looking to bounce backas after expecting to be just stop gap starter in 2014, he would go on to win the National League’s Rookie of the Year Award. deGrom was a big part of the Mets rotation in 2015, but an elbow injury cut his season short last year. Injuries delayed starting pitcher Steven Matz’s route to the show, but he did display his potential coming down the stretch in 2015 and the early stages of 2016 for the Mets. However the same injury bug that slowed Matz down in the minors got the best of him last year as he succumb to a shoulder injury.
But the Mets are anticipating that Harvey, deGrom, and Matz will be healthy this year to rejoin Syndergaard in the starting rotation that helped to propel New York to the National League Pennant in 2015. But the Mets do have depth in their pitching staff with Seth Lugo and Robert Gsellman. And if there’s another injury, both Lugo and Gsellman can contribute in the starting rotation while also providing long relief out of the bullpen.
Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler was supposed to be another one of the big arms in the Mets rotation, but Tommy John surgery has kept him out of action for the last two years. The Mets are looking to ease Wheeler back into the mix, and he could be valuable for them this year out of the bullpen.
The Mets will more than likely begin the upcoming Major League Baseball season without the services of relief pitcher Jeurys Familia. Familia set a Mets single-season record in 2016 with 51 saves, but he was arrested during the off-season for domestic violence. The chargers against Familia were subsequently dropped, however this does not mean that MLB commissioner Rob Manfred won’t reprimand him for the incident.
And if Familia isn’t available to begin the season for the Mets, they do have fall back options for the ninth inning which could be Wheeler or relief pitcher Addison Reed. Prior to joining the Mets in 2015, Reed had a past life being a closer as he combined to save 104 games for the Chicago White Sox and Arizona Diamondbacks.
But as good as the Mets pitching is which was evident by their 3.58 earned run average that was third in the National League last year, their lineup must become better at the plate in order for this team to be a legit World Series contender.
Last year the Mets were second in the National League in home runs as they hit 218. But New York was 12th in batting average (.246) and on-base percentage (.316), while they were tied for 11th in runs scored (671). Like the pitching staff, the Mets lineup was hit hard by the injury bug which included three infielders ending the year on the disabled list.
Mets third baseman and team captain David Wright was only able to appear in 37 games last year due to spinal stenosis. The Mets are hopeful that Wright will be available more this year, but the odds are against him. Wright has only appeared in 75 regular season games over the last two years and at the age of 34, a bad back is tough to overcome in order to be an everyday player. Wright’s injury also makes it harder for him to do the little things such as make a routine throw from third base to first base, and if the Mets are able to get 100 games out of him at the hot corner, I would be shocked.
After first baseman Lucas Duda belted 27 home runs for the Mets in 2015, he only appeared in 47 games last year after he suffered a stress fracture in his back. But Duda is scheduled to become at the free agent at the end of the season, and thus I expect him to bounce back in a very big way for the Metropolitans.
Last year second baseman Neil Walker tried to make the folks in Queens forget about the departed Daniel Murphy as he belted 23 home runs which tied a career high. But like Wright and Duda, Walker’s season was cut short after he underwent a lumbar microdiscectomy. Walker passed up the option to become a free agent and instead he returned to the Mets after accepting the team’s qualifying offer for $17.2 million. And if Walker is able to stay healthy in 2017, along with providing the Mets will solid defense and a good bat again, it’ll be a win-win situation for everyone involved.
But in case that the Mets are once again hit with the injury bug, they have depth in their infield. Fans were sad to see shortstop Jose Reyes leave in 2011 as he and Wright were the left side of the Mets infield. Reyes was never the same player when he left the Mets as he has spent time with the Miami Marlins, Toronto Blue Jays, and Colorado Rockies.
Reyes dealt with domestic violence issues following the end of the 2015 Major League Baseball season. Reyes would subsequently be suspended by MLB for Colorado’s first 51 games before they designated him for assignment. Reyes would return to the Mets as they were desperate for infield help, and he gave the team some of the flashes that made him a fan favorite during his first stint in Queens.
Reyes is no longer a .300 hitter, but he still possesses some speed, while he is hungry to once again have the chance to play as he has once again won over the fans in the Big Apple. However Reyes is no longer a shortstop, but he should once again be vital for the Mets at third base with questions about Wright’s health.
T.J. Rivera could be the future for the Mets at second base and I expect him to push the switch hitting Walker for time there, while Matt Reynolds could be valuable for the team as a utility infielder; even though he probably be on the shuttle back and forth to the minors.
But the biggest move that the Mets made this off-season was to re-sign outfielder Yoenis Cespedes. Cespedes joined the Mets just prior to the trade deadline in 2015, and his impact in the lineup was immediate as he helped to propel the offense which led to New York winning the National League East. In 132 games for the Mets last year, Cespedes batted .280 with 31 home runs and 86 runs batted in. Cespedes opted out of his contract, but he and the Mets would agree on a new four-year deal that is worth $110 million.
Cespedes provides the Mets with a legit power bat in their lineup that they have lacked for some time as he has that rare ability to put a lineup on his back. But the downside is that Cespedes has been known to go into funks at times as well. Cespedes coming back to the Mets is a “high risk, high reward” scenario, however if it means that New York will be playing baseball in October for a third consecutive year it will be well worth it.
Last year there was speculation that the Mets would lose Cespedes in free agency which led to team general manager Sandy Alderson acquiring outfielder Jay Bruce from the Cincinnati Reds. At first Bruce struggled with the Mets as he was pressing, but he did managed to hit 8 home runs for the Metropolitans in 50 games. However when Cespedes re-signed, it created a logjam in the Mets outfield.
Cespedes is locked in as the Mets everyday left fielder, but you’ll have Bruce, Curtis Granderson, Michael Conforto, and Juan Lagares all vying for time at the other two positions. Lagares and Conforto will compete in center. But it’s Lagares who has the better glove, and Conforto who has the better bat. Granderson and Bruce are both veteran players who’ll each become free agents after this season. However Granderson has provided the Mets with a veteran presence in the clubhouse due to his work ethic and it would be hard for Alderson to part with him.
The Mets still have questions behind the plate with their three-headed monster in catchers Rene Rivera, Travis d’Arnaud, and Kevin Plawecki. The Mets have given d’Arnaud and Plawecki chances to prove themselves. Each player knows how to call a game behind the plate, but the Mets need more production from them with a bat in their hands as both d’Arnaud and Plawecki batted south of .250 last year.
This could be the final year for Mets manager Terry Collins as there’s the possibility that he could retire. But if the Mets are able start strong and take care of their business, Collins could finish off his managerial career in style with a third straight trip to the postseason.
Miami Marlins 79-83
To call the 2016 Major League Baseball season a difficult one for the Miami Marlins would be an understatement. The Marlins were in contention for a wild card spot in the National League until they ran out of gas over the final two months. There was still optimism for the Marlins to finish with some momentum for 2017 until the morning of September 25 when starting pitcher Jose Fernandez was killed in a boating accident off of the coast of Miami. Fernandez’s death impacted the baseball world as well as his native Cuba. Fernandez was one of the game’s rising stars and he was rapidly becoming a legend in Miami. Marlins manager Don Mattingly had to piece things together after Fernandez died, but there was no way to hide the raw emotion of losing a person like Fernandez.
The Marlins have now had several months to digest the loss of Fernandez and move on. And as the 2017 Major League Baseball season is set to begin, the Marlins are hoping that they can get their first winning campaign since 2009.
Fernandez’s death leaves a gaping hole in the Marlins starting rotation as he put fear into every lineup in the National League East. Fernandez was 16-8 last year with an earned run average of 2.86. But no other Marlins starting pitcher won more than 9 games with an earned run average that was below 3.85. And as the Marlins don’t have another stud in their starting rotation, things will be pieced together with spit and glue. However if the Marlins starting pitching staff is able to take a lead into the late innings, they do have a quality closer to give the baseball to.
In the last two years, relief pitcher A.J. Ramos has saved 72 games for the Marlins. Ramos is a fire baller that Mattingly can rely on to close out contests. But if the Marlins do fall out of playoff contention early on, expect Ramos to become a hot commodity on the trade front.
For the Marlins to have a realistic shot at making the postseason this year, they are going to have to rely heavily on their lineup which will require everyone staying healthy and living up to their potential. The Marlins have several players in their lineup that have the potential to hit at least 25 homers, but shockinginly as a team they were only 14th in the National League last season with 128 long balls.
Marlins outfielder Giancarlo Stanton is one of Major League Baseball’s best power hitters. In seven years with the Marlins, Stanton is already the franchise’s all-time leader in WAR (wins above replacement) at 27, and home runs (208). But as much stress that Stanton can put into opposing pitchers, he also puts that same fear into the Marlins front office. Only once during Stanton’s career has he been able to appear in at least 150 games. As most power hitters are prone to strikeout often, Stanton falls into that category as he could flirt with striking out 150 times this year. But one of the biggest issues with Stanton is that his batting average continues to dip as it is boom or bust with him. Last year Stanton only batted .240 as his propensity to swing at pitches out of the strike zone makes it very enticing for pitchers to get ahead of him in the count in order to make him chase pitches out of the zone.
Outfielder Marcel Ozuna is fresh off of his first All-Star Game appearance as he was one the Marlins most consistent hitters last season. Outfielder Christian Yelich is developing into one of the better contact hitters in the National League. Yelich batted .298 last season while hitting a career-high in homers with 21. Yelich should be in running to be an All-Star this season, while if he concentrates on hitting into the gaps at the cavernous Marlins Park, he could also flirt with getting at least 10 triples this year. Yelich also has one Gold Glove Award to his credit, and with his range in the outfield, he could once again have in name in the conversation as far taking home some more hardware.
After first baseman Justin Bour finished fifth in the National League’s Rookie of the Year voting in 2015, the expectation level was high for him last year. Bour hit 23 homers in 2015, but injuries limited him to just 90 games in 2016. And like Stanton, if Bour is able to remain healthy in 2017, it will provide some extra pop to Miami’s lineup.
After second baseman Dee Gordon led the National League batting in 2015 at .333, he was once again expected to be a catalyst last year. But it didn’t play out that way for Gordon has he failed a drug test which saw him miss 80 games. And now as Gordon is seeking to rebuild his reputation, he must once again reassert himself as the Marlins table setter if this teams expects to have a legitimate shot at the postseason.
It won’t be easy for the Marlins to begin the season as they’ll be on the road to face the Washington Nationals and New York Mets respectively as these are the two favorites to win the National League East. It will be tough for the Marlins to overtake either team, and I am not sure if this organization has still gotten over the untimely death of Fernandez.
Philadelphia Phillies 77-85
When Andy MacPhail became the Philadelphia Phillies president of baseball operations in 2015, he knew that he had a rebuilding job ahead of him. The Phillies lost 99 games in 2015 as they were a far cry from the team that made the postseason in five consecutive years from 2007-2011 which included winning the World Series in 2008. The Phillies roster got old and MacPhail knew that he would need to revamp it while also finding a new field general.
2016 was Pete Mackanin’s first full year as the manager of the Phillies and it wasn’t as bad as most people expected. The Phillies had a winning record through the first two months of the Major League Baseball season before they began to fade. The Phils would lose 91 games, but they remained competitive throughout. And although that the Phillies will be fighting an uphill battle in the National League East in 2017, their effort and hard work will make them a team that you’ll be unable to forget about.
But in order for the Phillies to realistically compete, they are going to need improvement in each phase of the game. Last year Philadelphia’s team earned run average of 4.63 was 12th in the National League. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson was a pleasant surprise in his first season in Philadelphia as he led the pitching staff in wins with 12.
Starting pitcher Jerad Eickhoff has plenty of potential for the Phillies. Eickhoff was one of the key prospects that Philadelphia received when they shipped starting pitcher Cole Hamels to the Texas Rangers in 2015. The 26-year old Eickhoff was able to make 33 starts for the Phillies last season as he posted a record of 11-14 while his earned run average was 3.65. Eickhoff also had 20 quality starts as he recorded 167 strikeouts. Eickhoff fell just short of the 200-innings plateau, but could flirt with winning 15 games for Philadelphia this year.
Starting pitcher Aaron Nola is one of the keys in the Phillies rebuilding process, but his 2016 Major League Baseball season was cut short due to an injury. Nola was shut down after just 15 starts last year due to an injured elbow. Nola visited Dr. James Andrews who has been known to perform his fair share of Tommy John surgeries, but he instead prescribed a platelet-rich plasma injection and rest. However it will be interesting to see if Nola’s elbow is fully healed and ready to take on the riggers of making 30-35 starts over the course of an 162-game season.
The Phillies do have a solid bullpen which features relief pitchers Hector Neris and Jeanmar Gomez. Neris was able to strike out 102 batters in 80.1 innings in 2016 which paved the way for his 37 holds. The Phillies are Gomez’s third Major League Baseball team. And after Gomez spent six years trying to figure out his role, he now appears to be someone that Philadelphia can count on in the ninth inning. But if the Phillies were to fall out of contention, I would expect MacPhail to definitely dangle Gomez out there on the trade market to see if a contender would want his services. But this Phillies pitching staff will have its hands full as they’ll once again be asked to mask the issues of the team’s offense.
Last year the Phillies were last in the National League in runs scored (610), while they were 14th in both batting average (.240), and on-base percentage (.301). Philadelphia did acquire veteran utility man Howie Kendrick from the Los Angeles Dodgers, but his presence in Philadelphia is more about working with some of the team’s young players. The Phillies do have some young potential in their lineup; especially in the infield which could once again lead this franchise to glory.
Third baseman Maikel Franco led the Phillies in home runs last year with 25, and the age of 24, he is just beginning to scratch the surface of his potential. Like Franco, shortstop Freddy Galvis is coming off of a career year as he belted 20 homers. Second baseman Cesar Hernandez doesn’t possess the power of Franco or Galvis, but he’s rounding into being a solid contact hitter as he batted .294 in 2016 to go along with an on-base percentage of .371. However this trio must improve their defense as they combined to commit 33 errors last season.
Outfielder Odubel Herrera is coming off of his first All-Star Game appearance, and in a few years he has the potential to be one of the best outfielders in the National League. Herrera is a solid contact hitter who knows how to get on base which is evident by his .361 on-base percentage from last year. Herrera also stole 25 bases for the Phils in 2016 and his ability to get on base will be important for Philadelphia to hang around in the playoff race.
The Phillies will continue to be a scrappy team, but they still have some improvement ahead of them as they’re still a year or two away from becoming a legitimate contender.
Atlanta Braves 73-89
The rebuilding process of the Atlanta Braves has been a tough one as they have not had a winning season since 2013. The Braves have seen the parade in the National League East pass them by as the Washington Nationals and New York Mets are the two best teams in the division, while the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies are inching closer to contention. The Braves have lost at least 90 games in consecutive seasons for the first time since 1990, and as they are set to begin life at SunTrust Park in Cobb County, Georgia, the last thing that they can afford to do is to remain an afterthought.
Brian Snitker is set to begin his first full season as the manager of the Braves. Snitker replaced Fredi Gonzalez as the Braves manager last year when he was fired after the team’s 9-28 start. Atlanta would go 59-65 the rest of the way under Snitker which was enough for Braves president of baseball operations John Hart to give him the job on a full-time basis.
Even with the Braves rebuilding process, they can still lean on one of the best first baseman in Major League Baseball in Freddie Freeman to be a center piece in their lineup. After a down 2015, Freeman bounced back in 2016 to hit a career high in home runs 34, while also batting .304. The Braves have remained steadfast in not trading Freeman in spite of interest from other teams. And if the Braves are going to shock most people in order to make the playoffs, Freeman will be a big part of it.
Outfielder Matt Kemp is not the all-around player that he was when he finished second in the National League MVP voting in 2011 as a member of the Los Angeles Dodgers, but he is a still a quality player. Kemp split 2016 with the Braves and San Diego Padres as he hit 35 home runs. Kemp is one of those players that is streaky, and the Braves would love to see a long hot streak from him in 2017.
Shortstop Dansby Swanson was the first overall pick of the 2015 Major League Baseball Draft by the Arizona Diamondbacks. But the Diamondbacks quickly soured on Swanson as they felt that he would not be the player that they initially projected him to be. However the Braves were more than happy to acquire Swanson from Arizona as in 38 games with Atlanta last season, he batted .302 with an on-base percentage of .361. The Braves hope that Swanson is not a flash in the pan as they need a lead-off hitter who’ll be able to consistently get on base in front of Freeman and Kemp.
The Braves team earned run average of 4.51 was 11th in the National League last season. Like Freeman, the Braves scoffed at offers for starting pitcher Julio Teheran who was only 7-10, but he possessed an earned run average of 3.21. Teheran would have had a better record if he played on a better team. And as there have been some upgrades to the Braves for 2017, Teheran could flirt with winning 15 games.
Behind Teheran, the Braves will be relying on some veteran arms in their starting rotation. Starting pitcher Bartolo Colon is set to begin his 20th Major League Baseball season and he has become a cult hero. Colon will be 44-years of age in May, and last year he led the Mets in wins with 15. Colon is not a hard thrower, but his rubber arm can eat up innings, while also giving the Braves a valuable veteran in their rotation whom the youngsters can lean on for advice. The Braves also signed a 42-year old starting pitcher in R.A. Dickey whose knuckleball can be very difficult to deal with when he’s on. Dickey spent the last four years of his MLB career with the Toronto Blue Jays, but he was unable to recapture the success that he had in 2012 when he won the National League’s Cy Young Award as a member of the Mets.
Relief pitcher Jim Johnson is not the player that he was when he led the National League in saves in 2012 and 2013, but he could still be valuable for the Braves in spite of the fact that he more than likely will not have as many opportunities to close out games this summer in Atlanta.
The Braves will begin the upcoming season facing an uphill battle as their first eight games will be on the road, while it will also be interesting to see how many fans will make the trek from Atlanta to Cobb County in order to watch them play.
X-New York Mets 95-67 (2)
After six consecutive losing seasons, the New York Mets awoke from a deep slumber to take the Big Apple and the baseball world by storm. Riding a dominant pitching staff, the Mets won the National League East for the first time since 2006, en route to their first NL Pennant since 2000. But the fairytale season for the Mets came to abrupt halt in the World Series where the experience of the Kansas City Royals was on center stage as New York fell three wins shy of their of their first title since 1986. The odds will be stacked against the Mets in 2016 as they will be out to win the NL East in consecutive years for the first time in franchise history and they are also seeking that elusive World Series Championship that they’ve been unable to win since 1986.
At first it looked like this was going to be a tough off-season for the Mets when their longtime second baseman Daniel Murphy was allowed to leave as a free agent to sign with the rival Washington Nationals. Murphy was selected by the Mets in the 13th round of the 2006 Major League Baseball Draft and he’s been a lifer for them. During his time with the Mets, Murphy scrapped, clawed, and did whatever it took to win; which included him putting New York on his back in the first two rounds of the postseason last October as he set an MLB record with a home run in six consecutive playoff games. But Mets general manager Sandy Alderson is a big sabermetrics guy and he wasn’t a fan of Murphy’s defense or his overall talent which led to him being allowed to leave. However the Mets will miss his leadership and hustle in their lineup.
Last July, the Mets acquired outfielder Yoenis Cespedes from the Detroit Tigers and he was able to ignite their offense. In 57 games with the Mets, Cespedes batted .287 with 17 home runs and 44 runs batted in as he lifted New York from being one of the worst offenses in the National League to one of the best. At first it appeared that Cespedes was going to be a rental in New York as he was a pending free agent. But Cespedes and the Mets came to an agreement on a three-year deal that is worth $75 million to keep the slugger in Queens which undeniably changes the look of their lineup.
To replace Murhpy’s presence at second base, the Mets acquired Neil Walker from the Pittsburgh Pirates. Murphy and Walker have put up similar numbers at second base with Walker being the better defender which is something that the Mets are looking to solidify. Along with Walker, the Mets signed shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera as they look to sure up their defense.
Offensively, the Mets are a team that is full of streaky hitters up and down their lineup, but they are very high on outfielder Michael Conforto. Conforto was the Mets first-round pick in 2014, and in 56 games last year for New York, he batted .270 with 9 home runs and 26 runs batted in. Conforto is expected to be the starting left fielder for the Mets and it would not surprise me to see him get some strong recognition as far as making the All-Star team.
Led by outfielder Curtis Granderson and third baseman David Wright, the Mets have veteran leadership in their lineup. But being that Wright is dealing with spinal stenosis in his back, you can’t expect him to play the hot corner everyday and I would forsee manager Terry Collins looking to give his captain a rest during day games that immediately follow night games.
Last season the Mets pitching staff’s team earned run average of 3.43 was fourth best in the National League and they have the potential to be even better in 2016. After going back and forth with inning restrictions with the Mets front office, starting pitcher Matt Harvey appears ready to go and he’s proven that he is a guy that wants the ball. And along with Harvey, starting pitchers Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard, and Steven Matz all have the potential to win at least 15 games as this rotation will remind baseball fans in New York City who are old enough to remember the days of Tom Seaver, Jerry Koosman, and Nolan Ryan pitching for the Mets. The Mets also have a veteran presence in their pitching staff with starting pitcher Bartolo Colon, and along with Logan Verrett. Both pitchers have the ability to either be starters or middle relievers which makes a deep pitching staff that much deeper.
After being thrust into the role last year, relief pitcher Jeurys Familia fortified the ninth inning for the Mets, and is he’s able to save at least 35 games in 2016, it should symbolize a good season in Queens. But before the Mets give the ball to Familia, they have solid setup pitchers in Addison Reed, Hansel Robles, and Antonio Bastardo that know how to get out of tight situations.
The construction of the Mets under Alderson which began in 2011 appears to be finally taking shape. And barring any huge setbacks, the Mets should in contention to win the World Series.
Washington Nationals 87-75
Unfortunately for the Washington Nationals, they’ve been unable to string together consecutive solid seasons. After winning the National League East in 2014, the Nationals headed into the 2015 Major League Baseball season as one of the favorites to win the World Series. But when last October rolled around, the Nats found themselves watching the postseason from home as it was the New York Mets who won the division. The Nationals struggles in 2015 resulted in manager Matt Williams being fired which was a quick fall from grace as he was just named as the NL Manager of the Year in 2014. Williams would be replaced as the Nationals manager by a man that he played for during his time as a third baseman for the San Francisco Giants in Dusty Baker.
Baker has done it all in Major League Baseball. As a player, Baker broke in with the Atlanta Braves in 1968 and he’ll always be remembered as being in the on-deck circle when Hank Aaron hit his 715th career home run in 1974 which made him MLB’s all-time home run king. Baker was also a member of the Los Angeles Dodgers 1981 World Series Championship team. In 1993, Baker began his managerial career with the Giants. Baker has also managed the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds as he has guided each team to the postseason at least once. Some feel that the game may have passed Baker by, but he is joining the Nationals now to show that his old-school work ethic can still get it done in the modern game.
Baker comes to the Nationals knowing that he has the reigning National League MVP in the middle of his lineup in outfielder Bryce Harper. Harper is only 23-years of age, and in four seasons with the Nats, he has established himself as one of the finest players in Major League Baseball. Harper has and will continue to do this without that much helped around him in the lineup and it isn’t out of the realm of possibilities that 2016 could see him become the first player in franchise history to hit 50 home runs in a season.
The Nationals are hopeful that the new additions of outfielder Ben Revere, and second baseman Daniel Murphy can make them a playoff team. This off-season, the Nats acquired Revere from the Toronto Blue Jays in a deal that saw them send disgruntled relief pitcher Drew Storen to Canada. In six Major League Baseball seasons, Revere is averaging 39 steals per season and he could be just what the doctor ordered for the Nationals at the top of their lineup. Washington has finally had enough of being hurt by Murphy who left the Mets as a free agent to play in D.C. Murphy is a professional hitter who has a career batting average of .288. Murphy became a household name last October when he set an MLB record by hitting a home run in six consecutive postseason games for the Mets. But New York decided to move on from Murphy due to the fact that he is not a solid fielder which paved the way for him to go to Washington.
The Nationals scored the third most runs in the National League last season, but they weren’t consistent in doing so which hurt their pitching staff. Starting pitcher Max Scherzer was dominant in his first season in Washington as he recorded 276 strikeouts with an earned run average of 2.79. But Scherzer only won 14 games due to the fact he wasn’t getting run support. Scherzer has the potential to win the National League Cy Young Award this year; if he is able to get the support from his team.
Washington also lost a pair of veteran starting pitchers in free agency in Doug Fister and Jordan Zimmerman. Fister and Zimmerman combined to win 18 games last season and their departure will put more pressure on Gio Gonzalez and Stephen Strasburg to provide depth in the starting rotation behind Scherzer.
In a bit of surprise, the Nationals decided to bring back relief pitcher Jonathan Papelbon back for 2016. Last year the Nats acquired Papelbon from the Philadelphia Phillies, but all he did was help the team implode down the stretch of the regular season which included a dugout altercation with Harper. But when Papelbon is on, he is really on, and the same can be said when he is off of his game. However, if there is a manager in Major League Baseball that can get through to Papelbon, it is Baker.
The first month of the regular season should be a cakewalk for Washington as they’ll be facing bottom feeders which could give them the ammunition that they need to contend for a postseason spot.
Miami Marlins 79-83
It wouldn’t be the Miami Marlins if they didn’t begin a Major League Baseball season amid some turmoil. Last year the Marlins had aspirations of making the postseason, but after just 38 games, Mike Redmond was fired as the team’s manager. Redmond would be replaced by the Marlins general manager Dan Jennings as Miami lumbered through their sixth consecutive losing season. Jennings would also be fired and ultimately surface with the Washington Nationals as their new assistant general manager. Jennings’ departure paved the way for Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria to promote Michael Hill as the team’s new general manager. Hill and Loria made a splash this off-season when they brought in Don Mattingly to be the Marlins new skipper. Mattingly comes to the Marlins with a solid resume that includes him being a six-time All-Star first baseman for the New York Yankees along with his previous managerial experience with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Mattingly spent the last five years with the Dodgers where he led them to three National League West Titles and he never had a losing season. But getting to the postseason alone wasn’t enough for Mattingly to maintain his job in Hollywood. However, Mattingly has a sharp baseball mind, and it will be interesting to see if his laid back approach will be able to work with a young team in Miami.
The Marlins lineup does have potential to keep the pressure on opposing pitchers. In the last two seasons, second baseman Dee Gordon has stolen 122 bases which is by far tops in Major League Baseball. Gordon also led the National League in batting average last season at .333 and he appears to be rounding out as player. Gordon did this without having the services of outfielder Giancarlo Stanton behind him for the majority of the season. Stanton is one of the most feared power hitters in MLB, but a fracture in his hand limited him to just 74 games in 2015. And if the Marlins want to contend for a playoff spot this year, they will need Stanton to be healthy in the middle of their lineup.
Along with Stanton and Gordon, the Marlins have a plethora of young potential in their lineup with outfielder Christian Yelich and first baseman Justin Bour. But Miami must find a way to play as a unit due to the fact that they were near the bottom of most statistical categories in the National League last season and the arrival of Barry Bonds who is Major League Baseball’s all-time home run leader as the Marlins new hitting coach could help them.
Along with the youth movement, the Marlins do have a veteran presence in their lineup with outfielder Ichiro Suzuki along with infielders Chris Johnson and Martin Prado who Mattingly will lean on to provide leadership on the field.
The Marlins are hopeful that starting pitcher Jose Fernandez will be able to remain healthy and be their ace, but at the same time the salty relationship that his agent Scott Boras has with Loria makes you wonder if his days in South Florida are numbered. This off-season the Marlins did sign starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen to a five-year deal that is worth $80 million. In four seasons with the Baltimore Orioles, Chen was 46-32 as a starting pitcher with an earned run average of 3.72 and Miami is hopeful that the move to the National League from the American League will see him become more dominant.
The Marlins schedule to begin the 2016 Major League Baseball season won’t be an easy one with series against the Detroit Tigers, Washington Nationals, and New York Mets right out of the chute. But even with a slow start, Mattingly will be preaching consistency and accountability to his young bunch of players as they’ll attempt to push for a postseason spot.
Philadelphia Phillies 65-97
Tough times have caught up to the Philadelphia Phillies as they are now in the midst of rebuilding. After nine consecutive winning seasons, the Phillies are coming off of their third straight losing season and they are looking to avoid finishing in the basement of the National League East for a third consecutive year.
The Ruben Amaro Jr., era as Phillies general manager is over as there is a new brain trust that is running things. Andy MacPhail was brought in last year to be the Phillies new president of baseball operations and he brings with him a wealth of baseball knowledge. Prior to joining the Phillies, MacPhail served as the general manager of Minnesota Twins, Chicago Cubs, and Baltimore Orioles. And in Minnesota, MacPhail helped the Twins win their only two World Series Championships in franchise history. Along with MacPhail, the Phillies have a new general manager in Matt Klentak. But Pete Mackanin will be returning to manage the Phils after taking over mid-season last year when Ryne Sandberg was fired.
The Phillies were one of the worst teams in each aspect of the game last year, but they do appear to have themselves some building blocks in outfielder Odubel Herrera and starting pitcher Aaron Nola. Last year as a a rookie, Herrera batted .297 while he provided the Phillies with solid defense in center field, and he should only get better with his fielding and at the plate in 2016. Nola was the seventh overall pick of the 2014 Major League Baseball Draft by the Phiilies and he made his debut with the big club last year. In 13 starts with the Phils, Nola went 6-2 with a 3.59 earned run average as he has displayed the command of the strike zone that will see him develop into the ace in Philadelphia real soon.
The Phillies are on the hook to pay first baseman Ryan Howard $25 million this season as it is the final year of his deal. Howard is no longer an MVP-caliber player and if the Philadelphia is able to ship him out of town to an American League team where he could become a designated hitter, it would be a win-win for both parties.
As good as the 2000’s were the for the Phillies organization which was highlighted by winning the World Series in 2008, the 2010’s are just as bad. But all is not lost as MacPhail appears to be the right guy to get things turned around in Philadelphia.
Atlanta Braves 64-98
The Atlanta Braves are in the process of rebuilding as they look to once again be a player in the National League East. The Braves are coming off of consecutive losing seasons for the first time since 1990 and it is highly unlikely that things will get any better for them in 2016.
John Hart is entering his second full season as the Braves president of baseball operations and he is attempting to build this franchise in his own image. Hart named John Coppolella as the Braves general manager and after gutting the roster in Atlanta, the only way for this organization to go is up.
In this rebuilding process by the Braves, they lack an identity in each faze of the game. Last season the Braves were 13th in the National League in team earned run average at 4.41 and they only had one starting pitcher in Julio Teheran win at least 10 games. And there doesn’t appear to be that much protection behind Teheran in the Braves starting rotation in 2016 either.
The Braves were near the bottom of most statistical categories in the National League last season, but they are hopeful that the return of a healthy Freddie Freeman at first base will provide them with a catalyst in their lineup. The Braves do have some veterans in their lineup as this off-season has seen them acquire shortstop Erick Aybar from the Los Angeles Angels while also signing former Chicago White Sox infielder Gordon Beckham. Aybar is a slick fielding infielder that should help the Braves improve defensively. Beckham is a seven-year Major League Baseball vet that is a native of the State of Georgia which is something that the Braves are hopeful will result in improved numbers for him.
After being one of the most prolific base stealers of the 2000’s ,injuries have begun to slow outfielder Michael Bourn down. After leaving Atlanta in 2012 as a free agent, Bourn was reacquired by the Braves from the Cleveland Indians. And at the age of 33, Hart and Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez are hopeful that he still has some burst left in the legs that have led the National League in steals on three separate occasions.
With a very difficult schedule to begin the 2016 Major League Baseball season, it is very conceivable that the Braves could use the first few months of the campaign to showcase some of their veteran players in the hopes that a contending team would be willing to pick them up while sending some prospects back to Atlanta. And unfortunately for the folks in Dixie, that is all that they have to look forward to this summer from their baseball team.
Dating back to their days as the Montreal Expos, the Washington Nationals have always been a Major League Baseball franchise that has wilted under pressure. The Expos became an MLB franchise in 1969 and in their first decade of existence, they were unable to secure a winning season. But that would change for the Expos in 1979; however they would lose a late season series to the Pittsburgh Pirates that would cost them a chance to win the National League East. In 1981, the Expos held a 2-1 series lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League Championship Series, but they would lose the series in five games. In 1993, the Expos would win 94 games, but they finished in second place in the NL East as they were three games behind the Philadelphia Phillies. In 1994, the Expos would have the best record in MLB when the baseball strike put an end to the season. The Expos would return as a contender in 1996, but they finished two games behind the Dodgers for the NL’s Wild Card. A lack of revenue would hinder the Expos during the remainder of their time in Montreal which resulted in them relocating to Washington D.C. in 2005.
In their first year in the Nation’s Capitol, the Nationals found themselves in first place in the National League East until a late season swan dive saw them finish with a record of 81-81. After six consecutive losing seasons from 2006-2011, the Nats would win 98 games in 2012 for their first NL East Title since 1981. But in the National League Division Series, the Nationals would blow a 2-1 series lead before losing at home in the decisive Game 5 to the St. Louis Cardinals after jumping out to a 6-0 lead. Last year the Nats would once again win the NL East, but they would succumb to the San Francisco Giants in four games in the NLDS.
This year the Nationals were once again expected to win the National League East as they were the only team in the division to finish 2014 with a winning record which was further solidified this past off-season when they signed starting pitcher Max Scherzer who won the 2014 American League Cy Young Award as a member of the Detroit Tigers.
But whereas the Nationals were expected to run away with the National League East this year, they’ve never been able to take their game to another level. Washington’s high water mark this season was on July 17 when they were 48-39 and they had a chance to put a strangle hold on the division in late July which they failed to do.
The Nationals went to Citi Field in Flushing, Queens for a three-game series against the New York Mets that began on July 31. The Nats came into the series with a three-game lead over the Mets for first place in the National League East. And instead of Washington being able to put a stamp on their second consecutive division title, they were swept by New York which gave them all of the momentum. Since that series the Nationals have been spiraling downwards, but even with that they had a chance at redemption last week when they hosted the Mets. The Mets came to D.C. with a four-game lead as they had seen the Nats make up 2.5 games on them in just a matter of days. But in the three-game series, the Nationals bullpen would be their undoing as they blew a lead in each game of the series which was highlighted by surrendering a 7-1 lead on Tuesday night en route to losing the game 8-7. The Nationals would once again get swept by the Mets who left D.C. with a seven-game lead in the division as their first NL East Title since 2006 appears to now be a reality. And whereas the Nats had a chance to be just one game behind the Mets and the end of this critical series, they are now 9.5 behind New York with a regular-season finale between these two teams becoming as obsolete a VHS player.
All season long the Nationals have lacked a sense of urgency which is why they will more than likely be watching the playoffs from home next month in spite of the fact that they have one of the more talented teams in Major League Baseball this year. Nationals outfielder Bryce Harper is the front runner to be named as the National League MVP as he is batting .333 with 36 home runs and 85 runs batted in. But Harper can only do some much if he comes to the plate and there is nobody on base which can also be said about him being on the base paths when his teammates are unable to drive him in. And even though Harper has hit 36 home runs, the second closest player to him in that category on the Nationals roster is shortstop Ian Desmond with just 17. This year the Nats are fourth in the NL in on-base percentage (.323) and third in runs scored (616), but they’ve had a big problem as far a getting the big hits in clutch situations.
Hands down Scherzer has been the ace of Washington’s pitching staff this year, but the Nationals offense hasn’t always been able to score runs for him when he is on the mound. This season with the Nats, Scherzer has an earned run average of 3.03 with three complete games as one of those efforts resulted in no-hitter. But with all of that, Scherzer’s record this year is just 11-11 as his teammates have failed to support him. Behind Scherzer in the Nationals starting rotation, there has been nothing but inconsistency. After winning 21 games for the Nationals in 2012, starting pitcher Gio Gonzalez has gone 31-25 since then as you simply never know how he will perform when he takes the mound. After being the first overall pick of the 2009 Major League Baseball Draft, starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg has been unable to stay healthy as he has spent as much time on the disabled list as he has on the active roster for a pitching staff that was expected to be this team’s strength.
Nationals relief pitcher Drew Storen began this year by saving 29 games in 31 opportunities. But just prior to the Major League Baseball trade deadline, Nats general manager Mike Rizzo acquired relief pitcher Jonathan Papelbon from the Phillies. The move annoyed Storen as he has now been demoted to being the setup guy for Papelbon and since then he has had a problem throwing strikes and he when he does find the plate, it turns into batting practice for the opposition. Storen didn’t make the situation any better last week when he was lost for the season after injuring his hand in frustration after a poor outing against the Mets.
Fairly or unfairly, the Nationals struggles this year will fall at the feet of their manager Matt Williams who more than likely will not be back in 2016. Williams is in his second year with the Nats, but he has never been able to get his team to play up to their level of expectations which doesn’t bode well for him. The Nationals were on cruise control this year until they got punched in the mouth by the Mets. And the more that the Nats haven’t fought back is the more that Mets have continued to deliver body blows. The off-season appears to be getting started earlier than expected for the Nationals who might as well begin preparing for spring training in 2016 as they’ve become Major League Baseball’s poster boys for under achieving.
X-Washington Nationals 93-69
Over the past few seasons the Washington Nationals have emerged as the team to beat in the National League East, but it hasn’t amounted to any success in the month of October. The Nationals have won the NL East in two of the last three seasons, but have failed to win a playoff series and with parity and free agency reigning supreme in Major League Baseball, championship windows don’t remain open for a long time.
For Nationals manager Matt Williams, he can rely on having one of the best offenses in the National League. Last season the Nats scored 686 runs which was third in the NL and you can expect more of the same in 2015. Injuries limited outfielder Bryce Harper to just 100 games last season, but Williams and the Nats are hopeful that the modern day “Charlie Hustle” is able to remain healthy as he has the potential to be one of the best five-tool players in the game. After leading the Nationals in home runs last season, it wasn’t a surprise that first baseman Adam LaRoche was allowed to leave as a free agent to join the Chicago White Sox as two is a crowd at first base. Ryan Zimmerman has been the face of the Nationals franchise for quite some time now, but a shoulder injury has hampered his play at third base. The Nats did use Zimmerman sparingly in the outfield last season, but he’ll have a new home this season at first base. Zimmerman is coming off of his worst season as a pro as injuries limited him to just 61 games. But the Nationals are hopeful that Zimmerman can return to being the player that has averaged hitting 25 home runs and 96 runs batted in for his MLB career. Zimmerman’s ineffectiveness at third base has seen the rise of Anthony Rendon at the hot corner for the Nats. Rendon was the Nationals first round selection in 2011 and after batting .287 with 21 home runs and 83 runs batted in last season, he should be in the running to be the NL MVP in 2015. The past few seasons have seen Nationals shortstop Ian Desmond emerge as not only one of the best ballplayers on the club, but also as the best shortstop in the division and he can do it with his bat as well as his glove. Led by outfielder Denard Span, the Nationals stole 101 bases last season. Span had a career-high in stolen bases with 31 in 2014 with a .355 on-base percentage. Span is the table setter for this potent Nationals lineup and he’ll once again be vital to their potential success in 2015.
Make no mistake about the fact that the Nationals will once again be favored to win the NL East due to their overall team balance as they have one of the best starting rotations in baseball. The Nats led the National League in team earned run average last season at 3.03 while all five of their starting pitchers won at least 10 games. Nationals starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann has emerged as one of the best pitchers in the NL and he should once again be in line to win at least 15 games this season. Nationals starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg made 34 starts last season while striking out 242 batters and at 26-years of age, this could be the season that he puts it altogether and takes home the National League Cy Young Award for the first time in his brief career. But rich got richer this off-season when the Nats were able to add starting pitcher Max Scherzer to their stable of strong arms. Scherzer and the Nationals agreed on a seven-year, $210 million deal that caught some baseball observers by surprise, but Washington is hopeful that this will be the last link to their potential championship chain. Scherzer was the 2013 American League Cy Young Award winner as a member of the Detroit Tigers. In five seasons with the Tigers, Scherzer was 82-35 with 1,081 strikeouts and he should flourish in the National League East.
Nationals general manager Mike Rizzo elected to allow relief pitcher Rafael Soriano walk in free agency and he traded relief pitcher Tyler Clippard to the Oakland Athletics. Soriano did lead the Nats in saves last season with 32, but he was erratic at times while Clippard was a solid pitcher in the eighth inning. Right now the ninth inning is Drew Storen’s job to lose for the Nationals. In five years Storen has saved 66 games for the Nats, but being a part-time closer and a full-time guy are two different animals.
It won’t take Rizzo or Williams that long to see what kind of team that they have as the Nationals will meet the Boston Red Sox, St. Louis Cardinals, and Miami Marlins in the first month of the season which will all be good tests for Washington.
Y-Miami Marlins 88-74
After losing 100 games in 2013, not much was expected of the Miami Marlins last season. But the Marlins showed signs of improvement as they avoided finishing in the cellar of the National League East for a fourth consecutive season. The Marlins won 77 games in their second year under manager Mike Redmond and they could flirt with making the postseason this year for the first time since 2003.
Any success that the Marlins will have in 2015 starts and ends with outfielder Giancarlo Stanton. At 25-years of age, Stanton is already one of the most feared sluggers in Major League Baseball as he is one day destined to hit a home run out of Marlins Park and flush into the Atlantic Ocean. The Marlins locked Stanton up this off-season to a 13-year, $325 million contract which is the largest in North American sports history. Stanton tied a career-high in home runs last season with 37. Stanton finished second in the National League MVP balloting and he may have won the award had he not suffered several facial injuries after being hit by a pitch while facing the Milwaukee Brewers late in the regular season. Stanton led the NL home runs last season without the luxury of having a ton of talent around, but that will not be the case in 2015.
Marlins general manager Dan Jennings spent this off-season wheeling and dealing in the hopes to get this club back to the postseason. The Marlins acquired second baseman Dee Gordon and starting pitcher Dan Haren from the Los Angeles Dodgers as one man’s trash could be another’s fortune. The Dodgers front office gave up on Gordon who led the National League in stolen bases last season with 64. And as long as Gordon is able to get on base, Stanton’s offensive production should increase. In a five-player trade the Marlins also acquired utility man Martin Prado and starting pitcher David Phelps from the New York Yankees. Prado can play multiple positions, but the Marlins are expecting him to settle in a third base. After helping the San Francisco Giants win the World Series last season, utility man Mike Morse is coming home. Morse is a native of Fort Lauderdale, Florida and in his 10-year Major League Baseball career he has averaged 23 home runs and 77 runs batted in per season. Marlins outfielder Marcell Ozuna is only 24-years of age, but he is coming off of a season in which he hit 23 home runs and a 30-homer season could be in the cards for him in 2015.
After undergoing Tommy John surgery last year, the Marlins are hopeful that starting pitcher Jose Fernandez could return at some point this season, but they still have a good blend of youth and veterans in their starting rotation. The Marlins acquired starting pitcher Mat Latos from the Cincinnati Reds this off-season. Latos grew up in Fort Lauderdale and the Marlins are hopeful that this will be the season that he is able to put it all together and win at least 17 games. Very quietly relief pitcher Steve Cishek saved 39 games last season for the Marlins and if he is able to save anywhere between 45-50 in 2015, it could point Miami in the direction of postseason baseball.
For the month of April, the Nationals are the only team that the Marlins face that had a winning record last season as they will look to get out of the gates with a fast start and produce some excitement for baseball in South Florida.
New York Mets 84-78
2008 was the last time that the New York Mets had a winning season. But heading into 2015 there is actually some optimism in Queens for the Mets. The past few seasons have seen the Mets live by the “destroy and rebuild” philosophy. Mets owners Fred and Jeff Wilpon have found themselves cash strapped over the past few years as they have tried to hang on to their fledgling franchise. But the adhesive in Flushing has been the Mets general manager Sandy Alderson. Alderson is entering his fifth season as the Mets general manger and he doesn’t have a winning record under his belt during his time there, but he has been able to rebuild the team’s minor league system through trades and drafting. The Mets primarily have a home grown team sprinkled in with some imports here and there.
Second baseman Daniel Murphy was drafted by the Mets in 2006 and he debuted with the club in 2008. Murphy is the best contact hitter that the Mets have in spite of the reluctancy by Alderson to give him a long-term deal. First baseman Lucas Duda was drafted by the Mets in 2007 and he made his debut with the club in 2010. Duda is a first baseman by trade, but the Mets forced him to play right field. When the Mets brass gave up on Ike Davis last year they entrusted Duda to be their everyday first baseman. Duda didn’t disappoint as he hit 30 home runs and even garnered a few votes in the voting for the National League MVP Award. The Mets are hopeful that Duda’s big season in 2014 is a harbinger of things to come as they sorely need a consistent power hitter in the heart of their lineup. Mets third baseman David Wright has been the face of the franchise for quite some time now. Wright is coming off of his worst statistical season as a pro as injuries curtailed him in 2014. But Wright is healthy this season and he has more talent around him in the Mets lineup. And all Wright needs is to hit 23 home runs this season and he will become the Mets all-time leader within the category. After being demoted to Triple-A Las Vegas last season for a spell, catcher Travis d’Arnaud returned to the Mets and became a better hitter as he finished seventh in the NL Rookie of the Year voting. The Mets are hopeful that d’Arnaud continues to trend upwards at the plate. And the Mets pitching staff likes the way that d’Arnaud calls a game behind the plate which makes him a keeper. The Mets have all but given up on Ruben Tejada at shortstop and with Alderson failing to find a trade partner or sign a free agent, the job appears to be Wilmer Flores’ to lose. The Mets have used Flores at second base, third base, and at shortstop, but if he has going to stick around in Queens he’ll have to do it at shortstop. Last year Flores batted .251 with a .286 on-base percentage, 6 home runs, and 29 runs batted in. Flores did this in 274 plate appearances as Mets manager Terry Collins didn’t consistently allow him to play. But if Flores is given his opportunity, he should not disappoint.
Mets center fielder Juan Lagares can flash the leather in center field as he won a Gold Glove for his defensive prowess in 2014. Lagares’ biggest problem is staying healthy and if he can finally do that, he will continue to flourish while making the jobs of the pitchers and corner outfielders for the Mets that much easier. Alderson and Collins are going with a pair of veterans at the corner outfield positions. Outfielder Curtis Granderson is entering his second season with the Mets as they found out last season what the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees already knew; that he is a strikeout machine waiting to happen. Granderson is a good clubhouse guy, but the Mets need him to produce on the field. And apparently any friend of Wright is a friend of the Mets. The Mets signed Wright’s good friend Michael Cuddyer to play right field. Cuddyer appeared in only 49 games last season for the Colorado Rockies and this could be another one of those infamous bad free agent signings by the Mets.
The Mets team earned run average of 3.49 was sixth in the NL last season and it should once again be the backbone of this team. After missing all of 2014 as he was recovering from Tommy John surgery, starting pitcher Matt Harvey is returning which could be good for the Mets and bad for the other teams in the NL East as he is one of the few true aces in MLB. In 22 starts last season, starting pitcher Jacob deGrom went 9-6 with a 2.69 earned run average as he became the first Mets player since Dwight Gooden in 1984 to be the selected as National League’s top rookie. Along with Harvey and deGrom, the Mets have Jon Niese, Zach Wheeler, and Bartolo Colon in their starting rotation. And it would not shock me at some point this summer to see prized prospect Noah Syndergaard take the mound for the Mets in Queens.
The law firm of Jenrry Mejia and Jeryus Familia will make things interesting in the late innings, but Collins will trust them to close out games while the returning Bobby Parnell could also be a factor in the Mets bullpen.
The Mets first month of the season will see them concentrate on battling the NL East which could make or break their 2015 before it even starts.
Atlanta Braves 79-83
Last season the Atlanta Braves saw their first losing season since 2008 and with it came wholesale changes. Late last season Frank Wren was relieved of his duties as the Braves general manager. John Hart was brought in as the interim general manager and was offered the full-time job, but instead he opted to become the Braves president of baseball operations. And in the past few months Hart has been reshaping the Braves roster.
Outfielder Jason Heyward was traded to the St. Louis Cardinals along with relief pitcher Jordan Walden in exchange for starting pitcher Shelby Miller and minor-league pitcher Tyrell Jenkins. And not too long after Heyward was traded to the Cards, Hart traded outfielder Justin Upton to the San Diego Padres. Hart also traded utility man Evan Gattis to the Houston Astros. Appearing to now be thin in the outfield, Hart and the Braves signed former Baltimore Orioles outfielder Nick Markakis. In nine seasons with the Orioles, Markakis averaged 17 homers, 78 runs batted in and a .290 batting average. Markakis has tremendous range in the outfield as well as being a two-time American League Gold Glove Award winner.
But the Braves offense starts and ends with first baseman Freddie Freeman. Freeman’s offensive numbers were down a little in 2014, but he is expected to bounce back as he is one of the best contact hitters in Major League Baseball.
Part of the Braves offensive woes last season were that they were 10th in the NL in on-base percentage at .305. A big part of those woes begin with outfielder B.J. Upton. Upton is entering his third year with the Braves after signing a five-year, $75 million contract and he now prefers to be called Melvin. Upon Upton’s arrival in Atlanta he was supposed to the Braves table setter, but since coming to Dixie he has only batted .179 with a .287 on-base percentage with 32 stolen bases. Upton’s lethargic play has led to Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez dropping him in the lineup and at some points benching him altogether. The Braves would love to trade Upton, but due to his lucrative salary they are on the hook for the next three years with an unproductive player and it will be darn near impossible to ship him out of town.
In 2014, the Braves had four starting pitchers win at least 11 games, but two of those pitchers in Ervin Santana and Aaron Harang are no longer with the team. The Braves are backing on 24-year old starting pitcher Julio Teheran being able to assert himself and become an ace of the pitching staff. Gonzalez and the Braves do have a stable of arms in their bullpen in Jason Grilli, James Russell, and Jim Johnson that will set things up for closer Craig Kimbrel who has saved 186 games over the last four seasons.
2015 will be a transitional period for the Braves and with their first 15 games of the upcoming season against improved teams in the Miami Marlins, New York Mets, and Toronto Blue Jays, the fans in Atlanta and the surrounding areas must show patience.
Philadelphia Phillies 74-88
The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off of consecutive losing seasons for the first time since 2000 and with one of the oldest teams in Major League Baseball, 2015 shouldn’t give the baseball fans in Philly that much hope. Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro traded longtime shortstop Jimmy Rollins to the Los Angeles Dodgers and he shouldn’t stop there as he is holding on to false hope with this team. There is a trade market for starting pitcher Cole Hamels, relief pitcher Jonathan Papelbon, and second baseman Chase Utley as Amaro must completely blow this thing up. And with that the outlook for the Phillies in the National League East for 2015 is bleak at best.
Ryne Sandberg is entering is second full season as the Phillies manager and he will have his hands full in trying to get things turned around in Philadelphia. Hamels is expected to be the Phillies ace this season, but there is uncertainty around that as he could be traded. Starting pitcher Cliff Lee is 36-years of age and an elbow injury limited him to just 13 starts last season which makes it tough for the Phillies to expect him to throw 200 innings this season. Like Lee, Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Harang is 36-years of age and he is a journeyman. 2015 will mark Harang’s third different NL East team in as many seasons as it was the Mets in 2013 and the Braves last year. But like Lee, the Phillies cannot put baited breath on Harang’s arm.
In three seasons with the Phillies, Papelbon has saved 106 games, but he has been a lightning rod for controversy as he has tried his hardest to get traded with his outbursts which have all failed. However if the Phillies fall out of contention early in the NL East, maybe Papelbon will finally get his wish.
Last season the Phillies offense was near the bottom of most of the statistical categories in the NL East while they were fourth in strikeouts with 1,306. Even in his prime Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard was never the most mobile and at the age of 35 this is not an aspect of his game that will improve. The Phillies tried to rid themselves of Howard last season as they’re on the hook for pay him more than $60 million over the next three seasons which means that they could attempt to trade him to an American League team where he would be better served as a designated hitter if he gets off to a fast start. Howard’s teammate on the Phillies right side the infield for nearly the past decade has been Utley who is 36-years of age and after a bounce back 2014, it will tough for Philadelphia to expect to play more than 150 games once more this season.
After five consecutive playoff appearances from 2007-2011, the Phillies need to be full on as far as rebuilding which means that this could be a long season in the City of Brotherly Love.