Tag Archives: Don Mattingly

2017 National League East Projections

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X-Washington Nationals 90-72

Since 2012, the Washington Nationals have had one of the most talented teams in Major League Baseball, but they have struggled to live up to their potential. The Nationals have three National League East Titles to their credit since 2012, but they’ve also failed to win a playoff series. And dating back to their time as the Montreal Expos, the Nats have only won one postseason series in their 49-year history. Washington will head into the 2017 MLB season looking to buck the trend as after winning the N.L. East, they tend to really underachieve in the following season and you have to wonder if things will be any different for them now?

Dusty Baker

Dusty Baker is set to begin his second season as the Nationals skipper and he is indeed a man that knows how to get results. In Baker’s managerial career, he has now led the San Francisco Giants, Chicago Cubs, Cincinnati Reds, and Nationals to the postseason. Baker gets the most out of his teams, but the biggest shock in 2016 was how he got Washington to the playoffs.

The Nationals were able to win the National League East in 2016 in spite of the fact the outfielder Bryce Harper had a down year. After Harper won the N.L. MVP Award in 2015, he only managed to hit .243 with 24 home runs and 86 runs batted in last year. Harper still gave maximum effort for the Nats, but his timing at the plate simply wasn’t there. However, Harper is the kind of player that knows how to bounce back, and for the Nationals to do some damage this year, he will need to recapture his MVP form.

Bryce Harper

But as Harper was unable to live up to the lofty expectations that were placed on him, Nationals second baseman Daniel Murphy picked up the slack. In Murphy’s first season in Washington, he finished second in the National League MVP voting as he batted a career-high .347 with 25 home runs and 104 runs batted in. Murphy was a motivated man in 2016 after he was spurned by his former team in the New York Mets which led to his signing with the Nats. However you have to wonder if Murphy and the Nationals will be able to go the well with that once more in 2017?

But aside from Harper and Murphy, the Nats are really high on shortstop Trea Turner. In 73 games with the Nationals in 2016, Turner batted .342 with 13 home runs, 40 home runs, and 33 stolen bases. Turner is only 23-years of age and his potential led Washington to trading infielder Danny Espinosa to the Los Angeles Angels over the off-season. Turner can be a lead-off hitter for the Nats and his getting on base in front of Harper and Murphy will be important.

Third baseman Anthony Rendon has been consistent for Washington at the hot corner, while they have a veteran presence in their clubhouse in first baseman Ryan Zimmerman and outfielder Jayson Werth. But two acquisitions that flew under the radar during the off-season by National general manager Mike Rizzo were when he acquired utility man Adam Eaton and catcher Derek Norris in separate trades.

The Nationals acquisition of Eaton got some attention due to the fact that three pitchers were sent to the Chicago White Sox in exchange for him, but he could be well worth it. Two of the last three years saw Eaton lead the American League in triples as along with Turner, he could be a valuable table setter in D.C. In five Major League Baseball seasons, Eaton is a career .284 hitter, while he also brings a scrappy element to each team in which he has played for.

Last September saw catcher Wilson Ramos suffer a torn ACL which hurt the Nats chances in the playoffs. Ramos has subsequently joined the Tampa Bay Rays, but his injury paved the way for Rizzo to acquire Norris from the San Diego Padres. Norris gives the Nats another veteran back stop along with Jose Lobaton to work with this pitching staff as they look to repeat as National League Eastern Division Champions.

The Nationals team earned run average of 3.51 was second in the National League and there is potential once for this staff to be one of the best in the business.

Max Scherzer

Starting pitcher Max Scherzer became the first Nats pitcher since Gio Gonzalez in 2012 to win 20 games en route to winning the National League’s Cy Young Award, and he should once again be a force. Scherzer is one of the better power pitchers currently in baseball which is evident by him striking out at least 200 batters in each of the last five years. Scherzer knows how to dictate the pace on the mound as he tends to get ahead of hitters in the count which paves the way for his electric fastball.

After spending 2015 between the starting rotation and the bullpen, Tanner Roark got his opportunity to pitch every fifth day for the Nationals and he rewarded the team by winning a career-high 16 starts. However 2016 was the first time in Roark’s career that he threw more than 200 innings in a season and you have to wonder if there will be any carry over to 2017?

After the strong start by Gonzalez upon joining the Nats in 2012, he’s been an up and down pitcher that needs to recreate himself. Gonzalez’s velocity has dipped slightly on his pitches as it time for him to become more of a junk pitcher that locates.

Each time that starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg appears ready to turn the corner in order to become the ace in which the Nats envisioned upon drafting him first overall in 2009, he cannot overcome the injury bug. Like Scherzer, Strasburg has the potential to win 20 games, but he is still a guy that Washington must approach with the kid gloves in order to maximize his effectiveness.

All signs point to relief pitcher Blake Treinen being the Nationals closer as neither Jonathan Papelbon or Mark Melancon returned to the Nats after they combined to save 36 games last year. Treinen has only saved one game during his three-year Major League Baseball career and it will be baptism by fire to begin the 2017 campaign.

2017 will more than likely shape up as a two-team race for the National League East Crown between the Nationals and Mets. And another strong start by Washington could be just what the doctor ordered for them to win the division in consecutive years for the first time in franchise history.

Y-New York Mets 89-73

The New York Mets will enter the 2017 Major League Baseball season seeking to do something that they’ve never done before which is to make the postseason in three consecutive years. After winning the National League Pennant in 2015, the Mets were expected to once again reach the World Series Title last year. However injuries plagued the Mets in 2016, but somehow they were able to secure a playoff berth. And now the Mets are hopeful to be healthy in order to make another World Series push.

Pitching was the name of the game for the Mets in 2015 for their National League Pennant, and in order for them to get back to the postseason this fall, they’ll once again have to rely on their arms. The Mets allowed veteran starting pitcher Bartolo Colon to leave in free agency as he joined the Atlanta Braves being that they have plenty of young studs in their starting rotation.

Noah Syndergaard

With injuries in 2016 to starting pitchers Jacob deGrom, Matt Harvey, and Steven Matz, the Mets relied on another young stud in starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard. In 30 starts last season for the Mets, Synderggard went 14-9 with a 2.60 earned run average while striking out 218 batters. Syndergaard further solidified his reputation as a big game pitcher when he struck out 10 batters, but got a no-decision against the San Francisco Giants in the National League Wild Card Game. Fans in the Big Apple have gravitated to Syndergaard due to the fact that he is fearless on the mound which is something that they can relate to.

For the second time since 2013, Harvey missed significant time due injury, and after he had shoulder surgery to relieve thoracic outlet syndrome, the man who the fans in New York City refer to as “The Dark Knight” is looking to bounce back. deGrom falls into that category of looking to bounce backas after expecting to be just stop gap starter in 2014, he would go on to win the National League’s Rookie of the Year Award. deGrom was a big part of the Mets rotation in 2015, but an elbow injury cut his season short last year. Injuries delayed starting pitcher Steven Matz’s route to the show, but he did display his potential coming down the stretch in 2015 and the early stages of 2016 for the Mets. However the same injury bug that slowed Matz down in the minors got the best of him last year as he succumb to a shoulder injury.

But the Mets are anticipating that Harvey, deGrom, and Matz will be healthy this year to rejoin Syndergaard in the starting rotation that helped to propel New York to the National League Pennant in 2015. But the Mets do have depth in their pitching staff with Seth Lugo and Robert Gsellman. And if there’s another injury, both Lugo and Gsellman can contribute in the starting rotation while also providing long relief out of the bullpen.

Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler was supposed to be another one of the big arms in the Mets rotation, but Tommy John surgery has kept him out of action for the last two years. The Mets are looking to ease Wheeler back into the mix, and he could be valuable for them this year out of the bullpen.

The Mets will more than likely begin the upcoming Major League Baseball season without the services of relief pitcher Jeurys Familia. Familia set a Mets single-season record in 2016 with 51 saves, but he was arrested during the off-season for domestic violence. The chargers against Familia were subsequently dropped, however this does not mean that MLB commissioner Rob Manfred won’t reprimand him for the incident.

And if Familia isn’t available to begin the season for the Mets, they do have fall back options for the ninth inning which could be Wheeler or relief pitcher Addison Reed. Prior to joining the Mets in 2015, Reed had a past life being a closer as he combined to save 104 games for the Chicago White Sox and Arizona Diamondbacks.

But as good as the Mets pitching is which was evident by their 3.58 earned run average that was third in the National League last year, their lineup must become better at the plate in order for this team to be a legit World Series contender.

Last year the Mets were second in the National League in home runs as they hit 218. But New York was 12th in batting average (.246) and on-base percentage (.316), while they were tied for 11th in runs scored (671). Like the pitching staff, the Mets lineup was hit hard by the injury bug which included three infielders ending the year on the disabled list.

Mets third baseman and team captain David Wright was only able to appear in 37 games last year due to spinal stenosis. The Mets are hopeful that Wright will be available more this year, but the odds are against him. Wright has only appeared in 75 regular season games over the last two years and at the age of 34, a bad back is tough to overcome in order to be an everyday player. Wright’s injury also makes it harder for him to do the little things such as make a routine throw from third base to first base, and if the Mets are able to get 100 games out of him at the hot corner, I would be shocked.

After first baseman Lucas Duda belted 27 home runs for the Mets in 2015, he only appeared in 47 games last year after he suffered a stress fracture in his back. But Duda is scheduled to become at the free agent at the end of the season, and thus I expect him to bounce back in a very big way for the Metropolitans.

Last year second baseman Neil Walker tried to make the folks in Queens forget about the departed Daniel Murphy as he belted 23 home runs which tied a career high. But like Wright and Duda, Walker’s season was cut short after he underwent a lumbar microdiscectomy. Walker passed up the option to become a free agent and instead he returned to the Mets after accepting the team’s qualifying offer for $17.2 million. And if Walker is able to stay healthy in 2017, along with providing the Mets will solid defense and a good bat again, it’ll be a win-win situation for everyone involved.

But in case that the Mets are once again hit with the injury bug, they have depth in their infield. Fans were sad to see shortstop Jose Reyes leave in 2011 as he and Wright were the left side of the Mets infield. Reyes was never the same player when he left the Mets as he has spent time with the Miami Marlins, Toronto Blue Jays, and Colorado Rockies.

Jose Reyes

Reyes dealt with domestic violence issues following the end of the 2015 Major League Baseball season. Reyes would subsequently be suspended by MLB for Colorado’s first 51 games before they designated him for assignment. Reyes would return to the Mets as they were desperate for infield help, and he gave the team some of the flashes that made him a fan favorite during his first stint in Queens.

Reyes is no longer a .300 hitter, but he still possesses some speed, while he is hungry to once again have the chance to play as he has once again won over the fans in the Big Apple. However Reyes is no longer a shortstop, but he should once again be vital for the Mets at third base with questions about Wright’s health.

T.J. Rivera could be the future for the Mets at second base and I expect him to push the switch hitting Walker for time there, while Matt Reynolds could be valuable for the team as a utility infielder; even though he probably be on the shuttle back and forth to the minors.

But the biggest move that the Mets made this off-season was to re-sign outfielder Yoenis Cespedes. Cespedes joined the Mets just prior to the trade deadline in 2015, and his impact in the lineup was immediate as he helped to propel the offense which led to New York winning the National League East. In 132 games for the Mets last year, Cespedes batted .280 with 31 home runs and 86 runs batted in. Cespedes opted out of his contract, but he and the Mets would agree on a new four-year deal that is worth $110 million.

Yoenis Cespedes

Cespedes provides the Mets with a legit power bat in their lineup that they have lacked for some time as he has that rare ability to put a lineup on his back. But the downside is that Cespedes has been known to go into funks at times as well. Cespedes coming back to the Mets is a “high risk, high reward” scenario, however if it means that New York will be playing baseball in October for a third consecutive year it will be well worth it.

Last year there was speculation that the Mets would lose Cespedes in free agency which led to team general manager Sandy Alderson acquiring outfielder Jay Bruce from the Cincinnati Reds. At first Bruce struggled with the Mets as he was pressing, but he did managed to hit 8 home runs for the Metropolitans in 50 games. However when Cespedes re-signed, it created a logjam in the Mets outfield.

Cespedes is locked in as the Mets everyday left fielder, but you’ll have Bruce, Curtis Granderson, Michael Conforto, and Juan Lagares all vying for time at the other two positions. Lagares and Conforto will compete in center. But it’s Lagares who has the better glove, and Conforto who has the better bat. Granderson and Bruce are both veteran players who’ll each become free agents after this season. However Granderson has provided the Mets with a veteran presence in the clubhouse due to his work ethic and it would be hard for Alderson to part with him.

The Mets still have questions behind the plate with their three-headed monster in catchers Rene Rivera, Travis d’Arnaud, and Kevin Plawecki. The Mets have given d’Arnaud and Plawecki chances to prove themselves. Each player knows how to call a game behind the plate, but the Mets need more production from them with a bat in their hands as both d’Arnaud and Plawecki batted south of .250 last year.

Terry Collins

This could be the final year for Mets manager Terry Collins as there’s the possibility that he could retire. But if the Mets are able start strong and take care of their business, Collins could finish off his managerial career in style with a third straight trip to the postseason.

 

 

Miami Marlins 79-83

To call the 2016 Major League Baseball season a difficult one for the Miami Marlins would be an understatement. The Marlins were in contention for a wild card spot in the National League until they ran out of gas over the final two months. There was still optimism for the Marlins to finish with some momentum for 2017 until the morning of September 25 when starting pitcher Jose Fernandez was killed in a boating accident off of the coast of Miami. Fernandez’s death impacted the baseball world as well as his native Cuba. Fernandez was one of the game’s rising stars and he was rapidly becoming a legend in Miami. Marlins manager Don Mattingly had to piece things together after Fernandez died, but there was no way to hide the raw emotion of losing a person like Fernandez.

The Marlins have now had several months to digest the loss of Fernandez and move on. And as the 2017 Major League Baseball season is set to begin, the Marlins are hoping that they can get their first winning campaign since 2009.

Fernandez’s death leaves a gaping hole in the Marlins starting rotation as he put fear into every lineup in the National League East. Fernandez was 16-8 last year with an earned run average of 2.86. But no other Marlins starting pitcher won more than 9 games with an earned run average that was below 3.85. And as the Marlins don’t have another stud in their starting rotation, things will be pieced together with spit and glue. However if the Marlins starting pitching staff is able to take a lead into the late innings, they do have a quality closer to give the baseball to.

In the last two years, relief pitcher A.J. Ramos has saved 72 games for the Marlins. Ramos is a fire baller that Mattingly can rely on to close out contests. But if the Marlins do fall out of playoff contention early on, expect Ramos to become a hot commodity on the trade front.

For the Marlins to have a realistic shot at making the postseason this year, they are going to have to rely heavily on their lineup which will require everyone staying healthy and living up to their potential. The Marlins have several players in their lineup that have the potential to hit at least 25 homers, but shockinginly as a team they were only 14th in the National League last season with 128 long balls.

Giancarlo Stanton

Marlins outfielder Giancarlo Stanton is one of Major League Baseball’s best power hitters. In seven years with the Marlins, Stanton is already the franchise’s all-time leader in WAR (wins above replacement) at 27, and home runs (208). But as much stress that Stanton can put into opposing pitchers, he also puts that same fear into the Marlins front office. Only once during Stanton’s career has he been able to appear in at least 150 games. As most power hitters are prone to strikeout often, Stanton falls into that category as he could flirt with striking out 150 times this year. But one of the biggest issues with Stanton is that his batting average continues to dip as it is boom or bust with him. Last year Stanton only batted .240 as his propensity to swing at pitches out of the strike zone makes it very enticing for pitchers to get ahead of him in the count in order to make him chase pitches out of the zone.

Outfielder Marcel Ozuna is fresh off of his first All-Star Game appearance as he was one the Marlins most consistent hitters last season. Outfielder Christian Yelich is developing into one of the better contact hitters in the National League. Yelich batted .298 last season while hitting a career-high in homers with 21. Yelich should be in running to be an All-Star this season, while if he concentrates on hitting into the gaps at the cavernous Marlins Park, he could also flirt with getting at least 10 triples this year. Yelich also has one Gold Glove Award to his credit, and with his range in the outfield, he could once again have in name in the conversation as far taking home some more hardware.

After first baseman Justin Bour finished fifth in the National League’s Rookie of the Year voting in 2015, the expectation level was high for him last year. Bour hit 23 homers in 2015, but injuries limited him to just 90 games in 2016. And like Stanton, if Bour is able to remain healthy in 2017, it will provide some extra pop to Miami’s lineup.

Dee Gordon

After second baseman Dee Gordon led the National League batting in 2015 at .333, he was once again expected to be a catalyst last year. But it didn’t play out that way for Gordon has he failed a drug test which saw him miss 80 games. And now as Gordon is seeking to rebuild his reputation, he must once again reassert himself as the Marlins table setter if this teams expects to have a legitimate shot at the postseason.

It won’t be easy for the Marlins to begin the season as they’ll be on the road to face the Washington Nationals and New York Mets respectively as these are the two favorites to win the National League East. It will be tough for the Marlins to overtake either team, and I am not sure if this organization has still gotten over the untimely death of Fernandez.

Philadelphia Phillies 77-85

When Andy MacPhail became the Philadelphia Phillies president of baseball operations in 2015, he knew that he had a rebuilding job ahead of him. The Phillies lost 99 games in 2015 as they were a far cry from the team that made the postseason in five consecutive years from 2007-2011 which included winning the World Series in 2008. The Phillies roster got old and MacPhail knew that he would need to revamp it while also finding a new field general.

Pete Mackanin

2016 was Pete Mackanin’s first full year as the manager of the Phillies and it wasn’t as bad as most people expected. The Phillies had a winning record through the first two months of the Major League Baseball season before they began to fade. The Phils would lose 91 games, but they remained competitive throughout. And although that the Phillies will be fighting an uphill battle in the National League East in 2017, their effort and hard work will make them a team that you’ll be unable to forget about.

But in order for the Phillies to realistically compete, they are going to need improvement in each phase of the game. Last year Philadelphia’s team earned run average of 4.63 was 12th in the National League. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson was a pleasant surprise in his first season in Philadelphia as he led the pitching staff in wins with 12.

Jered Eickhoff

Starting pitcher Jerad Eickhoff has plenty of potential for the Phillies. Eickhoff was one of the key prospects that Philadelphia received when they shipped starting pitcher Cole Hamels to the Texas Rangers in 2015. The 26-year old Eickhoff was able to make 33 starts for the Phillies last season as he posted a record of 11-14 while his earned run average was 3.65. Eickhoff also had 20 quality starts as he recorded 167 strikeouts. Eickhoff fell just short of the 200-innings plateau, but could flirt with winning 15 games for Philadelphia this year.

Starting pitcher Aaron Nola is one of the keys in the Phillies rebuilding process, but his 2016 Major League Baseball season was cut short due to an injury. Nola was shut down after just 15 starts last year due to an injured elbow. Nola visited Dr. James Andrews who has been known to perform his fair share of Tommy John surgeries, but he instead prescribed a platelet-rich plasma injection and rest. However it will be interesting to see if Nola’s elbow is fully healed and ready to take on the riggers of making 30-35 starts over the course of an 162-game season.

The Phillies do have a solid bullpen which features relief pitchers Hector Neris and Jeanmar Gomez. Neris was able to strike out 102 batters in 80.1 innings in 2016 which paved the way for his 37 holds. The Phillies are Gomez’s third Major League Baseball team. And after Gomez spent six years trying to figure out his role, he now appears to be someone that Philadelphia can count on in the ninth inning. But if the Phillies were to fall out of contention, I would expect MacPhail to definitely dangle Gomez out there on the trade market to see if a contender would want his services. But this Phillies pitching staff will have its hands full as they’ll once again be asked to mask the issues of the team’s offense.

Last year the Phillies were last in the National League in runs scored (610), while they were 14th in both batting average (.240), and on-base percentage (.301). Philadelphia did acquire veteran utility man Howie Kendrick from the Los Angeles Dodgers, but his presence in Philadelphia is more about working with some of the team’s young players. The Phillies do have some young potential in their lineup; especially in the infield which could once again lead this franchise to glory.

Maikel Franco

Third baseman Maikel Franco led the Phillies in home runs last year with 25, and the age of 24, he is just beginning to scratch the surface of his potential. Like Franco, shortstop Freddy Galvis is coming off of a career year as he belted 20 homers. Second baseman Cesar Hernandez doesn’t possess the power of Franco or Galvis, but he’s rounding into being a solid contact hitter as he batted .294 in 2016 to go along with an on-base percentage of .371. However this trio must improve their defense as they combined to commit 33 errors last season.

Outfielder Odubel Herrera is coming off of his first All-Star Game appearance, and in a few years he has the potential to be one of the best outfielders in the National League. Herrera is a solid contact hitter who knows how to get on base which is evident by his .361 on-base percentage from last year. Herrera also stole 25 bases for the Phils in 2016 and his ability to get on base will be important for Philadelphia to hang around in the playoff race.

The Phillies will continue to be a scrappy team, but they still have some improvement ahead of them as they’re still a year or two away from becoming a legitimate contender.

Atlanta Braves 73-89

The rebuilding process of the Atlanta Braves has been a tough one as they have not had a winning season since 2013. The Braves have seen the parade in the National League East pass them by as the Washington Nationals and New York Mets are the two best teams in the division, while the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies are inching closer to contention. The Braves have lost at least 90 games in consecutive seasons for the first time since 1990, and as they are set to begin life at SunTrust Park in Cobb County, Georgia, the last thing that they can afford to do is to remain an afterthought.

Brian Snitker

Brian Snitker is set to begin his first full season as the manager of the Braves. Snitker replaced Fredi Gonzalez as the Braves manager last year when he was fired after the team’s 9-28 start. Atlanta would go 59-65 the rest of the way under Snitker which was enough for Braves president of baseball operations John Hart to give him the job on a full-time basis.

Even with the Braves rebuilding process, they can still lean on one of the best first baseman in Major League Baseball in Freddie Freeman to be a center piece in their lineup. After a down 2015, Freeman bounced back in 2016 to hit a career high in home runs 34, while also batting .304. The Braves have remained steadfast in not trading Freeman in spite of interest from other teams. And if the Braves are going to shock most people in order to make the playoffs, Freeman will be a big part of it.

Outfielder Matt Kemp is not the all-around player that he was when he finished second in the National League MVP voting in 2011 as a member of the Los Angeles Dodgers, but he is a still a quality player. Kemp split 2016 with the Braves and San Diego Padres as he hit 35 home runs. Kemp is one of those players that is streaky, and the Braves would love to see a long hot streak from him in 2017.

Dansby Swanson

Shortstop Dansby Swanson was the first overall pick of the 2015 Major League Baseball Draft by the Arizona Diamondbacks. But the Diamondbacks quickly soured on Swanson as they felt that he would not be the player that they initially projected him to be. However the Braves were more than happy to acquire Swanson from Arizona as in 38 games with Atlanta last season, he batted .302 with an on-base percentage of .361. The Braves hope that Swanson is not a flash in the pan as they need a lead-off hitter who’ll be able to consistently get on base in front of Freeman and Kemp.

The Braves team earned run average of 4.51 was 11th in the National League last season. Like Freeman, the Braves scoffed at offers for starting pitcher Julio Teheran who was only 7-10, but he possessed an earned run average of 3.21. Teheran would have had a better record if he played on a better team. And as there have been some upgrades to the Braves for 2017, Teheran could flirt with winning 15 games.

Behind Teheran, the Braves will be relying on some veteran arms in their starting rotation. Starting pitcher Bartolo Colon is set to begin his 20th Major League Baseball season and he has become a cult hero. Colon will be 44-years of age in May, and last year he led the Mets in wins with 15. Colon is not a hard thrower, but his rubber arm can eat up innings, while also giving the Braves a valuable veteran in their rotation whom the youngsters can lean on for advice. The Braves also signed a 42-year old starting pitcher in R.A. Dickey whose knuckleball can be very difficult to deal with when he’s on. Dickey spent the last four years of his MLB career with the Toronto Blue Jays, but he was unable to recapture the success that he had in 2012 when he won the National League’s Cy Young Award as a member of the Mets.

Relief pitcher Jim Johnson is not the player that he was when he led the National League in saves in 2012 and 2013, but he could still be valuable for the Braves in spite of the fact that he more than likely will not have as many opportunities to close out games this summer in Atlanta.

The Braves will begin the upcoming season facing an uphill battle as their first eight games will be on the road, while it will also be interesting to see how many fans will make the trek from Atlanta to Cobb County in order to watch them play.

Source: Baseball-reference.com

 

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Here To Stay

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The Miami Marlins have been a Major League Baseball franchise for 24 years and in their existence they have never won a division title. But the Marlins do have a pair of World Series Championships to show for their two postseason appearances. The Marlins have been a tough team for fans to get behind as their ownership has been notorious for relenting to pay players as they typically will rank near the bottom of team payrolls in MLB each year. And each time that the Marlins appear ready to build a powerhouse, the team is dismantled. The most recent occasion where this happened came in 2012 as after spending big in free agency, Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria traded the majority of his star players. The Marlins were once again back at square one as they were delicately built and here in 2016, they appear ready to make another run to the playoffs.

Don Mattingly

After Don Mattingly was fired as the manager of the Los Angeles Dodgers last October, he landed on his feet rather quickly as the Marlins brought him to Miami in the same capacity. In five years as the manager of the Dodgers, Mattingly never had a losing record which included three consecutive National League West Titles. But whereas the expectations were high in Los Angeles, Mattingly was never able to lead the Dodgers to a World Series Title which was his ultimate demise; however he has been a perfect fit so far for the young Marlins.

The outset of the 2016 Major League Baseball season for the Marlins was not an easy one as they began the campaign with a record of 5-11. Then the Marlins were in the midst of a seven-game winning streak when they received the news that second baseman Dee Gordon had failed a drug test and would be suspended by Major League Baseball for 80 games. This was a huge blow for the Marlins as Gordon was their table setter as he led the National League in stolen bases in each of the last two years, while also leading in batting average in 2015 at .333.

But under Mattingly the Marlins have never wavered as after their hiccup to begin the season, they’ve never fallen back under .500 and they completed the first half of the campaign with a record of 47-41. The momentum that the Marlins developed to end the first half has now carried over for the second half as they are now 55-47. The Marlins are five games behind the Washington Nationals for first place in the National League East and they currently tied for the final wild card spot in the N.L.

Balance has been the name of the game for the Marlins as they’ve gotten contributions from their entire lineup, while also getting quality pitching. After recovering from Tommy John surgery, starting pitcher Jose Fernandez is regaining the form that made him the National League’s Rookie of the Year in 2013. On the season Fernandez is 12-5 with an earned run average of 2.79 and the Marlins are 4-2 in his last six starts. Relief pitcher A.J. Ramos is 31-of-32 in saves opportunities and he is on pace to become the first pitcher in Marlins franchise history to record at least 40 saves in a season since Todd Jones in 2005.

Christian Yelich

But the Marlins lineup hasn’t skipped a beat without the presence of Gordon as outfielder Christian Yelich is emerging as one of the best contact hitters in the National League, while outfielder Marcell Ozuna is coming into his own as an all-around player. The Marlins team batting average of .272 is tops in the National League which is a credit to their first-year hitting coach in Barry Bonds, but they still need to pick it up in the power category as they are 14th in the N.L. in home runs with (85), and 11th in runs scored (429). After missing 88 games in 2015 as the result of a wrist injury, outfielder Giancarlo Stanton is beginning to regain the form that has made him one of the most feared power hitters in baseball as he leads the club in home runs with 22. And when Stanton gets hot, he is one of the rare power hitters that can carry a lineup for a prolonged stretch. First baseman Justin Bour is currently on the disabled list with an ankle injury, but his return to the Marlins lineup will be a welcome sight as he is another power bat that will help them down the stretch as they make a push towards the postseason.

From the dugout Mattingly has provided the Marlins with a calming influence at the managerial position that they have not had since the days of Jack McKeon who led them to their last World Series Championship in 2003. Mattingly has always had a strong attention to detail which dates back to his Major League Baseball playing career when he was the starting first baseman for the New York Yankees for 14 seasons. And that calm along with the attention to detail has the Marlins in the midst of a run to the playoffs.

The Marlins are currently in the middle of a very important four-game series with the St. Louis Cardinals as both of these teams are battling for a wild card spot in the National League. Next week the Marlins will be on the road for a three-game series against the Chicago Cubs who have the best record in the N.L. as this will be opportunity for them to see if they’re indeed for real. And with several series’ against both the Washington Nationals and New York Mets which will more than likely decide the winner of the N.L. East, the young Marlins have the opportunity in front of them to win their first division title in franchise history. But even if the Marlins were to fall short of winning the N.L. East, it won’t hinder them as each time that they won the World Series, they were a wild card team as anything can happen on the baseball diamond in the month of October.

Giancarlo Stanton

And with Stanton regaining his form, Gordon being eased back into the lineup, and Bour expected to return soon, the Marlins offense could become extremely dangerous as the team’s general manager Michael Hill finds himself in a very different position this July as he can look to be a buyer at next week’s Major League Baseball trade deadline with a team that is beginning to find their form at the right time.

 

Source: Baseball-reference.com

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2016 National League East Projections

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X-New York Mets 95-67 (2)

After six consecutive losing seasons, the New York Mets awoke from a deep slumber to take the Big Apple and the baseball world by storm. Riding a dominant pitching staff, the Mets won the National League East for the first time since 2006, en route to their first NL Pennant since 2000. But the fairytale season for the Mets came to abrupt halt in the World Series where the experience of the Kansas City Royals was on center stage as New York fell three wins shy of their of their first title since 1986. The odds will be stacked against the Mets in 2016 as they will be out to win the NL East in consecutive years for the first time in franchise history and they are also seeking that elusive World Series Championship that they’ve been unable to win since 1986.

At first it looked like this was going to be a tough off-season for the Mets when their longtime second baseman Daniel Murphy was allowed to leave as a free agent to sign with the rival Washington Nationals. Murphy was selected by the Mets in the 13th round of the 2006 Major League Baseball Draft and he’s been a lifer for them. During his time with the Mets, Murphy scrapped, clawed, and did whatever it took to win; which included him putting New York on his back in the first two rounds of the postseason last October as he set an MLB record with a home run in six consecutive playoff games. But Mets general manager Sandy Alderson is a big sabermetrics guy and he wasn’t a fan of Murphy’s defense or his overall talent which led to him being allowed to leave. However the Mets will miss his leadership and hustle in their lineup.

Yoenis Cespedes

Last July, the Mets acquired outfielder Yoenis Cespedes from the Detroit Tigers and he was able to ignite their offense. In 57 games with the Mets, Cespedes batted .287 with 17 home runs and 44 runs batted in as he lifted New York from being one of the worst offenses in the National League to one of the best. At first it appeared that Cespedes was going to be a rental in New York as he was a pending free agent. But Cespedes and the Mets came to an agreement on a three-year deal that is worth $75 million to keep the slugger in Queens which undeniably changes the look of their lineup.

To replace Murhpy’s presence at second base, the Mets acquired Neil Walker from the Pittsburgh Pirates. Murphy and Walker have put up similar numbers at second base with Walker being the better defender which is something that the Mets are looking to solidify. Along with Walker, the Mets signed shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera as they look to sure up their defense.

Michael Conforto

Offensively, the Mets are a team that is full of streaky hitters up and down their lineup, but they are very high on outfielder Michael Conforto. Conforto was the Mets first-round pick in 2014, and in 56 games last year for New York, he batted .270 with 9 home runs and 26 runs batted in. Conforto is expected to be the starting left fielder for the Mets and it would not surprise me to see him get some strong recognition as far as making the All-Star team.

Led by outfielder Curtis Granderson and third baseman David Wright, the Mets have veteran leadership in their lineup. But being that Wright is dealing with spinal stenosis in his back, you can’t expect him to play the hot corner everyday and I would forsee manager Terry Collins looking to give his captain a rest during day games that immediately follow night games.

(l-r) Bartolo Colon, Matt Harvey, Noah Syndergaard, Jacob deGrom, Steven Matz, Zack Wheeler

Last season the Mets pitching staff’s team earned run average of 3.43 was fourth best in the National League and they have the potential to be even better in 2016. After going back and forth with inning restrictions with the Mets front office, starting pitcher Matt Harvey appears ready to go and he’s proven that he is a guy that wants the ball. And along with Harvey, starting pitchers Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard, and Steven Matz all have the potential to win at least 15 games as this rotation will remind baseball fans in New York City who are old enough to remember the days of Tom Seaver, Jerry Koosman, and Nolan Ryan pitching for the Mets. The Mets also have a veteran presence in their pitching staff with starting pitcher Bartolo Colon, and along with Logan Verrett. Both pitchers have the ability to either be starters or middle relievers which makes a deep pitching staff that much deeper.

After being thrust into the role last year, relief pitcher Jeurys Familia fortified the ninth inning for the Mets, and is he’s able to save at least 35 games in 2016, it should symbolize a good season in Queens. But before the Mets give the ball to Familia, they have solid setup pitchers in Addison Reed, Hansel Robles, and Antonio Bastardo that know how to get out of tight situations.

The construction of the Mets under Alderson which began in 2011 appears to be finally taking shape. And barring any huge setbacks, the Mets should in contention to win the World Series.

Washington Nationals 87-75

Unfortunately for the Washington Nationals, they’ve been unable to string together consecutive solid seasons. After winning the National League East in 2014, the Nationals headed into the 2015 Major League Baseball season as one of the favorites to win the World Series. But when last October rolled around, the Nats found themselves watching the postseason from home as it was the New York Mets who won the division. The Nationals struggles in 2015 resulted in manager Matt Williams being fired which was a quick fall from grace as he was just named as the NL Manager of the Year in 2014. Williams would be replaced as the Nationals manager by a man that he played for during his time as a third baseman for the San Francisco Giants in Dusty Baker.

Dusty Baker

Baker has done it all in Major League Baseball. As a player, Baker broke in with the Atlanta Braves in 1968 and he’ll always be remembered as being in the on-deck circle when Hank Aaron hit his 715th career home run in 1974 which made him MLB’s all-time home run king. Baker was also a member of the Los Angeles Dodgers 1981 World Series Championship team. In 1993, Baker began his managerial career with the Giants. Baker has also managed the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds as he has guided each team to the postseason at least once. Some feel that the game may have passed Baker by, but he is joining the Nationals now to show that his old-school work ethic can still get it done in the modern game.

Baker comes to the Nationals knowing that he has the reigning National League MVP in the middle of his lineup in outfielder Bryce Harper. Harper is only 23-years of age, and in four seasons with the Nats, he has established himself as one of the finest players in Major League Baseball. Harper has and will continue to do this without that much helped around him in the lineup and it isn’t out of the realm of possibilities that 2016 could see him become the first player in franchise history to hit 50 home runs in a season.

The Nationals are hopeful that the new additions of outfielder Ben Revere, and second baseman Daniel Murphy can make them a playoff team. This off-season, the Nats acquired Revere from the Toronto Blue Jays in a deal that saw them send disgruntled relief pitcher Drew Storen to Canada. In six Major League Baseball seasons, Revere is averaging 39 steals per season and he could be just what the doctor ordered for the Nationals at the top of their lineup. Washington has finally had enough of being hurt by Murphy who left the Mets as a free agent to play in D.C. Murphy is a professional hitter who has a career batting average of .288. Murphy became a household name last October when he set an MLB record by hitting a home run in six consecutive postseason games for the Mets. But New York decided to move on from Murphy due to the fact that he is not a solid fielder which paved the way for him to go to Washington.

The Nationals scored the third most runs in the National League last season, but they weren’t consistent in doing so which hurt their pitching staff. Starting pitcher Max Scherzer was dominant in his first season in Washington as he recorded 276 strikeouts with an earned run average of 2.79. But Scherzer only won 14 games due to the fact he wasn’t getting run support. Scherzer has the potential to win the National League Cy Young Award this year; if he is able to get the support from his team.

Washington also lost a pair of veteran starting pitchers in free agency in Doug Fister and Jordan Zimmerman. Fister and Zimmerman combined to win 18 games last season and their departure will put more pressure on Gio Gonzalez and Stephen Strasburg to provide depth in the starting rotation behind Scherzer.

In a bit of surprise, the Nationals decided to bring back relief pitcher Jonathan Papelbon back for 2016. Last year the Nats acquired Papelbon from the Philadelphia Phillies, but all he did was help the team implode down the stretch of the regular season which included a dugout altercation with Harper. But when Papelbon is on, he is really on, and the same can be said when he is off of his game. However, if there is a manager in Major League Baseball that can get through to Papelbon, it is Baker.

The first month of the regular season should be a cakewalk for Washington as they’ll be facing bottom feeders which could give them the ammunition that they need to contend for a postseason spot.

Miami Marlins 79-83

It wouldn’t be the Miami Marlins if they didn’t begin a Major League Baseball season amid some turmoil. Last year the Marlins had aspirations of making the postseason, but after just 38 games, Mike Redmond was fired as the team’s manager. Redmond would be replaced by the Marlins general manager Dan Jennings as Miami lumbered through their sixth consecutive losing season. Jennings would also be fired and ultimately surface with the Washington Nationals as their new assistant general manager. Jennings’ departure paved the way for Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria to promote Michael Hill as the team’s new general manager. Hill and Loria made a splash this off-season when they brought in Don Mattingly to be the Marlins new skipper. Mattingly comes to the Marlins with a solid resume that includes him being a six-time All-Star first baseman for the New York Yankees along with his previous managerial experience with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Mattingly spent the last five years with the Dodgers where he led them to three National League West Titles and he never had a losing season. But getting to the postseason alone wasn’t enough for Mattingly to maintain his job in Hollywood. However, Mattingly has a sharp baseball mind, and it will be interesting to see if his laid back approach will be able to work with a young team in Miami.

The Marlins lineup does have potential to keep the pressure on opposing pitchers. In the last two seasons, second baseman Dee Gordon has stolen 122 bases which is by far tops in Major League Baseball. Gordon also led the National League in batting average last season at .333 and he appears to be rounding out as player. Gordon did this without having the services of outfielder Giancarlo Stanton behind him for the majority of the season. Stanton is one of the most feared power hitters in MLB, but a fracture in his hand limited him to just 74 games in 2015. And if the Marlins want to contend for a playoff spot this year, they will need Stanton to be healthy in the middle of their lineup.

Along with Stanton and Gordon, the Marlins have a plethora of young potential in their lineup with outfielder Christian Yelich and first baseman Justin Bour. But Miami must find a way to play as a unit due to the fact that they were near the bottom of most statistical categories in the National League last season and the arrival of Barry Bonds who is Major League Baseball’s all-time home run leader as the Marlins new hitting coach could help them.

Along with the youth movement, the Marlins do have a veteran presence in their lineup with outfielder Ichiro Suzuki along with infielders Chris Johnson and Martin Prado who Mattingly will lean on to provide leadership on the field.

Jose Fernandez

The Marlins are hopeful that starting pitcher Jose Fernandez will be able to remain healthy and be their ace, but at the same time the salty relationship that his agent Scott Boras has with Loria makes you wonder if his days in South Florida are numbered. This off-season the Marlins did sign starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen to a five-year deal that is worth $80 million. In four seasons with the Baltimore Orioles, Chen was 46-32 as a starting pitcher with an earned run average of 3.72 and Miami is hopeful that the move to the National League from the American League will see him become more dominant.

The Marlins schedule to begin the 2016 Major League Baseball season won’t be an easy one with series against the Detroit Tigers, Washington Nationals, and New York Mets right out of the chute. But even with a slow start, Mattingly will be preaching consistency and accountability to his young bunch of players as they’ll attempt to push for a postseason spot.

Philadelphia Phillies 65-97

Tough times have caught up to the Philadelphia Phillies as they are now in the midst of rebuilding. After nine consecutive winning seasons, the Phillies are coming off of their third straight losing season and they are looking to avoid finishing in the basement of the National League East for a third consecutive year.

The Ruben Amaro Jr., era as Phillies general manager is over as there is a new brain trust that is running things. Andy MacPhail was brought in last year to be the Phillies new president of baseball operations and he brings with him a wealth of baseball knowledge. Prior to joining the Phillies, MacPhail served as the general manager of Minnesota Twins, Chicago Cubs, and Baltimore Orioles. And in Minnesota, MacPhail helped the Twins win their only two World Series Championships in franchise history. Along with MacPhail, the Phillies have a new general manager in Matt Klentak. But Pete Mackanin will be returning to manage the Phils after taking over mid-season last year when Ryne Sandberg was fired.

Odubel Herrera

The Phillies were one of the worst teams in each aspect of the game last year, but they do appear to have themselves some building blocks in outfielder Odubel Herrera and starting pitcher Aaron Nola. Last year as a a rookie, Herrera batted .297 while he provided the Phillies with solid defense in center field, and he should only get better with his fielding and at the plate in 2016. Nola was the seventh overall pick of the 2014 Major League Baseball Draft by the Phiilies and he made his debut with the big club last year. In 13 starts with the Phils, Nola went 6-2 with a 3.59 earned run average as he has displayed the command of the strike zone that will see him develop into the ace in Philadelphia real soon.

The Phillies are on the hook to pay first baseman Ryan Howard $25 million this season as it is the final year of his deal. Howard is no longer an MVP-caliber player and if the Philadelphia is able to ship him out of town to an American League team where he could become a designated hitter, it would be a win-win for both parties.

As good as the 2000’s were the for the Phillies organization which was highlighted by winning the World Series in 2008, the 2010’s are just as bad. But all is not lost as MacPhail appears to be the right guy to get things turned around in Philadelphia.

Atlanta Braves 64-98

The Atlanta Braves are in the process of rebuilding as they look to once again be a player in the National League East. The Braves are coming off of consecutive losing seasons for the first time since 1990 and it is highly unlikely that things will get any better for them in 2016.

John Hart

John Hart is entering his second full season as the Braves president of baseball operations and he is attempting to build this franchise in his own image. Hart named John Coppolella as the Braves general manager and after gutting the roster in Atlanta, the only way for this organization to go is up.

In this rebuilding process by the Braves, they lack an identity in each faze of the game. Last season the Braves were 13th in the National League in team earned run average at 4.41 and they only had one starting pitcher in Julio Teheran win at least 10 games. And there doesn’t appear to be that much protection behind Teheran in the Braves starting rotation in 2016 either.

The Braves were near the bottom of most statistical categories in the National League last season, but they are hopeful that the return of a healthy Freddie Freeman at first base will provide them with a catalyst in their lineup. The Braves do have some veterans in their lineup as this off-season has seen them acquire shortstop Erick Aybar from the Los Angeles Angels while also signing former Chicago White Sox infielder Gordon Beckham. Aybar is a slick fielding infielder that should help the Braves improve defensively. Beckham is a seven-year Major League Baseball vet that is a native of the State of Georgia which is something that the Braves are hopeful will result in improved numbers for him.

After being one of the most prolific base stealers of the 2000’s ,injuries have begun to slow outfielder Michael Bourn down. After leaving Atlanta in 2012 as a free agent, Bourn was reacquired by the Braves from the Cleveland Indians. And at the age of 33, Hart and Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez are hopeful that he still has some burst left in the legs that have led the National League in steals on three separate occasions.

With a very difficult schedule to begin the 2016 Major League Baseball season, it is very conceivable that the Braves could use the first few months of the campaign to showcase some of their veteran players in the hopes that a contending team would be willing to pick them up while sending some prospects back to Atlanta. And unfortunately for the folks in Dixie, that is all that they have to look forward to this summer from their baseball team.

Sources: Baseball-reference.com

X-Division Winner

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2015 National League West Projections

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X-Los Angeles Dodgers 92-70

Don Mattingly

Don Mattingly has four years under his belt as the manager of the Los Angeles Dodgers and in each season under him the team’s win total has increased. But unfortunately for Mattingly and the Dodgers, the team still has not claimed a World Series Championship since 1988. The Dodgers had a good team last season, but they ran into the ultra tough St. Louis Cardinals in the National League Divisional Series. And because of the loss the Cards, the Dodgers had some wholesale changes this off-season.

Ned Collettti is no longer the general manager of the Dodgers as he has taken a position in the front office as a special adviser to the team president. Colletti was replaced as Dodgers general manager by Farhan Zaidi. Prior to joining the Dodgers, Zaidi was the president of baseball operations for the Oakland Athletics were he was a sabermetrics disciple of the A’s general manager Billy Beane. The Dodgers also added depth in their front office by making former Tampa Bay Rays general manager Andrew Friedman their new president of baseball operations. Friedman was the architect behind the Rays turnaround as he built one of the best minor-league systems in all of baseball. And with Friedman and Zaidi running the show now for the Dodgers, their Opening Day roster will look vastly different when they take the field this season.

In spite of the fact that he hit 25 homers last season for the Dodgers, outfielder Matt Kemp was traded this off-season to the San Diego Padres. 2012 and 2013 were two injury filled seasons for Kemp and the new regime in the Dodgers front office views him as a player with declining defensive skills. And once you factor in that Kemp is still owed nearly $110 million on his contract over the next five years along with the fact that the Dodgers have a crowded outfield, he was traded in spite of the fact that he will remain in the National League West as a member of the Padres. Kemp’s departure has paved the way for prospect Joc Pederson to make his presence known in the Dodgers outfield. Pederson only appeared in 18 games last season for the Dodgers, but they are high on his overall talent. Yasiel Puig is entering his third season with the Dodgers and he has cemented himself at their everyday right fielder. Puig has tremendous potential and he should be in the running for the NL MVP this year. Outfielders Carl Crawford and Andre Ethier are extremely injury prone at this point of their careers which makes the presence of Scott Van Slyke that much more important on the Dodgers roster as he can play all three outfield positions.

Heading into this season the Dodgers will have a veteran presence on their infield. The Dodgers gave up on speedster Dee Gordon at second base as he was traded to the Miami Marlins this off-season. The Dodgers were able to replace Gordon with a quality veteran at second base as they acquired Howie Kendrick from the Los Angeles Angels. Kendrick is a professional hitter which is evident by his career .292 batting average along with his good glove work. Aside from Kendrick, the Dodgers acquired shortstop Jimmy Rollins from the Philadelphia Phillies. In the past Rollins has been a thorn in the side of the Dodgers when he helped the Phillies knock off Los Angeles in consecutive National League Championship Series’ in 2008 and 2009. Now at the age of 36, Rollins is out to show the baseball world that he can still get it done along with providing some veteran leadership in the Dodgers clubhouse. If Juan Uribe is unable to go every day at third base, Mattingly can rely on veteran utility man Justin Turner to fill the void while first baseman Adrian Gonzalez has one of the best gloves at first base in Major League Baseball along with still providing a power bat from the left side of the plate.

Clayton Kershaw

Led by starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw, the Dodgers starting rotation is top heavy and they will need to find some more depth. Kershaw went 21-3 last season with a 1.77 earned run average while striking out 239 batters. In the process Kershaw was named the NL MVP and he became the first pitcher to win the award since Bob Gibson in 1968. It will be tough for Kershaw to follow up his stellar season with another year of amazement, but if anybody could do it, he’s the guy. Behind Kershaw, the Dodgers have starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Hyun-Jin Ryu who are both capable of winning at least 15 games, but the question marks will surround Brett Anderson and Brandon McCarthy behind them.

Relief pitcher Kenley Jansen can give you butterflies from time to time, but Mattingly will trust him in the ninth inning as he should once again be one of the top closers in the National League. Jansen could be a slow starter this season as he missed spring training this season after undergoing foot surgery.

Even if the Dodgers get off to another slow start it would not hinder them that much as they will once again be the team to beat in the NL West.

Y-San Francisco Giants 85-77

If the recent trend of the San Francisco Giants continues then they won’t be a playoff team in 2015. Since 2010, the Giants have gone to the postseason in even numbered years with each trip to October resulting in a World Series Championship. But unlike the past few years this season will be tougher than the others for the Giants to repeat as World Series Champions.

The Giants lost their starting third baseman Pablo Sandoval in free agency as he joined the Boston Red Sox. Sandoval was a part of the Giants core that won the World Series Titles and he was always a big contributor come October. San Francisco will definitely miss Sandoval at the hot corner as Giants general manager Brian Sabean had to do some patchwork there as he signed journeyman infielder Casey McGehee. But without Sandoval, the Giants still have catcher Buster Posey and outfielder Hunter Pence to carry the offense. Last season Posey led the Giants in batting average (.311), home runs (22), runs batted in (89), and on-base percentage (.364). Posey will be 28-years old when the season begins and Giants manager Bruce Bochy has already begun the process of monitoring the amount of games that Posey catches and you can expect to see him more at first base this season. Pence is entering his fourth season with the Giants and he has emerged as the guy that sets the tone for this team in the clubhouse and on the field. But the Giants will begin this season with Pence on the disabled list after he suffered a broken arm as the result of being hit by a pitch during spring training.

The only knock on Giants outfielder Angel Pagan throughout his Major League Baseball career is his ability to stay healthy. In the last two seasons Pagan has combined to miss 157 games and the Giants will need him to be available for at least 120 games this season as he is a threat to steal bases along with having tremendous range in the deep center field at AT&T Park in San Francisco.

Madison Bumgarner

But make no mistake about it that the Giants bread is buttered with their pitching. The Giants pitching wasn’t as dominant in 2014 as it has been in past years as their team earned run average of 3.50 was seventh in the National League. But last October, the Giants rode the left arm of starting pitcher Madison Bumgarner to a World Series triumph. Bumgarner went 18-10 last season with an earned run average of 2.98 as he finished fourth in the NL Cy Young Award voting. But last October, Bumgarner was unhittable. Last fall, Bumgarner would go 4-1 while surrendering just six runs in 52.2 innings pitched in the playoffs and he would be named World Series MVP. Bumgarner is only 25-years old and he is the undisputed ace of this pitching staff.

But behind Bumgarner there are plenty of question marks in the Giants starting rotation heading into this season. The velocity of Giants starting pitcher Tim Lincecum has dipped over the past few years as he is no longer a power pitcher, but more of a junk pitcher. Starting pitcher Matt Cain is looking to rebound after missing the second half of last season after undergoing elbow surgery and he’ll be approached with the kid gloves to begin this campaign. The Giants acquired starting pitcher Jake Peavy just prior to last season’s trade deadline and he had a revival in coming back to the National League. In 2007, Peavy won the National League Cy Young Award a member of the San Diego Padres. The Padres traded Peavy to the Chicago White Sox in 2009 before becoming a member of the Boston Red Sox World Series Championship team in 2013. Last season with the Giants, Peavy went 6-4 in 12 starts with a 2.17 earned run average. The Giants would re-sign Peavy this off-season and it will be either penthouse or outhouse with him.

Santiago Casilla will more than likely begin the season as the Giants closer, but it would not surprise me to see Bochy use a closer by committee until he figures out the right formula for his bullpen.

The Giants first seven games of the season will be played on the road as they will look to avoid the World Series hangover.

San Diego Padres 83-79

The San Diego Padres are coming off of four consecutive losing seasons, but that did not stop them from turning heads this off-season. Padres general manager A.J. Preller has been on the job for less than a year and he made some headlines for himself when he began wheeling and dealing. At Major League Baseball’s Winter Meetings, the Padres acquired outfielder Matt Kemp from the Los Angeles Dodgers. Kemp is coming off of his best season since he finished second in the National League MVP voting in 2011. Kemp will be in the middle of the Padres lineup, but injuries have cut down his defensive range which could be a concern. The Padres would also acquire outfielder Justin Upton from the Atlanta Braves and outfielder Wil Myers from the Tampa Bay Rays. Myers will be the Padres everyday center fielder with Upton in left and Kemp in right. None of these players have tremendous range and in a big outfield like the one at Petco Park this will be an interesting experiment.

The Padres did also acquire catcher Derek Norris from the Oakland Athletics who will be charged with working with a pitching staff in San Diego that had the second lowest earned run average in the National League last season at 3.27. The Padres are expecting James Shields to be the guy at the top of their starting rotation. The Padres recently signed Shields to a four-year deal worth $75 million after he went 14-8 last season with an earned run average of 3.21 in helping the Kansas City Royals win the American League Pennant. Now at the age of 33, Shields will be asked to be a leader on the mound as well as in the clubhouse for the Padres. Behind Shields, the Padres are hopeful that starting pitchers Andrew Cashner and Tyson Ross will put together complete seasons while veteran Ian Kennedy could provide some stability as well in the back end of the starting rotation.

Relief pitcher Joaquin Benoit only saved 11 games for the Padres, but he’ll be a little bit busier in 2015 if San Diego is to stay in contention for a postseason spot.

The Padres came away as one of the big winners in the off-season. But for Padres skipper Bud Black he must find a way to make his new talent gel while living up to higher expectations.

Colorado Rockies 75-87

Walt Weiss

The Colorado Rockies are coming off of their fourth consecutive losing season and in an improved National League West, they will be fighting an uphill battle in 2015. Walt Weiss is set to begin his third season as Rockies manager and he has a lineup that can contend, but it just comes down to his key players remaining healthy. Shortstop Troy Tulowitzki, third baseman Nolan Arenado, and outfielder Carlos Gonzalez are expected to be key contributors in the Rockies lineup, but last season they combined to miss 234 games. When healthy Tulowitzki is one of the best hitting shortstops in Major League Baseball, but there is a big if around his ability to be available for the Rockies and the same can be said for Arenado and Gonzalez. There are also trade rumors that are swirling around Tulowitzki and Gonzalez and if neither player wants to be in Denver, then Rockies general manager Jeff Bridich needs to ship them out of town in order to prevent any distractions to his club.

In his first season with the Rockies, first baseman Justin Morneau was able to revive his career. Morneau had spent his entire career in the American League as a member of the Minnesota Twins until he was traded to the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2013. Last season with the Rockies, Morneau led the National League in batting average at .317 and his veteran presence will once again be important in Colorado’s lineup.

Historically hitting hasn’t been the Rockies problem; rather pitching. The Rockies 4.84 team earned run average was by far the worst in the National League last season. Rockies starting pitcher Jorge De La Rosa was the only pitcher for Colorado to win at least 10 games last season and without that much improvement coming down the pike in 2015, it will be another long season in Denver.

The Rockies have the bats to contend in the NL West, but without solid pitching it will be a mute point.

Arizona Diamondbacks 63-99

2011 seems like a distant memory in the world of the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks won 94 games that year en route to winning the National League West. And after consecutive 81-win seasons, the Diamondbacks bottomed out last year as they lost 98 games. Late last season Tony La Russa took over as the Diamondbacks president of baseball operations. As a Major League Baseball manager, La Russa won 2,728 games which is third all-time to go along with three World Series Championships. Now he is out to show what he can do in the front office. One of La Russa’s World Series Titles came as the skipper of the Oakland Athletics and the D’Backs front office will definitely have an Oakland feel to it this season. La Russa hired former A’s pitcher Dave Stewart as the Diamondbacks general manager and he’ll look to bring the same toughness to the front office that he brought to the mound every fifth day that he pitched. After three seasons as the Athletics bench coach, Chip Hale will get his first shot as being an MLB manager with the Diamondbacks.

Tony La Russa

La Russa’s championship teams were always defined by pitching which is something that the Diamondbacks must improve on as their team earned run average of 4.26 along with their 75 quality starts were 14th in the NL. La Russa and Hale will have their work cut out for them as only one starting pitcher (Josh Collmenter) won at least 10 games for the Diamondbacks last season. It isn’t that much better for the Diamondbacks starting lineup as after first baseman Paul Goldschmidt the talent is scarce at best.

It will take La Russa some time to turn this around for the Diamondbacks, but for 2015 the parade will simply pass them by,

X-Division Champion

Y-Wild Card

Source: Baseball-reference.com

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Not The October That The Dodgers And Angels Expected

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Heading into the month of October there was extreme optimism in Southern California as far as the chances of the Los Angeles Angels and Los Angeles Dodgers in the Major League Baseball Playoffs. The Angels went 98-64 in the regular season as they won the American League West for the first time since 2009 while the Dodgers went 94-68 and won the National League West for a second consecutive year. But in the League Divisional Series’, the Angels and Dodgers were both steamrolled by teams from the Show Me State of Missouri. The Angels were swept by the Kansas City Royals while the Dodgers lost in four games to the St. Louis Cardinals. The stars that the Angels and Dodgers relied on so heavily during the regular season were unable to match that production in October which is a big reason why both clubs are now looking towards spring training in 2015.

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Mike Trout

Angels outfielder Mike Trout will more than likely be the AL MVP this season as he batted .287 during the year with 36 homers and 111 runs batted in. But versus the Royals, Trout only hit .083 with one hit. Dodgers outfielder Yasiel Puig batted .296 in the regular season with a .328 on-base percentage. But Puig only batted .250 in the series loss to the Cardinals while Dodgers manager Don Mattingly benched his young outfielder for Game 4. Dodgers starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw is expected to take home the NL MVP and CY Young Award after going 21-3 with a 1.77 earned run average in the regular season. But versus the Cards, Kershaw was less than spectacular as he was 0-2 with a 7.82 earned run average. In both of his starts Kershaw’s undoing was the seventh inning as he was charged with a combined 11 runs in that frame. Now the head scratching begins for both clubs.

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Josh Hamilton

The Angels brain trust of general manager Jerry Dipoto and manager Mike Scoiscia can go into the off-season with the solace that the Halos improved their regular season win total by 20 games from 2013. Trout is only 23-years old and the future is so bright for the young phenom that it isn’t funny. Angels first baseman Albert Pujols will be 35-years old when next season rolls around. This season Pujols was fifth in the American League in runs batted in with 105, but Scioscia will have to look at using his slugger more in the designated hitter role in 2015 as injuries are beginning to take their toll on him. Then there is the case of Angels outfielder Josh Hamilton. During his five seasons with the Texas Rangers, Hamilton was named as the American League MVP in 2010 and he was a five-time MLB All-Star. But in his two years with the Angels after signing a five-year, $125 million deal with the club, Hamilton has been less than stellar. In Hamilton’s last season with the Rangers he hit 43 home runs. In two seasons with the Angels, Hamilton has only hit 31 homers. This lack of production carried over to the playoffs as Hamilton was 0-for-13 versus the Royals.

I don’t see the Angels going crazy as far as adding a bat in the off-season, but they could add another starting pitcher. Angels starting pitcher Jered Weaver won 18 games this year. Angels starting pitcher C.J. Wilson endured his worst season as a starter in the big leagues with an earned run average of 4.51. It also didn’t help Wilson’s case that he didn’t make it out of the first inning in Game 3 of the American League Divisional Series. Angels starting pitcher Garrett Richards was cruising along this season with a record of 13-4 until a freak leg injury happened as he was covering first base this past summer. Richards was placed on the 60-day disabled list and the Angels are hopeful that he’ll be ready for spring training. With starting pitchers Jon Lester and Max Scherzer expected to hit the open market this winter, I could see the Angels in play for either one as they should be looking for another front line starter.

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Don Mattingly

The Dodgers have all of the tools to be a championship team, but they just ran into a battle tested club in the Cardinals that has won two World Series Championships since 2006 and they have also represented the National League four times in the Fall Classic since 2004. Mattingly and Dodgers general manager Ned Colletti will look back and see that they were two bad Kershaw innings away from advancing to the National League Championship Series this year. Dodgers shortstop Hanley Ramirez is a pending free agent. Ramirez is 30-years old and his defensive skills appear to be declining, but after hitting .429 in the playoffs he is making it tough for the Dodgers to allow him to walk.

The Dodgers have a very crowded outfield consisting of Puig, Andre Ethier, Matt Kemp, Carl Crawford, Scott Van Slyke, and Joc Pederson. Puig, Pederson, Kemp, and Van Slyke should be locks to be on the Dodgers roster next season, but it would not surprise me if Ethier and Crawford were dealt this winter. Dodgers second baseman Dee Gordon led the NL in stolen bases with 64. But in the playoffs Gordon only hit .176 with and on-base percentage of .263 which hurt the Dodgers chances as he is their table setter. Gordon is only 26-years of age and he should continue to improve. Of course the Dodgers still have Adrian Gonzalez at first base who is their anchor as he led the National League in runs batted in with 116 and he will once again be in the middle of their lineup.

The Dodgers have dominant starters in Kerhsaw, Zack Greinke, and Hyun-Jin Ryu. But the Dodgers had the highest payroll in baseball this season at $235 million and they won’t be afraid to add a big salary; especially if the are able to trade Ethier and Crawford which would free up some money. I don’t see the Dodgers going after Lester due to the fact that they already have two lefties in their starting rotation in Ryu and Kershaw. But the Dodgers could make a play at Scherzer who won the American League Cy Young last as a member of the Detroit Tigers and he is the running to win it for a second consecutive year. Scherzer would become the first AL pitcher to win the Cy Young in consecutive seasons since Pedro Martinez did it as a member of the Boston Red Sox in 1999 and 2000 which would drive up price even more as a free agent.

The Angels and Dodgers don’t need complete overhauls to their respective rosters; just some tinkering here and there. The Angels ran into a hot Royals club that was playing with house money and they were unable to get the big hits while Kansas City did. By the time that the series with the Royals shifted to Kansas City for Game 3, the grease on the grill was hot and Angels were prime to be cooked. As I stated earlier, the Dodgers just ran into a mentally tough Cardinals club whom Los Angeles they can learn from; especially being that they were eliminated by them in the 2013 NLCS as well. Coming into the 2014 Major League Baseball Playoffs, I pegged a Dodgers-Angels World Series that obviously didn’t happen. But with a little bit of tweaking to their respective rosters and a little bit of luck, things should be looking up for both the Angels and Dodgers in 2015.

Source: Baseball-reference.com, Sportrac.com

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